weatherMA Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Yeah, looks nice N of route 2. Probably 1-2" then PL. I think 12z Thursday on the nam looks like sleet for ORH. This run is sweet for southern/central NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 18z NAM pounds on CNE. Up into the eastern white mountains to get a pounding on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 18z nam storm seems to be slowing down its speed if you look at 12z and 18z same time it is defanitly slowing on the 18z !never mind was looking at wrong map disregard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 At hour 45 on the 18z nam...what would it be doing at ORH? Surface is like 33-34F and the 850 level is torching but 925 is still like -1C. Just rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 At hour 45 on the 18z nam...what would it be doing at ORH? Surface is like 33-34F and the 850 level is torching but 925 is still like -1C. Just rain? if you look at hr 54 sim radar there is nothing! so it looks like on nam when it changes to rain at least here in MHT precip is over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 8" of flour crusted over with some FZDZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Don't forget to look at soundings guys. Even at 15z KCON is close to pelting. Sneaky warm layer at 800mb ruining the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Don't forget to look at soundings guys. Even at 15z KCON is close to pelting. Sneaky warm layer at 800mb ruining the party. yeah when i said pounded i was mainly referring to actually having winter-type precip throughout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 At hour 45 on the 18z nam...what would it be doing at ORH? Surface is like 33-34F and the 850 level is torching but 925 is still like -1C. Just rain? NAM says you start as snow, to a brief period of sleet around 45 then over to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 if you look at hr 54 sim radar there is nothing! so it looks like on nam when it changes to rain at least here in MHT precip is over MHT starts flirting with IP around 45hr. There's a pesky warm layer around 800mb, but it is marginal. It would probably be refrozen snowflakes verbatim, but if the WAA over performs there will be pinging in the queen city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 yeah when i said pounded i was mainly referring to actually having winter-type precip throughout. Oh no..I didn't direct it at you, lol...I was just throwing it out there for people to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Lol bridgton could see a foot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 MHT starts flirting with IP around 45hr. There's a pesky warm layer around 800mb, but it is marginal. It would probably be refrozen snowflakes verbatim, but if the WAA over performs there will be pinging in the queen city. Those "high" warm layers always suck. I feel like 7-8 out of 10 times, it means pelt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Lol bridgton could see a foot They always win. They are the Tebow of winter storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 MHT starts flirting with IP around 45hr. There's a pesky warm layer around 800mb, but it is marginal. It would probably be refrozen snowflakes verbatim, but if the WAA over performs there will be pinging in the queen city. im just hoping to get a gooid front end thump of snow! how much snow do you think it gives me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Looking like Manchester north will do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 MHT starts flirting with IP around 45hr. There's a pesky warm layer around 800mb, but it is marginal. It would probably be refrozen snowflakes verbatim, but if the WAA over performs there will be pinging in the queen city. Wow its going to be close here... I'm hoping for the slightest tick south starting tonight. I'm loving that the NAM essentially held serve from 12z Scott, Brian, What do you think for here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Sleet fest down here Need to move 15 miles north Tubes does ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Even after the dry slot moves in it is really cold in the low levels on the NAM. Maybe instead of FZDZ it will end up as tiny ice pellets or snow grains. H95 is -7C at 48hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 What happened to DomNH from Nashua? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 I'll take my 1-2" and run on the nam. Be back at 11:30 tonight hoping for a last minute cooling trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 8" of flour crusted over with some FZDZ. Icing on the cake, No pun intended Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Even after the dry slot moves in it is really cold in the low levels on the NAM. Maybe instead of FZDZ it will end up as tiny ice pellets or snow grains. H95 is -7C at 48hr. Man I wish I had Thursday off. I'd be up there in a heart beat. Agreed about snow grains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Wow its going to be close here... I'm hoping for the slightest tick south starting tonight. I'm loving that the NAM essentially held serve from 12z Scott, Brian, What do you think for here? Few inches then ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 What happened to DomNH from Nashua? I was thiking that earlier! have not heard from him since last winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Lol bridgton could see a foot AWT, And your not there.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Oh no..I didn't direct it at you, lol...I was just throwing it out there for people to look at. here's a good view of it....cross section running from about ktol to mwn. good visual in this event as to why your 850s can be deceiving. notice there are spots that are solidly <0C 850s but a pretty good sized elevated warm layer...perhaps good vvs could offset some...but that's a pretty thick warm layer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ericnh Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 just posted winter storm watch for parts of central nortjern new england pretty much concord nh north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 here's a good view of it....cross section running from about ktol to mwn. good visual in this event as to why your 850s can be deceiving. notice there are spots that are solidly <0C 850s but a pretty good sized elevated warm layer...perhaps good vvs could offset some...but that's a pretty thick warm layer. Yeah it's thick. CT from 850-700 are far north which makes sense when you see that. Definitely a plus to be north and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 What happened to DomNH from Nashua? He's been around from time to time. Talked to him during the October storm and have seen his SN at the bottom every now and then. I've been wondering about Birving myself though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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