Ji Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 He has his grandmas balls...this is bold http://www.wxrisk.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 He has his grandmas balls...this is bold http://www.wxrisk.com/ Some are calling for it to flip back just as quickly as it flips....and some are calling for it to never flip....look out the window...there's your weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 I don't generally read DT's stuff but I thought he did a good job explaining what could go wrong and right with the upcoming pattern potential without making a specific call for a history pattern flip like Ji claims. Specifically this is what DT said at the end of his blog post explaining -EPO/-WPO... All that being said let me be clear here… I am not in any way forecasting a historically severe prolonged six week period of extreme cold… At least not yet. Nor my forecasting a historic snowstorm for Eastern North Carolina. But as we can now will clearly see the stratospheric warming is real it IS impacting the entire pattern and things are rapidly changing. We are going to see the entire AO get forced southward but the only question is how far to the south.The 0z JAN 18 EURO shows the trend nicely… of course there are STILL lot of things that can go WRONG here… for example IF the -WPO decides to slide back WEST into central Siberia that could be problem. If the NAO goes Neutral and does NOT go negative… THAT would also lead to a different result. Source - www.wxrisk.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 He has his grandmas balls...this is bold http://www.wxrisk.com/ DT is broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 LC says not so fast... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 I thought it was a fairly educational write up of what might happen and how things can/might shift to get winter weather into the CONUS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 WINTER RETURNS!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Wasn't a bad write up and doesn't paint a shining picture for south of 40-- BUT, that map is misconstrued. The day before has a colder look-- reality is the eastern cold is leaving with a second piece poised to enter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdsnowlover Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 LC says not so fast... do you have a link?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rainman Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 He has his grandmas balls...this is bold http://www.wxrisk.com/ Interesting writeup, but I'd like to see some more discussion about how and why he thinks this is all due to the stratospheric warming event. I am not arguing his reasoning or results, but as a reader it came across like he just threw it in there. Regardless, he didn't call for a historic change. He said that he was only discussing "potential". I know this because it was in all caps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 historic hyperbole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 I don't generally read DT's stuff but I thought he did a good job explaining what could go wrong and right with the upcoming pattern potential without making a specific call for a history pattern flip like Ji claims. Specifically this is what DT said at the end of his blog post explaining -EPO/-WPO... Source - www.wxrisk.com The Euro Fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Unfortunately a pattern change doesn't mean you'll get any snow, because there is more than one type of snowless pattern in the Northeast. A pattern change Warm and Snowless #1 to Warm and Snowless#2 maybe in the works for us while other parts of the globe experience a dramatic swing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 -WPO by itself is not a harbinger of cold to the east...but a -WPO progressing east and morphing into an -EPO, especially when talking about 570dm+ heights near the Arctic circle, is what more than one historic arctic outbreak was made of, since we are not only talking about arctic air, but the Siberian kind... Unfortunately, so far, modeling has the ridge slowly retrograding ...enhancing the -PNA trough and associated jet, with a more zonal flow across the CONUS. This kind of arctic air is very dense, so some of it will surely spill south, but right now it looks nothing like a major arctic outbreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WidreMann Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 I think he meant to hit the key next to the "i". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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