Mr Torchey Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Nice 988 over state college Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 That GFS run was pretty good for Ray if he is trying to break 2"...maybe sneaking out 3" or a little more on that type of solution. I'd like to verify my 5-15". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 GFS really likes friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Thats an impressive piece of energy, that ull means business, have to figure numerous snow showers and squalls for many folks on Friday, hope it comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Ull@ hr 66 Is 980mb over quebec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 974? @72 and the greens are getting absolutely smoked with upslope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 GFS really likes friday Happy 40th to me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 974? @72 and the greens are getting absolutely smoked with upslope Impressive LES too with the nice cold pool aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Impressive LES too with the nice cold pool aloft. Absolutely hopefully many folks who have not seen a tr since oct can at least have some flakes in the air on Friday/Friday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 How do you know it was coming from the Ads ?? According to what's available out on the web: "Method of Infection There are many ways your computer could get infected with Win 7 Anti-Virus 2012. Win 7 Anti-Virus 2012 can come bundled with shareware or other downloadable software. " ...Which means, viewing pages where downloads took place may be enough if it is coming from a 3rd party. I was looking at that PD Family Mesonet post when it struck for the 2nd time. Dendrite, Thanks for the acknowledgement! Please google "Win 7 antivirus 2012" for further information. American doesn't have to be a "shabby site", nor is the intent of bring this to the attention of the admins and attempt to inpugn American (just in case there is any doubt!). This issue is that the virus may not be on American per se, but could very well be transmitted through downloaded apps. Or, it could be on the site just the same. The fix for this worked both times on Windows 7; System retoration found in Control Panels. Unfortunately, I had to re-install Firefox (yes I'm thinking of going to Chrome). Thanx, John I got hit with that the other day, malwarebytes ftw. Pretty sure I was on amwx when it happened. Could have just gotten done looking at porn though... Just sayin, you're not the only one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 This looks nuts with the ULL... 976mb over Vim Toot! That's textbook stuff for here factoring in orographics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Looks like a nice wintery weekend, hopefully the clipper can produce something on sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I'll eagerly await my OES sunday night or Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 matt noyes posted this ill take it and run! http://www.mattnoyes.net/.a/6a00d83451c01c69e20168e5540fa7970c-popup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 This is nuts... look at the omega in the low levels once the flow turns WNW following the low on Friday. And this is BTV, a decent bit upwind of the max upslope region. Coinciding with a nice drop in low level temps with good snow growth. Also note the downsloping in the low levels for the first part of the storm. Such is life when you live in BTV, ups and downs depending on wind direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 have fun with your 1 to 2 feet of snow This is nuts... look at the omega in the low levels once the flow turns WNW following the low on Friday. And this is BTV, a decent bit upwind of the max upslope region. Coinciding with a nice drop in low level temps with good snow growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Noyes's map looks pretty accurate. Cold 1/14-23/24 and then patttern breaks back. What next though? A little foggy heading towards February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 This is nuts... look at the omega in the low levels once the flow turns WNW following the low on Friday. And this is BTV, a decent bit upwind of the max upslope region. Coinciding with a nice drop in low level temps with good snow growth. Also note the downsloping in the low levels for the first part of the storm. Such is life when you live in BTV, ups and downs depending on wind direction. I might try to be in your hood on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Noyes's map looks pretty accurate. Cold 1/14-23/24 and then patttern breaks back. What next though? A little foggy heading towards February. as much as it's maligned, CFS has been dead on this winter and it's holding on to way above normal in all of the east sooooo... http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/wwang/cfs_fcst/images3/usT2mMon.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Noyes's map looks pretty accurate. Cold 1/14-23/24 and then patttern breaks back. What next though? A little foggy heading towards February. Feb def seems like a wildcard to me. Its the first time all winter that we might see a -NAO develop...but we just don't know. Weeklies were certainly looking uncertain in that time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 This is nuts... look at the omega in the low levels once the flow turns WNW following the low on Friday. And this is BTV, a decent bit upwind of the max upslope region. Coinciding with a nice drop in low level temps with good snow growth. Also note the downsloping in the low levels for the first part of the storm. Such is life when you live in BTV, ups and downs depending on wind direction. PF does champlain valley along the mountains ever get upslope? like in BTV eastern sections? i'm thinking NOT. i'm more interested in the second low, and i dont know what to expect in st. albans at all, but i'm hoping for something decent, but i'm not getting my hopes up. i'm working on friday so i wouldnt be able to drive to an upslope area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 bummer... 0Z GFS lost the tropical storm at 300+hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 11, 2012 Author Share Posted January 11, 2012 bummer... 0Z GFS lost the tropical storm at 300+hrs Dang. I just got back from buying plywood too. Still has shoeless shirtless frisbee weather in the long range though. Maybe a severe weather threat, who knows... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Dang. I just got back from buying plywood too. Still has shoeless shirtless frisbee weather in the long range though. Maybe a severe weather threat, who knows... lol not as much a resurgence of the AK vortex compared to 18Z, fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Still cant get over how cool this looks http://weather.gov/sat_loop.php?image=wv&hours=24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Almost fell off my chair when I saw a WSW up here...for 2-4 plus ice. Need to sleep and can't go the whole thread but thoughts on that? With the timing I would think snow days would be possible north of the pike. That is if the 00z nam doesn't verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Almost fell off my chair when I saw a WSW up here...for 2-4 plus ice. Need to sleep and can't go the whole thread but thoughts on that? With the timing I would think snow days would be possible north of the pike. That is if the 00z nam doesn't verify. A snow day is def possible because of the ice. I don't think I'd go 2-4" here...probably more like 1-3" but not a huge difference. The ice is the bigger threat. The cold isn't really deep enough to produce a lot of sleet so I think the sleet will be brief in the transition..it will go from snow to ZR quickly...how long the ZR hangs on is the question...it could be a situation where you are 33-34F and rain for a lot of the morning while I'm 30-31 and ice...but that period will probably be after the morning school commute...so you have a good shot to get a day off. It might be ugly at 7am-8am, and then just cold rain there after...but the timing is all that matters for a snow day. (or ice day) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 just went outside and there was a circle rainbow around the moon when a few clouds went by i dont think ive ever seen anything like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I think the GFS has what you would call an "instant occlusion" which is much more common over the ocean. Low-level baroclinic zone is located well east and southeast but the upper level vort digs so hard that it pops another low within the cold air. Manages to give CNY a "surprise" snowstorm. Pretty bad for LES but interesting meteorologically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Thanks Will..yeah, the timing it good and all I need is .1" for my highest total since 10/29. Should be asleep but got home an hour ago from bruins game, so why not, might as well see what the euro has to say. It will probably torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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