weatherMA Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Well, school should have been cancelled today IMO. Roads were a disaster this morning and since they never plowed the 2-3" they are now a slushy disaster and just as dangeroud. Not sure what my total was, but I had 1.2" when I left at 8am...the high school looked to have about 2.5" when I got there at 8:10...I think they ended up with 3.5" or so so maybe 2.5" here? I see PNS has Shrewsbury at 3.3". I'll look into it a bit more to decide on a total. Either way, a definite over achiever as it didn't changeover to rain until almost 10am! It snowed longer then rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Nope, not me. Actually, I think he's just "thesnowman"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 5.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 OT: the world champion accordian player will be on felger an mazz today. Corey passatoro. Isnt he a member here? What's his member name? TheSnowman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 At least the ground will be white to deliver the cold to my barren brown arse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Returns are much more showery off to my SW, But the stuff moving up from boston looks like its going to move thre here, The models had showed some of this for my area so we shall see I've been watching those too. Wondering how long we can hold on to the cold air here at the coast. Temp has inched up a degree or two over the past 90 minutes. Playing with house money for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 No complaints about this overperformer. Very surprised at +SN since noon. Measurement coming shortly. Video taken around 11:30 am. Not sure how this video will show here, but HD version on YouTube looks good. *edit* Click on "360" on the player and change to HD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 I've been watching those too. Wondering how long we can hold on to the cold air here at the coast. Temp has inched up a degree or two over the past 90 minutes. Playing with house money for sure. Happy poster today, You came away from this much better then you envisioned yesterday, Being close the cold source is usually a good thing for us here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I would like to know why the NAM and SREFs were so warm. For a model that is supposed to be cold until the last minute....bad fail. I don't think anyone antcipated some of the snow amounts down here closer to the borderline areas...but we did say the euro hinted at some good amounts..I know I said it once or twice..but having the other guidance in disagreement so close to starting time, was concerning. Even so, the NAM and SREFs were out to lunch..especially here. They seemed to do a better job up north..just not around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I'm gonna go with 2.5" for here, that's the best estimate I can give based on totals around me and change in totals based on elevations. There's 2" left out there right now, so if anything I think its a little low of an estimate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 I would like to know why the NAM and SREFs were so warm. For a model that is supposed to be cold until the last minute....bad fail. I don't think anyone antcipated some of the snow amounts down here closer to the borderline areas...but we did say the euro hinted at some good amounts..I know I said it once or twice..but having the other guidance in disagreement so close to starting time, was concerning. Even so, the NAM and SREFs were out to lunch..especially here. They seemed to do a better job up north..just not around here. They seemed to overplay the warm layer and the qpf, But the qpf is what it does anyways, I have found in the last few storms here that the Euro's qpf output has been close to what we have received, GFS and Euro had 1.00" qpf here, Nam was 1.25" +, I will take a core sample and melt it when i get home to see what we have for liquid and ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Happy poster today, You came away from this much better then you envisioned yesterday, Being close the cold source is usually a good thing for us here.. Absolutely. Similar to what Jayhawk said earlier, I fully expected a sloppy mess here at the coast today -- especially in town. It's nice to see and hear the plows again -- and, of course, to actually have snow. Intensity picking up for what looks like the grand finale.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Does anyone have an email for BTV? If so could you please send me it. ~thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 They seemed to overplay the warm layer and the qpf, But the qpf is what it does anyways, I have found in the last few storms here that the Euro's qpf output has been close to what we have received, GFS and Euro had 1.00" qpf here, Nam was 1.25" +, I will take a core sample and melt it when i get home to see what we have for liquid and ratios NAM is always too juicy. Even if it's cold, it still is juicy, but it really blew the thermal profile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Does anyone have an email for BTV? If so could you please send me it. ~thank you are you skiing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Yeah tough to go bullish in SWFE because the DS or rather disorganized QPF always flies in pretty quick. People last Feb 2 learned that the ahrd way..lol. Some OCMs had 12-24" when that clearly was not going to happen...especially with a 700 low going nw of you. I'm still mystified by that....met 101 tells you that you need CCB\Deformation action to synoptically see over 1'...aside from mesoscale nuances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 LOL, I think Will has like ~24 for the season and I have ~12 not too far away. He got 17" between the two storms in October when I got 10"...and he capitalized on a few events in December with 1 or 2" totals here and there. Then he got 4-5" today when I got 2.5". Elevation FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 fwiw, torch this afternoon is underwhelming so far... MOS max temps on both GFS and NAM were 47-49 for kbos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I am close to losing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 NAM is always too juicy. Even if it's cold, it still is juicy, but it really blew the thermal profile. Yeah i noted that, Take a 1/3 off is a good rule, It would be interseting if you could find out what it saw with the thermal profile that the others did not to skew it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 fwiw, torch this afternoon is underwhelming so far... MOS max temps on both GFS and NAM were 47-49 for kbos YAY its only 50 on the cape today whooooooooooooooopeeee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I thought you loved the warmth? I am close to losing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 LOL, I think Will has like ~24 for the season and I have ~12 not too far away. He got 17" between the two storms in October when I got 10"...and he capitalized on a few events in December with 1 or 2" totals here and there. Then he got 4-5" today when I got 2.5". Elevation FTW Yeah but even you got more than I thought he would get...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 LOL, I think Will has like ~24 for the season and I have ~12 not too far away. He got 17" between the two storms in October when I got 10"...and he capitalized on a few events in December with 1 or 2" totals here and there. Then he got 4-5" today when I got 2.5". Elevation FTW Garbage winters are almost always elevation dependant...barring a fluke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I am close to losing it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Yeah i noted that, Take a 1/3 off is a good rule, It would be interseting if you could find out what it saw with the thermal profile that the others did not to skew it. Told you that, yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I'm still mystified by that....met 101 tells you that you need CCB\Deformation action to synoptically see over 1'...aside from mesoscale nuances. Only thing was that the storm was going to really tap into Gulf moisture, so we were going to have this loaded airmass on isentropic ascent over the region, which explains the QPF bombs in the model guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Only thing was that the storm was going to really tap into Gulf moisture, so we were going to have this loaded airmass on isentropic ascent over the region, which explains the QPF bombs in the model guidance. Only thing was it was wrong....AMOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Yeah but even you got more than I thought he would get...lol. Oh, I know...I'll deffinitely take 2.5" and run. Yesterday I was nervous I may not see any snow...after I saw saw the nam. Garbage winters are almost always elevation dependant...barring a fluke. Yeah...it still amazes me that he only averages 7" more then me though. I know its only 2 years of sample but the past 2 years its gone: 09-10 Will: 69" me: 57" 10-11 me: 88" will: 98" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Yeah i noted that, Take a 1/3 off is a good rule, It would be interseting if you could find out what it saw with the thermal profile that the others did not to skew it. I'll tell you part of the problem....meso scale models can be great, and they can suck. They are run at a finer resolution, so any false depiction of a feature and the errors can really cause problems. So if the model was off with lift, or it progged the dynamics as rather diffuse and disorganized, it may have caused too much warming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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