HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Ruh-roh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Ruh-roh lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Ruh-roh Awesome! I think we had given up on significant in MA about 12 hours ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 My new P/C---LMAO Tonight: Snow likely, mainly after 4am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 26. East wind between 5 and 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Thursday: Rain, snow, and sleet, becoming all rain after 2pm. Patchy fog before 4pm. High near 38. East wind 14 to 17 mph decreasing to between 6 and 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 MPM, you are my nemesis Tonight: Snow likely before 5am, then snow and sleet likely. Increasing clouds, with a low around 25. East wind between 6 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Thursday: Snow and sleet before 9am, then rain. Patchy fog. High near 38. East wind 15 to 18 mph decreasing to between 7 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 MPM, you are my nemesis Tonight: Snow likely before 5am, then snow and sleet likely. Increasing clouds, with a low around 25. East wind between 6 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Thursday: Snow and sleet before 9am, then rain. Patchy fog. High near 38. East wind 15 to 18 mph decreasing to between 7 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible got your generator wired? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 MPM, you are my nemesis Tonight: Snow likely before 5am, then snow and sleet likely. Increasing clouds, with a low around 25. East wind between 6 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Thursday: Snow and sleet before 9am, then rain. Patchy fog. High near 38. East wind 15 to 18 mph decreasing to between 7 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible I've got 1 tonight and then 2-4'' tomorrow. I'll be thrilled with 3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 It's not pretty Mark...Tip or no Tip. NAO showing no sign. We have a big N Atlantic ridge but it's too far east. If it got stouter, it could help us ala January 2000 but a big if. For now, let's enjoy the next 7-10 days and see where the pattern goes but persistence of the best tool at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 MPM, you are my nemesis Tonight: Snow likely before 5am, then snow and sleet likely. Increasing clouds, with a low around 25. East wind between 6 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Thursday: Snow and sleet before 9am, then rain. Patchy fog. High near 38. East wind 15 to 18 mph decreasing to between 7 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible I'm counting on 2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Tonight: Rain and snow likely, mainly after 4am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 27. East wind between 6 and 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Thursday: Rain and snow, becoming all rain after noon. Patchy fog before 4pm. High near 40. Northeast wind 15 to 18 mph decreasing to between 5 and 8 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 got your generator wired? There are no more trees up here. '08, Irene, Rocktober killed em all (actually thinking only about 0.2" acrection, but we'll see) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 got your generator wired? Yup. I've been running it every few weeks just in case. Unfortuantley, that's what I've been doing with my snowblower, too. Very sad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 There are no more trees up here. '08, Irene, Rocktober killed em all (actually thinking only about 0.2" acrection, but we'll see) Just kidding. I just read the entire thread on the 08 storm on Eastern, you guys started warm then went cold, looks like you start a lot colder this time, those DPs in Maine look similar as well as the progged winds on the south coast. This is going to be an interesting battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 11, 2012 Author Share Posted January 11, 2012 Taunton saw the NAM and ran lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Just kidding. I just read the entire thread on the 08 storm on Eastern, you guys started warm then went cold, looks like you start a lot colder this time, those DPs in Maine look similar as well as the progged winds on the south coast. This is going to be an interesting battle. Based on my fuzzy memory and what Will has posted in the past, the winds helped quite a bit in 2008 I wish I knew about Eastern in 2008. And that animation that you posted earlier was cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Taunton saw the NAM and ran lol How do you think this is matching up with your thinking from a week ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 gfs is coming in colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Wow on ZFP. MAZ002-120900- WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN... SHELBURNE 416 PM EST WED JAN 11 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW THIS EVENING... THEN SNOW AND SLEET AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT. .THURSDAY...SNOW...SLEET...RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN...SNOW LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES. ICE ACCUMULATION AROUND A TRACE. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 SREF snow probs looked hideous. OI wonder what they and the NAM are seeing, that the GFS and euro aren't. Interesting battle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 gfs is way colder when comparing 12z 21hr and 18z 15hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 SREF snow probs looked hideous. OI wonder what they and the NAM are seeing, that the GFS and euro aren't. Interesting battle. I think we might be looking at an ice storm of varying degrees depending on elevation. Pretty strong signal JMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 GFS does seem a bit colder from 12z. Tough to tell if its just semantics, but semantics may mean an inch more or less of snow for borderline areas. Lift looked decent. But it still bothers me to see the SREF and NAM. I guess it's not like the difference between 5"and 0.5"...but still..there is a difference. It's rare to see the NAM a tick warmer than the GFS on 2M temps. I gotta think the NAM may be too warm at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 gfs is way colder when comparing 12z 21hr and 18z 15hr 24hr is warmer aloft Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Damn, the GFS is still ripping snow here at 12z...this model battle comes down to the wire tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 gfs is colder, but still warm. Better for borderline areas in N MA/ SNH maybe? 3-6" for them maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 appears to be a situation where we throw away all models and make it a nowcast storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I think we might be looking at an ice storm of varying degrees depending on elevation. Pretty strong signal JMHO. Yeah I agree..someone could get some good icing. Maybe just north of Will..but could easily be him too. Even on the GFS. About 0.25" by 12z falls as snow in ORH if you believe the model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Damn, the GFS is still ripping snow here at 12z...this model battle comes down to the wire tonight. Yea thats a dumping for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I think we might be looking at an ice storm of varying degrees depending on elevation. Pretty strong signal JMHO. Not sure how things are through the column, but the 850 freezing doesn't get above me until .5+ has fallen. Of course, what happens after that is also a question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 appears to be a situation where we throw away all models and make it a nowcast storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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