famartin Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 EC trended south per phlwx... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 6:04 PM, famartin said: EC trended south per phlwx... weaker. low center is pretty close to 0z but it's a couple of mb weaker and the precip shield is knocked back a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 8, 2012 Author Share Posted January 8, 2012 EC QPF... MPO 0.02 FWN 0.04 ABE 0.04 RDG 0.04 12N 0.05 UKT 0.05 PTW 0.06 MQS 0.07 SMQ 0.08 MMU 0.09 DYL 0.09 LOM 0.10 DOV 0.10 GED 0.10 NXX 0.11 TTN 0.12 ILG 0.12 ESN 0.12 W29 0.12 PNE 0.14 PHL 0.14 WWD 0.14 BLM 0.16 NEL 0.16 WRI 0.16 VAY 0.16 MJX 0.16 ACY 0.18 MIV 0.18 Note that down towards ACY it looks like its mainly rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Where is the rain/snow line per the EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 8, 2012 Author Share Posted January 8, 2012 EC 3-hour snowfall maps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 6:45 PM, famartin said: EC 3-hour snowfall maps... Ewing Township is in the Euro bullseye at 42 hours on the 12Z euro - FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 JBs latest tweet on the Sneak Snow event tomorrow DC to Boston 1 to 2" with 3" at Atlantic City Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Just saw his map for this and it looks like little or nothing N and W of I95 in SE PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 I would settle for a little whiteness at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 then rain storm follows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 18z NAM shifting north now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 8:17 PM, phlwx said: 18z NAM shifting north now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 8:38 PM, Quakertown needs snow said: 18z GFS coming around soon, hoping this one will drop more than a coating... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 9:28 PM, Riptide said: 18z GFS coming around soon, hoping this one will drop more than a coating... ...and that's what the GFS gives you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 9:50 PM, phlwx said: ...and that's what the GFS gives you... It's winter 2011-2012, i'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 If i get a coating or an inch i'll take it, simple cleanup, then it will be removed anyhow the end of the week. so its all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 8, 2012 Author Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 10:04 PM, LMolineuxLM1 said: If i get a coating or an inch i'll take it, simple cleanup, then it will be removed anyhow the end of the week next day. so its all good. Fixed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 10:06 PM, famartin said: Fixed. Thanks, It will be a nice time to take a quick set of pictures then move on. But the heavy rain with any snow melt will make my back yard a fricken swamp again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 10:06 PM, famartin said: Fixed. Yep. Just something nice to look at if it happens. We'll see who's closer, the GFS or Euro. My guess is we might see a coating up to PHL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Also, I can't believe the Wunderground Euro data is still free. to them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 8, 2012 Author Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 10:24 PM, cast4 said: Also, I can't believe the Wunderground Euro data is still free. to them. I think I figured out how they get away with that, since generally ECMWF contractually prevents free distribution of their QPF data. That's the key: QPF. Since the snowfall maps aren't QPF (they're a snowfall estimate based on the QPF and temp profile), technically they are apparently able to distribute it. Sneaky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 10:29 PM, famartin said: I think I figured out how they get away with that, since generally ECMWF contractually prevents free distribution of their QPF data. That's the key: QPF. Since the snowfall maps aren't QPF (they're a snowfall estimate based on the QPF and temp profile), technically they are apparently able to distribute it. Sneaky. ...or creative! Based on that map, it shows some (very) light stuff Delaware R. and east, as far north as the Lehigh Valley. Do you think it makes it this far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 lol, just saw the thread caption. Does look like around the philly area this will be a light snowfall on the order of 2 inches or less. If it occurs, chalk another win for the euro against the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LMolineuxLM1 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 10:43 PM, tombo82685 said: lol, just saw the thread caption. Does look like around the philly area this will be a light snowfall on the order of 2 inches or less. If it occurs, chalk another win for the euro against the gfs Moved back to Drexel Hill? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LocoAko Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Will be interesting to see if the Euro scores a win against the NAM and GFS, although I suppose they are trending more favorably. SREF probabilities aren't impressed, but the chance of any measurable precipitation in the area around 10-20%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 8, 2012 Author Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 10:36 PM, eastonwx said: ...or creative! Based on that map, it shows some (very) light stuff Delaware R. and east, as far north as the Lehigh Valley. Do you think it makes it this far north? Maybe some flurries. I tend to think measurable will stay south of the LV. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 18z gfs ens, bring .1 line up to phl... .25 goes through cape may county but they most likely have precip type issues. Srefs also came north... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecaster Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 10:55 PM, tombo82685 said: 18z gfs ens, bring .1 line up to phl... .25 goes through cape may county but they most likely have precip type issues. Srefs also came north... i was looking at the srefs, looks like a nice period of light snow for phl south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 On 1/8/2012 at 11:09 PM, soadforecaster said: i was looking at the srefs, looks like a nice period of light snow for phl south they will continue to come north. Seems like the american models are still trying to sniff this out. While all the globals have had this. See below, ukie and ggem ukie ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 The non-agreement between the globals and the american models just seems like a battle between flurries and a light event, there is general agreement that some area will be located in the cold and snow. All systems go I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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