boolean Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 seems like i may have been right by not getting too carried away about the forecast 'torch' heading our way the end of jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 If we're lucky, maybe Jay Peak will see some more upslope, too. LOL but at least that's in New England. Talking about that in this thread would be on-topic for this New England regional thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Theres two systems to watch after tonight's light snow...the clipper on Thu night...then it looks like a larger system for Saturday or Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 D10 Euro looks like a classic backdoor cold front scenario with that confluence to our north. Would be quite a way to run a torch if it verified with low-level chill bleeding in from the N and NE. is boston harbor warm enough for spring like fog? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Theres two systems to watch after tonight's light snow...the clipper on Thu night...then it looks like a larger system for Saturday or Saturday night. that would be okay...the clipper gives us some fresh cold air, then a bigger storm, then we torch a bit, pray and reload. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Rumor has it the weeklies have some nice blocking and a -NAO..Any truth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Rumor has it the weeklies have some nice blocking and a -NAO..Any truth? I haven't seen them but the Euro ensembles have a -NAO by the last few days of this month. The EPO still stinks, but we'd have a decent chance in that setup with the -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Rumor has it the weeklies have some nice blocking and a -NAO..Any truth? In KPHL departures are Latest Weeklies that came out today for KPHL proper show the next 4 week departures as follows: Looks like +5, +9, +3, +4 for PHL in order ..This is according to pro met Adam...from the KPHL region..." Week 3 was 0 on Thursday. It's trending warmer! So I hope for your area its trending better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Weeklies develop some decent blocking week 3 and 4. It's not a cold signal, but that pattern would give us chances for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Meanwhile some pseudo blocking to our north is trying to make things colder for early next week. GFS actually tries to snow Monday when it torched a few days ago..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 The torch gets attenuated. Snow is progged. Think about it. Last weeks event over performed. The upslope over performed. The cold over performed, tonights snow over performed. These subtle changes mean something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 The torch gets attenuated. Snow is progged. Think about it. Last weeks event over performed. The upslope over performed. The cold over performed, tonights snow over performed. These subtle changes mean something. Still think later next week turns more hostile, but we'll take what we can get for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 GFS might even turn the lakes cutter middle of next week into an interior icing threat. 1045 high north of Maine at 180 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 wow gfs is very active! lots of winter threats with some warm here and there but by no means a horrible pattern upcoming! February should be alot of fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Still think later next week turns more hostile, but we'll take what we can get for now. If we can crimp it on either side it's a victory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Storm seemed to have slipped south for now, but almost where I kind of want it at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 It's coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 It's coming Walking to work in my snowmocs for the first time since early Feb 2011. Arguably, it's here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Just posted in the banter thread that the average of the average temps the last two days at the Pit was a whopping 7*. A decent, albeit short-lived, cold snap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 6z gfs has a 5-8" snowstorm for SNE and a 3-5" advisory for VT+NH....00z was about 100 miles south and we got flurries...I think this may be close, what did the euro show? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Were the euro ensembles further north than the op for the Saturday event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Walking to work in my snowmocs for the first time since early Feb 2011. Arguably, it's here. Yep you can tell that seasonal climo is getting temps down to their lowest point here. Even in a poor pattern it should start snowing in SNE now. Just like a poor pattern brought us snow up here the past two-three weeks. That zone is slowly shifting south and so you guys should at least get a good two week period with chances and snowfall as climo reaches its mins here in late January/early Feb before it starts lifting north again. I know that is probably not very scientific but just the feeling of how this all shakes out and the seasonal progression of climate averages. Its getting to the point where you can have +6 departures and still be fine for winter weather down in SNE, just like we were up here in NNE the past few weeks. Coldest time of the year should bring snow chances down through New England even in a warm pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 6z gfs has a 5-8" snowstorm for SNE and a 3-5" advisory for VT+NH....00z was about 100 miles south and we got flurries...I think this may be close, what did the euro show? Let's clarify you're speaking of Saturday. Thursday night is a few flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Let's clarify you're speaking of Saturday. Thursday night is a few flurries. Thursday night is more than flurries...a lot more IMHO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Thursday night is more than flurries...a lot more IMHO. I think Mike is just referring to what the Euro showed verbatim, which is more than a few flurries but only like an inch (ahem ... north of the Pike) . It looks to favor eastern areas, certainly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Thursday night is more than flurries...a lot more IMHO. My reference was to the 06z GFS, Jerry. Did I miss something on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 My reference was to the 06z GFS, Jerry. Did I miss something on that? I think you would do nicely (not enough to stop flights though..) on the 6z GFS. Not taking qpf but the setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Let's clarify you're speaking of Saturday. Thursday night is a few flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 Let's clarify you're speaking of Saturday. Thursday night is a few flurries. Correct. 6z gfs had a hell of a weenie solution for Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 17, 2012 Share Posted January 17, 2012 hopefully some folks can sneak out some more accumulating snow later this week...then seems we might want to run and hide for the last week of the month...before maybe things improve some toward groundhog day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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