Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 who cares You should, maybe then you're long range predictions would be more accurate this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 You should, maybe then you're long range predictions would be more accurate this winter. Meh my account balance does not change either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Once again after the cutter it looks good ver****inbatim Ha.. I'm seriously done with winter.. I could care less if it snows or doesn't snow, if its 70 or -10. After listening to constant analysis of MJO and the euro wrecklies, I have just come to the personal realization that I don't really care for this winter anymore. Ill still be on this board, cause I think its hilarious that people are wavering on each and every model run. But I've gotten to the point where unless a storm is 84 hours out.. why look at it? I actually didn't really care about this past storm at all.. if it trended warmer I would have acted the same as I did when it snowed like 4.4" There's really no point in following a storm that is 4-5 days out anymore cause it's gonna shift about 500 miles until it hits... This pattern is so bad that the models are even tired of trying to produce snow (Nam) Give me KU or just give me spring... Things I'm looking forward to: Superbowl in 22 days Myrtle beach in 47 days Spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 This is the type of pattern that killed more than a few ski areas 20 yrs ago. Worse actually. sad thing is they were catching up, this is gonna hurt but maybe the thaw in a winter that wasn't actually starts winter. -NAO Feb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Meh my account balance does not change either way. Just busting....tit for tat. You can't say I haven't been consistent, I was saying 10 days ago I thought this never ending flip to cold would end about 1/20-22 and that's going to be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Ha.. I'm seriously done with winter.. I could care less if it snows or doesn't snow, if its 70 or -10. After listening to constant analysis of MJO and the euro wrecklies, I have just come to the personal realization that I don't really care for this winter anymore. Ill still be on this board, cause I think its hilarious that people are wavering on each and every model run. But I've gotten to the point where unless a storm is 84 hours out.. why look at it? I actually didn't really care about this past storm at all.. if it trended warmer I would have acted the same as I did when it snowed like 4.4" There's really no point in following a storm that is 4-5 days out anymore cause it's gonna shift about 500 miles until it hits... This pattern is so bad that the models are even tired of trying to produce snow (Nam) Give me KU or just give me spring... Things I'm looking forward to: I would die to be in Pete Mitch and MPMs shoes right now, my absolute favorite snow.Superbowl in 22 days Myrtle beach in 47 days Spring I would die to be in Pete Mitch and MPMs shoes right now, my absolute favorite snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Just busting....tit for tat. You can't say I haven't been consistent, I was saying 10 days ago I thought this never ending flip to cold would end about 1/20-22 and that's going to be right. Its all good bro I will 1/12/11 your ass soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Its all good bro I will 1/12/11 your ass soon enough. Not this winter...maybe next winter. Your ass will be tickled by endless warmth through March...with only the random cold interlude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheetah440 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 sad thing is they were catching up, this is gonna hurt but maybe the thaw in a winter that wasn't actually starts winter. -NAO Feb? Well I used to ski at Blandford growing up and back then they had no snowmaking. I remember at least skiing every winter, even though we did have to ski around the bare spots and they were known to bring up some snow from the parking lot more than a few times. Those were the lean early 80's yrs. 79/80 and 80/81. Lean snow years. But at least there were ski days, always. Without snowmaking there would be 0 ski days at Blandford today, and according to the long range, through Jan. I'd have to do some research and not sure if I could find it, but I don't think that has happened in the last 40 yrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 The overnight teleconnectors are struggling really hard to end winter. I am not sure they will be successful, as there is still ongoing thermal turmoil in the stratosphere over the PV; which could, of course, mean a forced suppression in the PV out in time just yet. It could be that they have merely temporarily lost the signal that had been gaining momentum – unsure. But if the snap shot EPO/PNA/NAO verifies …combined with the near abandonment of the previously advertised –AO were to take place, I don’t see it snowing again for the rest of this month frankly. Probably have to deal with a powerful warm sector in there at some point too – again, *IF* this "new" appeal is valid. Can't stress that enough because some folks will read this and throw their hands in negativity. But, again… the retrograding of the EPO ridge off the mound could be an error just the same… Not sure why the AO is trying neutralize in the ensemble mean forecast though – that’s an enigma. Unreal year. The atmosphere is behaving as though a piddle 2-3” snow fall is so exotically major that it has to do the 45 day pattern reload. Unbelievable. Other years, you get this as a forethought before the 20”er. Multiple times. Just bizarre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 LOL, this clipper will give us the finger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 LOL, this clipper will give us the finger. this euro run is painful to watch on many levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 this euro run is painful to watch on many levels. Wow.. as if it couldn't get any worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 cutters will cut.