CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 This pattern has really started to get to many folks, I was ready to step away from the keyboard for a while LOL, you're going to get a nice dumping of snow...you may be one of 5 people on the board tomorrow. Enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Meh, its weather, we have zero control, zero. Nice week to ten days of active weather coming up. I think some folks here look way too far ahead and get bummed. And no Jerry that is not a lecture just a comment, similar to my last one. Some do, Thats what i had said yesterday, We have no control on where or where it does not snow, This pattern has been pretty heavily discussed and most know what the consequnces were going to be with a gradient pattern, If they wanted to believe it or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 LOL, you're going to get a nice dumping of snow...you may be one of 5 people on the board tomorrow. Enjoy. lol, There will be echoes or i will be talking to myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Reading about this ULL. My original plans were to leave about 3am and drive to Bolton Thursday Morning and leave that night. Now people are talking about an upslope smoking on Friday. So naturally I should wait until Friday? Are you guys sure the upslope is going to be impressive on Friday yet? It sounds like the upslope snow is still on track - adk responded in the NNE thread to my post this morning and said he's going with totals topping out around 18". You can check in at adk's website for his latest weather thoughts (not sure if he is going to do an update there today), but I figure he and/or Powderfreak will update here or in the NNE thread at some point if things change. The best timing for catching the upslope bounty at places like Bolton Valley would naturally be Friday into Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Wow....6z nam and gfs suck...surprised I have an advisory....should be interesting here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I was really surprised how aggressive the Euro was with cold and snow pretty far south. It has become the cold outlier this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 lol, There will be echoes or i will be talking to myself Don't worry -- I'll be posting about how quick my changeover is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I was really surprised how aggressive the Euro was with cold and snow pretty far south. It has become the cold outlier this year. Pretty good agreement with the ensembles too. But it's not as cold as you think, with that warmer layer aloft..however it seems to be colder than any other guidance. Part of me believes it, but part of me thinks it may be too cold aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Pretty good agreement with the ensembles too. But it's not as cold as you think, with that warmer layer aloft..however it seems to be colder than any other guidance. Part of me believes it, but part of me thinks it may be too cold aloft. Guess we'll see what the NAM says. Looks slow again early o--and warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Nam already warmer at 850mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Nam already warmer at 850mb Looking fugly--perhaps LL flakes cancel? How were the SREF's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Looking fugly--perhaps LL flakes cancel? How were the SREF's? LOL you need to worry about yourself there buddy, NAM is just ugly this is going to rain well into the north kingdom, dont ever underestimate this pattern, its obnoxious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Gross--850 freezing line into central VT by 24z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Didn't have a chance to look --- Can anyone comment on ensemble runs overnight for long range? AK vortex? NAO? (sorry no clear other thread to put this in...) There's a long range thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 There's a long range thread I think Dendrite, PF, Eric and DS will be the only ones posting in the obs thread. This run blows. Maybe Friday will play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 There's a long range thread moved, thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Wow the NAM is even worse than 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Gross--850 freezing line into central VT by 24z. You mean 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I think Dendrite, PF, Eric and DS will be the only ones posting in the obs thread. This run blows. Maybe Friday will play out. I covered all the bases in the sub title of the thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Dendrite peltfest coming up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 It's barely even below 0C 850 when the precipitation starts here on the NAM. Now the question is will it ping...or will I be hit with super cold rain drops at 1 AM? I really want to be positive for Pete's sake ....if nothing else. LOL ...but what can you say... I think Dendrite, PF, Eric and DS will be the only ones posting in the obs thread. This run blows. Maybe Friday will play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Dendrite peltfest coming up? Maybe. I can't see lci soundings on my phone. It's close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 SREFs are even further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Wow the NAM is even worse than 06z. it plows the vortmax through new england. most of the globals do the same. but the euro takes it over my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 12Z NAM is awful, even for GC. Quick burst of snow and sleet before it goes over to a chilly rain. Trapped cold air on the east slope could mean some glazing for those areas, especially around Pete and MPM. I have some hope that Friday may produce a few inches of upslope as the arctic air invades behind that second wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 it plows the vortmax through new england. most of the globals do the same. but the euro takes it over my head. It may have an hour of snow at ORH now. Congrats MPM on ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Hug the euro and toss everything else. It's all we've got. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Looks like I'll get my rain. Never forget the fundamentals.. No blocking and no hp and moderating antecedent cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Hug the euro and toss everything else. It's all we've got. Euro is going to be too cold I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 It's the same as every other event ...Euro FTL. This is actually the last event of our current abysmal pattern I guess so it figures. Now the question is ...will the new pattern have any staying power. SREFs are even further north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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