Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 All the early access Euro folks are offline Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 6:46 PM, CT Blizz said: All the early access Euro folks are offline Euro d5-6: I don't have a sleet man icon for your location but you get my drift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Euro agrees with GFS in torch attenuation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 6:46 PM, CT Blizz said: All the early access Euro folks are offline Looks decent verbatim...but obviously a long way to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 6:44 PM, MaineJayhawk said: Won't get fooled again, bro. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 weekend really looks nice on the euro but as we all know it will change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 6:52 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: Looks decent verbatim...but obviously a long way to go Do you think this runs the risk of being too far north more so than OTS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 6:46 PM, weatherMA said: One post for a day 5 snowstorm on the euro? That has to be a record low. Its out a day 6, But thats the problem, Its not day 4 yet.....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Jerry's euro snow for FIT: SAT 18Z 21-JAN -4.6 -6.5 1024 77 100 0.10 551 533 SUN 00Z 22-JAN -4.7 -1.8 1022 92 96 0.37 556 539 SUN 06Z 22-JAN -3.7 -1.0 1022 90 94 0.05 557 539 SUN 12Z 22-JAN -4.6 -1.3 1025 89 18 0.01 562 542 ...that's a nice 5-6" event right there for FIT-ORH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 6:55 PM, Dryslot said: Thats the problem, Its not day 4 yet.....lol Waiting till crunch time - 48hours out. No one's taking chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 6:55 PM, Typhoon Tip said: Jerry's euro snow for FIT: SAT 18Z 21-JAN -4.6 -6.5 1024 77 100 0.10 551 533 SUN 00Z 22-JAN -4.7 -1.8 1022 92 96 0.37 556 539 SUN 06Z 22-JAN -3.7 -1.0 1022 90 94 0.05 557 539 SUN 12Z 22-JAN -4.6 -1.3 1025 89 18 0.01 562 542 ...that's a nice 5-6" event right there for FIT-ORH Man...I would take that in a heart beat...nice 4-6" high end advisory event on Saturday afternoon. Just 9 more euro runs to go along with getting every other model on board. LOL, at least the gfs had the event, it was just too far south for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 6:56 PM, Cold Miser said: Waiting till crunch time - 48hours out. No one's taking chances. Yeah, And even that close in there is no guarantee this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 The op GFS true torch is down to about 192 hours to 240 hours. It has a redevloper around 288 hours and some decent cold shots amidst the overall sub-par pattern. On 1/16/2012 at 6:28 PM, weathafella said: Nice snowstorm for BOS on the euro d5-6. I probably have 40 inches in the bank from euro d6 snow events already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Euro's only got 1-2 day mild days next week..and then a nice backdoor/cad look days 9-10 especially Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 7:06 PM, CT Blizz said: Euro's only got 1-2 day mild days next week..and then a nice backdoor/cad look days 9-10 especially Monster 1050+ hp n of nne....haven't seen that all winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 7:10 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: Monster 1050+ hp n of nne....haven't seen that all winter GFS ended up being right on that I think...if we go back and look at the runs a few days ago they had a pig high coming across in that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 This Euro's D10 is absurd - heh, like all D10's aren't... but, just the same I don't think I've ever seen such an exotically compressed confluent flow over Ontario on a model run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 7:10 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: Monster 1050+ hp n of nne....haven't seen that all winter Seems like a lot of signals are there on many of the LR models/ens ..of a very truncated/mild period next week. If we can somehow get out of that disaster with 2 days near 50 or something..I'd consider that a huge win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 7:20 PM, CT Blizz said: Seems like a lot of signals are there on many of the LR models/ens ..of a very truncated/mild period next week. If we can somehow get out of that disaster with 2 days near 50 or something..I'd consider that a huge win Ive been checking the weather for the game on Sunday the last couple of days and every run it seems to trend colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Only in this winter would a 1053 high have an atmosphere where it's +2 at 850..lol. Regardless..good to see. I can't see the euro stuff other than Allan's model page right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 7:29 PM, CoastalWx said: Only in this winter would a 1053 high have an atmosphere where it's +2 at 850..lol. Regardless..good to see. I can't see the euro stuff other than Allan's model page right now. Wunderground isn't working for any models. Euro probably just sent them a bill for one hundred million dollars worth of clicks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 7:31 PM, messenger said: Wunderground isn't working for any models. Euro probably just sent them a bill for one hundred million dollars worth of clicks. Worked earlier. Showed a solid 4-8" event for much of SNE into S VT and S NH for Saturday. Even tonight/tomorrow AM looked good for 1-2" in the interior and interior CP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 7:31 PM, messenger said: Wunderground isn't working for any models. Euro probably just sent them a bill for one hundred million dollars worth of clicks. That's how they're going to bail out Greece. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Is this how we can get Davis Strait blocking....sneak it in the back door from the middle of the continent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Textbook CAD for the ice storm lover in all of us: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 6:52 PM, CapeCodWeather.net said: Looks decent verbatim...but obviously a long way to go Actually a little milder than I thought...but whatever. Just got a closer look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 8:02 PM, ClashmoreMike said: Is this how we can get Davis Strait blocking....sneak it in the back door from the middle of the continent? There's no rule really in how blocking can evolve into the D. Straight region. More typically ... there's a deep "50/50 low" that results from a GL or EC bomb that migrates on up and slowly dies. As it does, the flow over top at mid levels piles WAA into the higher latitudes and that terminates as a geopotential height expansion. That in turn causes DVM over the broader area, leading to surface pressure to rise. I have seen ridges "pinch off" from just about every direction and then anchor in there. The reason "anchoring" tends to take place is really because it's the favored location, D. Straight over to Iceland, for WAA to terminate from cyclones moving into higher latitudes/post occlusion phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 18z NAM slightly heftier with front end snow. Prolly be a 2-3" burst of snow that cuts to drizzle/patchy -zr and fog. Models likely too warm in the 2-meter given this... just my opinion Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 On 1/16/2012 at 8:46 PM, Typhoon Tip said: 18z NAM slightly heftier with front end snow. Prolly be a 2-3" burst of snow that cuts to drizzle/patchy -zr and fog. Models likely too warm in the 2-meter given this... just my opinion There's a thread on this fyi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 D10 Euro looks like a classic backdoor cold front scenario with that confluence to our north. Would be quite a way to run a torch if it verified with low-level chill bleeding in from the N and NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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