WilkesboroDude Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 little early hope you didn't jinx it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Too early! Kiss of death! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 DUD, Dude! you watching to much fox 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted January 10, 2012 Author Share Posted January 10, 2012 little early hope you didn't jinx it Nothing wrong with a dud. This thread is a win either way. (: Other thread was getting long and random about torchy EURO weeklies and GFS candy back in forth. Seeing how if this storm were to develop, it would be this Sunday so it's starting to get out of that long/mid range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Yep... Van Denton is horrible. I was talking about that deal or dud segment they have, not Van! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue Ridge Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Other thread was getting long and random about torchy EURO weeklies and GFS candy back in forth. Seeing how if this storm were to develop, it would be this Sunday so it's starting to get out of that long/mid range. Well, uh, it is the mid to long-range thread... Really jumped the gun on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 LOL no boy here. Grown azz man. I have been watching Van for 2 decades and he sucks. Eric Chilton is the only reliable Met around here. Van called for a light dusting on the Jan. 2000 2 feet storm. Chilton is by far the worse but i am not going to even start, i can write a book on how much he has missed, fox fired him. Christmas storm was a huge bust for him. Watch his 7 day temps and keep up how much he changes daily. Good luck with him, also glad you are grown up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 So Wilkesborodude is feeling the mojo...That's a lot of responsibility, especially this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Like 6z and 12z GFS there are several ensemble members in the 18z that show a storm. Now just need 0z to hold and another model to join in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted January 10, 2012 Author Share Posted January 10, 2012 Well, uh, it is the mid to long-range thread... Really jumped the gun on this one. It's not forecasting waiting a day or two before a deal or dud type of scenario. Don't tell me you guys won't be posting tonight's model runs on this system! There's your fun even if it is a dud. More people will tune in for the discussions separated from the long range negativity on a 50page thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 So Wilkesborodude is feeling the mojo...That's a lot of responsibility, especially this winter. One model a week away, I hope he has some mojo? I think he's goona need it... Come Friday if it still has it I might jump on board with him. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Like 6z and 12z GFS there are several ensemble members in the 18z that show a storm. Now just need 0z to hold and another model to join in. Bingo...If another model would join in, I'd jump in w/ both feet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 One model a week away, I hope he has some mojo? I think he's goona need it... Come Friday if it still has it I might jump on board with him. lol It's ok, he could be a hero and have to start all possible storm threads from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 One model a week away, I hope he has some mojo? I think he's goona need it... Come Friday if it still has it I might jump on board with him. lol i am with you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 It's ok, he could be a hero and have to start all possible storm threads from here on out. Yea, I'm just picking with him, besides he's a neighbor next county over. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 The way the GFS has this event portrayed reminds me of the November 2000 event. That one was a total surprise, I don't think anyone was watching it (because it was November?). There was no cutoff but the upper levels looked similar with ridging in nw and western Canada, with a strong s/w diving down far south, and the Upper South had just enough cold air in place for overrunning to surprise snow, around 3" in my town. Was pretty much melted by dark, thanks to the warm ground. I'm not saying this will work out like that at all. Just some similarities in the portrayal. It was a flat wave that took a pretty far south track. Current GFS: Nov 19, 2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Psalm 148:8 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Let's bring it dude!! Go down in a blaze of glory! either way! This snow is ridin the sled I'm all in!!....trying to get the good mojo goin lately....snowflake paited on my toes, let it snow banner in the yard, snow kitchen towel, snow paper towels, snow pajamas, snowflake napkin holder complete with let it snow napkins, let it snow bracelet hangin on the rearview in the white 4runnner, snow crystals iphone cover, and lastly, sparkling snow bath and body works soap. So what's that sayin about a scooby doo nite....Man was the fog crazy thick last nite and tonite....Tonite was wierd looking.....Full moon, cloud rings dancing in and around it....straight outa a scooby doo cartoon! So that means however many scooby snacks he eats, that's how many inches of snow we get Ok....I'll go take my medication now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 The way the GFS has this event portrayed reminds me of the November 2000 event. That one was a total surprise, I don't think anyone was watching it (because it was November?). There was no cutoff but the upper levels looked similar with ridging in nw and western Canada, with a strong s/w diving down far south, and the Upper South had just enough cold air in place for overrunning to surprise snow, around 3" in my town. Was pretty much melted by dark, thanks to the warm ground. I'm not saying this will work out like that at all. Just some similarities in the portrayal. It was a flat wave that took a pretty far south track. Current GFS: Nov 19, 2000 you need to be a history teacher. Good information Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 you need to be a history teacher. Good information I just remembered it lol. Total wx nerd here, and I used to have a heck of a memory on dates and setups, precise times , minutes and degrees, all that. I'm getting old now. Thank goodness we have the internet and I wrote a few things down along the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted January 10, 2012 Author Share Posted January 10, 2012 Bingo...If another model would join in, I'd jump in w/ both feet! I sure would love to see the EURO hop on board late tonight. I still think all threads should be started like this...deal or dud type. It's a win-win either way and clears the way for the real long term pattern disc. in the other thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 I remember Nov 2000. It was on a Sunday come out of church and the ground was white. Beautiful and forecast was for cold rain possibly mixed with a few wet flakes if the precip rates where steady enough. It's linked off the RAH NWS> Beleive it was the 17th of November, earliest I've ever witnessed accum snow. Good luck with the thread/mojo. Hopefully it will continue to grow some length to those legs tonight. The Euro is 0 for 1 this season with back to back snow hit for MBY inside 7 days. This is the first time the GFS has stepped up to the plate for an at-bat inside 7 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 My signature from isohume says it all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Well already 00z NAM looks worlds apart from the 18z at 500mb....so 00z GFS will probably have yet another solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Well already 00z NAM looks worlds apart from the 18z at 500mb....so 00z GFS will probably have yet another solution. 00z NAM actually looked better to me..... looked like a colder profile overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotoWeatherman Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 0z nam was really digging that next shortwave down thru the west at 84hrs. Can the 0z gfs serve up three runs in a row? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Because I have no clue which thread we will be posting in... Check out the NAM at 84 it has our energy already moving into TX with that other parcel of energy coming down the Rockies....does that energy phase later on down stream if you extrapolate the NAM? This GFS run might get pretty interesting if the NAM is any indicator...unless I'm totally reading this wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 I also want to take this time during the break to tell everyone this will be my last SE storm. I'm relocating to Washington DC for work. Its been a great 6 years between here and Eastern..... I'll still stop by to follow you guys and the great mets on here. I hope this can come through for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Because I have no clue which thread we will be posting in...Check out the NAM at 84 it has our energy already moving into TX with that other parcel of energy coming down the Rockies....does that energy phase later on down stream if you extrapolate the NAM? This GFS run might get pretty interesting if the NAM is any indicator...unless I'm totally reading this wrong. It's a good look, better than Euro which had it almost clipper like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 I also want to take this time during the break to tell everyone this will be my last SE storm. I'm relocating to Washington DC for work. Its been a great 6 years between here and Eastern..... I'll still stop by to follow you guys and the great mets on here. I hope this can come through for us. Traitor! Good luck, hopefully you get some good winters up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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