Zeus Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 GFS came north. Looks like it near se LI as an elongated storm. I'm more interested in how quickly cold air can get established in the wake of this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 First couple of creeps NW...Will's east side of trough FTW? I hope not. But time is going to tell..... I think Will up into the SNH and SVT areas are in very good shape right now. Not as sure well north, much less certain south for temps. We shall see, beats what we've been tracking the last two weeks which is Kev's mood swings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 First couple of creeps NW...Will's east side of trough FTW? I hope not. But time is going to tell..... I think Will up into the SNH and SVT areas are in very good shape right now. Not as sure well north, much less certain south for temps. We shall see, beats what we've been tracking the last two weeks which is Kev's mood swings. That trough could screw some areas. We'll have to wait until 00z for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Well, my wood guy dropped off two cords a week early, that should guarentee snow here because I'll never have time to get it all stacked. Oh' and I just noticed my snow blower has a flat tire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Looks like we had our CAD/confluence correction south and now we're getting our southern stream correction north. That GL upper low digs quite a bit more on this run. Maybe a little more interaction with the southern stream vort to boot it a bit north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Looking like a prolonged event. A few inches up north, possible warnign criteria, but continued upslope. I'm thinking ski areas could end up with a foot by Sat. AM. Am I out to lunch or is this a possibility? As for here in Lowell, it's lookign like we could even end up with possible warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Looks like we had our CAD/confluence correction south and now we're getting our southern stream correction north. That GL upper low digs quite a bit more on this run. Maybe a little more interaction with the southern stream vort to boot it a bit north? It was slightly further south on this run then 12z and stronger as the trough was digging further SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 The spoils of a positive AO: http://news.blogs.cnn.com/2012/01/09/alaska-town-digging-its-way-out-after-record-18-feet-of-snow/?hpt=hp_c2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Looks like we had our CAD/confluence correction south and now we're getting our southern stream correction north. That GL upper low digs quite a bit more on this run. Maybe a little more interaction with the southern stream vort to boot it a bit north? Congrats on the snow up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Congrats on the snow up there. Why does everyone reply to me like they hate me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Why does everyone reply to me like they hate me? I don't reply to you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Why does everyone reply to me like they hate me? We luv you up here brian.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Why does everyone reply to me like they hate me? Because you are rooting against my snow here...I take it personally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Because you are rooting against my snow here...I take it personally. If Tebow reads this forum he would surely have seen that all I wanted was 2" and was more than willing to let you and Ray jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Things are looking up... Will made a joke And MarkO, did you know Dean King died? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 more like MA border north for this one. Agreed. I was referring to the long range. I never bought a snow storm for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Looks like we had our CAD/confluence correction south and now we're getting our southern stream correction north. That GL upper low digs quite a bit more on this run. Maybe a little more interaction with the southern stream vort to boot it a bit north? A boot for Vim Toot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Why does everyone reply to me like they hate me? Not you, personally....but the run thatr your location has been on ever since I joined this board in the fall of 2006 is really getting on my nerves. BTW, you never replied to my sig edit issue.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 If Tebow reads this forum he would surely have seen that all I wanted was 2" and was more than willing to let you and Ray jackpot. God bless you....I hold no ill will. You can have 10" of snow. I'll take my icing event and thank the lord for what weather I get. In all seriousness....the cruddy resolution GFS is starting to show decent CAD at 925mb...which is a definite signal for potential icing if the mid-levels end up trending warmer. The CAD has been a very large increase on all guidance since yesterday. Starting to remind me of the trend leading up to 12/16/07...although obviously the antecedent airmass is much warmer than that event...but that high is in a good spot for CAD...and the CAD may be enough to even affect the mid-levels significantly. Maybe Ray will end up getting decent snow afterall in his NE MA location while Kevin gets a 33F rainstorm and ORH gets front end snow to 30F ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Looking like a prolonged event. A few inches up north, possible warnign criteria, but continued upslope. I'm thinking ski areas could end up with a foot by Sat. AM. Am I out to lunch or is this a possibility? As for here in Lowell, it's lookign like we could even end up with possible warning criteria. Yea, suicide warnings should be issued by about 18z tmw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 This is the first legitimate threat for someone within 75 miles of me for a very long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 God bless you....I hold no ill will. You can have 10" of snow. I'll take my icing event and thank the lord for what weather I get. In all seriousness....the cruddy resolution GFS is starting to show decent CAD at 925mb...which is a definite signal for potential icing if the mid-levels end up trending warmer. The CAD has been a very large increase on all guidance since yesterday. Starting to remind me of the trend leading up to 12/16/07...although obviously the antecedent airmass is much warmer than that event...but that high is in a good spot for CAD...and the CAD may be enough to even affect the mid-levels significantly. Maybe Ray will end up getting decent snow afterall in his NE MA location while Kevin gets a 33F rainstorm and ORH gets front end snow to 30F ice. Oh how I prey, but I doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 This is the first legitimate threat for someone within 75 miles of me for a very long time. It occurs on the 1 year anniversary of our greatest storm as a region last winter...maybe that's a good omen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Things are looking up... Will made a joke And MarkO, did you know Dean King died? Didn't know that. Did you know Dave "Gampa"? He graduated in '92, died last month as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 It occurs on the 1 year anniversary of our greatest storm as a region last winter...maybe that's a good omen. What does your gut say? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 It occurs on the 1 year anniversary of our greatest storm as a region last winter...maybe that's a good omen. I feel optimistic going forward. I don't expect 1993-94 to come knocking but at least we may get some 2007-08 or the following winter for a spell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Didn't know that. Did you know Dave "Gampa"? He graduated in '92, died last month as well. nope...not familiar with that name Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Yea, suicide warnings should be issued by about 18z tmw. Yeah, I'm really not seeing warning criteria here, especially now with the 18hr correction, but I thought it could be a possibility. Little concerned with what's above 850. Is it warmer? So sick of the snow to our north I built the cabin in the mountians. Of course it's sucked only slightly less this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 What does your gut say? At the moment, my guts says we are going to get some ice...some snow on the front end before that. But I fully expect the following to happen: 1. The NAM will have a run between now and tomorrow that gives most of SNE 8-10" of snow. 2. Euro will keep oscillating between colder and warmer in the mid-levels, but gradually be trending warmer. 3. The GFS will show 40F and rain for you at some point when the Euro and other models have 29F and ZR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 My gut is still telling me the seasonal trend is for these systems to get warmer as we get closer. N and W of ORH will be the place to be. I wonder if the area around sunda river fairs the best with this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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