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Wow.. as if it couldn't get any worse. That emoticon should be the other way around. Should be someone chopping the snowmen with an axe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 you look at some of these runs...and just get the feeling there is going to be a day down the road here in the next 10 to 14 that is just god awful in terms of warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 That emoticon should be the other way around. Should be someone chopping the snowmen with an axe. Yes, good point actually. What an absolute epic fail. Our worst fears about the pattern and the subsequent change have come true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 The overnight teleconnectors are struggling really hard to end winter. I am not sure they will be successful, as there is still ongoing thermal turmoil in the stratosphere over the PV; which could, of course, mean a forced suppression in the PV out in time just yet. It could be that they have merely temporarily lost the signal that had been gaining momentum – unsure. But if the snap shot EPO/PNA/NAO verifies …combined with the near abandonment of the previously advertised –AO were to take place, I don’t see it snowing again for the rest of this month frankly. Probably have to deal with a powerful warm sector in there at some point too – again, *IF* this "new" appeal is valid. Can't stress that enough because some folks will read this and throw their hands in negativity. But, again… the retrograding of the EPO ridge off the mound could be an error just the same… Not sure why the AO is trying neutralize in the ensemble mean forecast though – that’s an enigma. Unreal year. The atmosphere is behaving as though a piddle 2-3” snow fall is so exotically major that it has to do the 45 day pattern reload. Unbelievable. Other years, you get this as a forethought before the 20”er. Multiple times. Just bizarre. Most astounding to me is the cyclical nature of threats this year...it's been about every 20 or so days now since 10/31. Then like you said we're back to crap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Dude, 570 thicknesses into KS!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 13, 2012 Author Share Posted January 13, 2012 But but but ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Dude, 570 thicknesses into KS!! it's awful. mid-spring heat dome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Dude, 570 thicknesses into KS!! >+16 850s to Kansas City. Dear God. The worst part is there's actually a Sonoran heat release signal!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 There's almost no doubt in my mind that tons and tons of records will be made across the Plains and perhaos parts of the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Break out the speedos east of the Rockies on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Yes, good point actually. What an absolute epic fail. Our worst fears about the pattern and the subsequent change have come true. I kind of like it... My outdoorsy plans are less impeded ftw. But yeah, ... For those more reliant on proper winter weather this doesn't seem natural anymore - seems like it is being done deliberately. Oh man - haha. I mean, you got nothing to argue against, either. The NAO is positive ...well, storms should go west. If there were a better time to tune out and ignore weather altogether (if that is an option for you...), I suggest you take a vacation from it now and check back in in a couple weeks. Maybe you'll get pleasantly surprised - otherwise ...heh, don't know what to tell you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 There's almost no doubt in my mind that tons and tons of records will be made across the Plains and perhaos parts of the east. Agreed. The ensemble, operational, and weekly support is incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 It's so bad... Kevin may start rooting for record warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 There's almost no doubt in my mind that tons and tons of records will be made across the Plains and perhaos parts of the east. Meanwhile.... have guys been paying attention to the headliner winter they are getting in Alaska?! Just wow. Cordova Alaska reported 15 feet of snow in December... It's regional too - Valdez ...there all buried alive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 It's so bad... Kevin may start rooting for record warmth. Everything trended warmer from last night. If the EC ensembles agree...so much for any boundary near SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Agreed. The ensemble, operational, and weekly support is incredible. don't worry...big stratospheric warming event is going to solve all the problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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