dryslot Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 I personally thought it might be too cool yesterday morning, but the GFS at 12z still stayed the course, which made us wonder if the NAM/SREF were out to lunch. Then the 12z euro run came in similar so that's some good agreement there...when even the GFS wasn't too far off from the euro. Tough to weigh a forecast on one model and ignore other guidance so close to the event, but you can skew it one way which is what you had to do. The NAM and SREF just looked weird. I remember the convo yesterday with all you guys, And i remember you saying that the nam and srefs being warm were troubling, It sat out there on an island but you really could not discount it, Just glad it went up in flames this time around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 First time I think that Dual-pol radar has come across a Cold Air Damming situation... Its performing fantasticly! Clear line between Snow and Rain on the Correlation Cofficient mode. Bottom left is the cross section with bright banding rain/snow line. Yea I was looking at that very cool, question though, no animation on that product? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Just flat out dumping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Still snowing, up to moderate intensity now, at 31F. 2.75" of new snow have accumulated in Rindge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 2.5" new snow 0.8" last hour 25.4F and back to -SN Hopefully we get a little redevelopment and the next heavy batch is white. thought we'd be ripping for a few hours this morning and then worrying about the changeover. Now we are not getting the echoes. Where did our moisture go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wackymann Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Snowing pretty hard here in South Chelmsford. i doubt it will last very much longer, but we have a nice inch or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 For those who like to bash the Euro when they get a chance...they will never mention this event...completely schooled other guidance in holding the cold in at the mid-levels. But regardless...nice event. Its refreshing to get one that overperforms a bit here...hopefully it goes well up north. I can only think it bodes well for yall up there if I am still 100% snow well after 13z. yea and those who bash the weenie snow maps for the Euro on Wu, uh , dead nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Flakes have increased in size markedly over the past minute or two....the end might truly be near now....even though I said that hours ago, lol. Looks like we are getting chunks of aggregrates....but at the moment it is ripping...we might even push 4" here. Probably won't make it, but with this storm, you never know...its been an over producer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Ripping huge flakes here at 600'...actually about dpuble what I have at homevat 475'.. 2.5" here compared to 1.2" at home. Crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Oscilating back and forth. Solid mix here. Nice to see the white stuff flying. Alas, its fleeting but still a nice surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I got to check out that radar. Excellent tool. Still snowing in Lowell, but accumulation is about 0.5" and big flakes. Temp holding at 32-33. NAM fail. Although I think I remember seeing the 0-850 line move south during the day so prolly draining in from Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 lakes have increased in size markedly over the past minute or two....the end might truly be near now....even though I said that hours ago, lol. Looks like we are getting chunks of aggregrates....but at the moment it is ripping...we might even push 4" here. Probably won't make it, but with this storm, you never know...its been an over producer. Becoming extremely windy here as well, Will. Hazardous conditions outside for sure, roads look terrible and it's blowing heavy snow all around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 It seems like every time we have a decent cold high north of here we always end up talking about how the models struggle handling the cold air on a lot of these type events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I think its so hilarious its snowing here and rays incapacitated to see it. Aggregates pouring out of the sky on the drive home to southie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Becoming extremely windy here as well, Will. Hazardous conditions outside for sure, roads look terrible and it's blowing heavy snow all around. They were awful near me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Heavy snow...can def say that with confidence for the first time this event....we've had moderate snow for many periods, but this is almost a whiteout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I think its so hilarious its snowing here and rays incapacitated to see it. Aggregates pouring out of the sky on the drive home to southie. Deadly gas pockets yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Deadly gas pockets yet? he had some deadly gas releases last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Good grief, where is the sleet? We have 40 dbz incoming, and it just rips monster flakes...no pellets yet. I've been waiting on the sleet for 3 hours now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 A nice little ribbon of elevated instability is leading to some t'storms across NJ and into NYC area!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Wxmeddler, that's awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 yea and those who bash the weenie snow maps for the Euro on Wu, uh , dead nuts. They are still weenie ish. They had me getting like an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Just flat out dumping. I see your outhouse is functioning properly. On a side note, how the snow? Nice rain down here washing off all the crappy salt they laid out the other day. 40F. Windy as well. Gusting in the mid 20's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Yea I was looking at that very cool, question though, no animation on that product? Never mind, it is oscillating, you can see the inflow from the CAD fight the warmer, oh this is a cool product Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Yea I was looking at that very cool, question though, no animation on that product? Uh, for the cross sections, you cannot amimate it. All the other dual-pol prouducts you can animate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Good grief, where is the sleet? We have 40 dbz incoming, and it just rips monster flakes...no pellets yet. I've been waiting on the sleet for 3 hours now. You suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Wxmeddler, that's awesome. Whats it doing at home?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I remember the convo yesterday with all you guys, And i remember you saying that the nam and srefs being warm were troubling, It sat out there on an island but you really could not discount it, Just glad it went up in flames this time around Yeah being so close you can't toss it, but when it looks funny...it's usually a red flag. Even our in house model was colder than the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Whats it doing at home?? I'm at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Had an even inch at 7am at the house and shortly therefter it started coming down at a nice clip with better growth. Now at work in Hanover, NH and it's coming down purty good out there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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