mahk_webstah Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 2001-02 was better. It was warmer but there was more snow. So cold days that winter were easy to take. This year we've had some stinging cold with nothing to show for it. Hopefully it won't be a 2002 style spring which here was very bad from mid April onward. I'm expecting a cold spring simply to because the rubber band should be frayed enough to snap by then. Meanwhile, I may head to Quebec for a few days. 6 hour drive. Quebec City romantic weekend with wife! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Quebec City romantic weekend with wife! The map I posted says no bargain there.....lol.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Nothing looked perfect from day 1. Kevin made fun of my yellow flags, but there was a risk for this. Lol this looks even worse than I thought but I'll reserve judgment after euro ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Don't be sad about the 12Z GFS... trust me it's easily the coldest run in a long time when extrapolated... there's more to the atmosphere than the bottom 90% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Just saw the GEFS. They weren't pretty. They at least have a Canadian high to our north for any event, but it looks kind of crappy overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 capecodweather Cape Cod Weather "pattern change" might not show itself all that much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Man do we walk the line on the EC ensembles. It's close to being active with winter threats, but I'm taking a bath with a 10lb toaster hanging on by a spider web right now. It's close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 It's also trying to raise heights in the Davis Straits. It could be because of the PV retro. In fact, probably a big part of it, but maybe it's hinting at week 4 on the weeklies.?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 <p>12Z GFS... WOW!!! </p> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 2001-02 was better. It was warmer but there was more snow. So cold days that winter were easy to take. This year we've had some stinging cold with nothing to show for it. Hopefully it won't be a 2002 style spring which here was very bad from mid April onward. I'm expecting a cold spring simply to because the rubber band should be frayed enough to snap by then. Meanwhile, I may head to Quebec for a few days. 6 hour drive. And if the GFS had a snowmageddon event for Thurs JAN 26 I'm sure you'd be optomistic about it. It's not going to rain 2 weeks from now Jerry. It's going to snow. If it rains north of the Pike that week, beers and ribs on me..... you know where. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 That's great Okie, but it ain't downwelling right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 That's great Okie, but it ain't downwelling right now. In the 12Z GFS it has sort of a "diffuse downwelling"... in other words, not that much warming at a given point but the entire lower stratosphere warms by about 10-20C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 People have been all over the stratosphere's jock. Don S is very smart...and he loves snow. He'll tell it like it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 It's also trying to raise heights in the Davis Straits. It could be because of the PV retro. In fact, probably a big part of it, but maybe it's hinting at week 4 on the weeklies.?? we are going to need it. when the n pacific ridging was giving us that -wpo pattern it was ok...now retrograding so much...boooooo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 People have been all over the stratosphere's jock. Don S is very smart...and he loves snow. He'll tell it like it is. Yeah this year has seen the stuff come out. Not sure why, we all gave the reasons how it needs to downwell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 People have been all over the stratosphere's jock. Don S is very smart...and he loves snow. He'll tell it like it is. he's going to be wrong. very wrong. LOL...famous last words from CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 And if the GFS had a snowmageddon event for Thurs JAN 26 I'm sure you'd be optomistic about it. It's not going to rain 2 weeks from now Jerry. It's going to snow. If it rains south of the Pike that week, beers and ribs on me..... you know where. At least Jerry will be only down one net meal by 2/1. The pattern goes to crap after this period of cold. Take it to the bank, do the Tebow, send Kev a tweet or a smoke signal to MRG from atop his hill in Alaska. Fail! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 At least Jerry will be only down one net meal by 2/1. The pattern goes to crap after this period of cold. Take it to the bank, do the Tebow, send Kev a tweet or a smoke signal to MRG from atop his hill in Alaska. Fail! If I wasn't in the middle of a strict regimine right now I'd allow you to participate and enjoy a double dose of ribs and brews but I'll have to settle for simply bumping this on the 27th when I get back from North Conway having enjoyed the powder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 I can go an entire lifetime without hearing about stratospheric warming again. 2011-2012's way overused weenie term. It's kind like how annular was to the tropical threads a few years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 I can go an entire lifetime without hearing about stratospheric warming again. 2011-2012's way overused weenie term. It's kind like how annular was to the tropical threads a few years ago. Every year has a weenie term it seems..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 If I wasn't in the middle of a strict regimine right now I'd allow you to participate and enjoy a double dose of ribs and brews but I'll have to settle for simply bumping this on the 27th when I get back from North Conway having enjoyed the powder. We're talking Boston not North Conway. Jerry won't have major snow issues after around 1/20-22ish. The pattern is pulling a Dan Quayle after that. I can go an entire lifetime without hearing about stratospheric warming again. 2011-2012's way overused weenie term. It's kind like how annular was to the tropical threads a few years ago. LOL, add gradient pattern to that as well, and SWFE's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Every year has a weenie term it seems..lol. pretty much...take a legitimate but poorly understood happening...take some mets with limited knowledge and weenies with even more limited knowledge on the subject and it seems like a recipe for disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 11, 2012 Author Share Posted January 11, 2012 Hey, all that matters ... I'm going to still be ahead of last year after 1/12 ... October 2011 FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 What is the solace in a futility record? Its a fairly transparent psychological wall people put up when they want to fool other people and themselves that they are not mad at the winter outcome.... Wrong. Extremes in weather are enjoyable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 11, 2012 Author Share Posted January 11, 2012 Wrong. Extremes in weather are enjoyable. Somewhat. I had this argument with somebody last year. When the "extreme" is the anomaly in the opposite direction of seasonal climatology (e.g. warmth in the winter, cold in the summer), it's not as fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Wrong. Extremes in weather are enjoyable. Lol, yeah high wind, high precip, lots of snow, etc etc. Not lack of everything that makes winter fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Looks like we could be seeing storms during the 11-15 day, but the pattern looks kind of ugly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Looks like we could be seeing storms during the 11-15 day, but the pattern looks kind of ugly. Almost the entire country and E Canada are above normal everyday through the d11-15 period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Looks like we could be seeing storms during the 11-15 day, but the pattern looks kind of ugly. Is there any hint of "not so bad" out in the long range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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