mahk_webstah Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 yeah honestly i hadn't even considered frozen anywhere south of the whites and w/n maine up until yesterday. i think the additional surge of weak/moderate CAA that happens tomorrow afternoon is a good thing for the interior areas. that innocuous feature rotating around the pv up in hudson bay linking up with this little northern stream shortwave crossing by seems to be shortening the period of early/mid week waa. for so long it looked like a huge wall of low and mid-level warmth got pushed northward starting tomorrow and was in full force by wednesday. that had the mid-levels absolutely roasting by late wed and into thur. that's being cut down now. baby steps and all a part of the changing regime...we need to starting shifting our thinking to the new paradigm. I fully expect a mostly frozen event up here for Wed eve and Thurs. I hope I am not disappointed, but the trends look good. 12Z is the critical run I think because we had colder runs 2.5 days ago which disappeared 1 or 2 cycles later and then came back yesterday afternoon and eve. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 yeah honestly i hadn't even considered frozen anywhere south of the whites and w/n maine up until yesterday. i think the additional surge of weak/moderate CAA that happens tomorrow afternoon is a good thing for the interior areas. that innocuous feature rotating around the pv up in hudson bay linking up with this little northern stream shortwave crossing by seems to be shortening the period of early/mid week waa. for so long it looked like a huge wall of low and mid-level warmth got pushed northward starting tomorrow and was in full force by wednesday. that had the mid-levels absolutely roasting by late wed and into thur. that's being cut down now. Last Thursday hints at this potential outcome were thrown out by the Euro Ens. Hopefully it pans out. It is a pseudo -Nao albeit transient which rotates this due East and slows down the vort max forcing it East. There are a lot of jaded folks here but this could be decent for quite a few. I agree totally with your earlier post, very much less interested in what lies ahead in 15 days, now that we are in a favorable pattern it will be nice to look at and track up close systems. Amazingly cold air will be in Canada, coldest air in the world on our side of the world upcoming. Make due time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 GFS looks east and colder with energy transferring to the coast at h60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 12z gfs looks colder then 06z 1024mb high over Quebec sliding SE Euro inside 84 FTW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Yeah GFS has better confluence and is a bit colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 precip breaking out in CT at h66 as snow north of 84...32F isotherm running 10miles south of CT/MA border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Euro inside 84 FTW? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 gfs is going to be cold this run might look like the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 At 72, its snowing at BDL... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 I have to say we see the phrase"esp. north of the pike" tossed around so often..esp this winter..and so far it hasn't mattered one iota . If this one is to be wintry at all I 'm not sure if we have to use that term. That phrase annoys me more than anything else does on this board. I cringe when I see people use that. It's like someone scraping nails on a chalkboard Why, its a perfect east-west demarcation line... just like RT 2. Does Will have a fit when folks say north of RT 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 LOL, too suppressed?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 yeah honestly i hadn't even considered frozen anywhere south of the whites and w/n maine up until yesterday. i think the additional surge of weak/moderate CAA that happens tomorrow afternoon is a good thing for the interior areas. that innocuous feature rotating around the pv up in hudson bay linking up with this little northern stream shortwave crossing by seems to be shortening the period of early/mid week waa. for so long it looked like a huge wall of low and mid-level warmth got pushed northward starting tomorrow and was in full force by wednesday. that had the mid-levels absolutely roasting by late wed and into thur. that's being cut down now. Like has been said already here, we're not racing to cool the boundary layer this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 at 75 it finally flips at we get some southerly flow...damn north of the pike looks gooood. low goes well south of SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Hmm..will I see flakes...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Like has been said already here, we're not racing to cool the boundary layer this time around. yep i agree. that's what sucked about the last several events. the airmass was putrid going in. this one at least has some "conditional" or "potential" cold to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Man, if there was ANY cold air in place beforehand... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 High pressure and confluence FTW, as displayed for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Hmm..will I see flakes...lol. 80 yrds in OT? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Any chances for some real frigiid weather the next two weeks? daytime highs in the low teens kind of stuff? I know this is OT but the thread remembering the jan 96 blizzard in the nyc thread is just great!! those guys really put lots of details into their posts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 at 75 it finally flips at we get some southerly flow...damn north of the pike looks gooood. low goes well south of SNE A little to far south for up here on this run.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 wtf... snow? it's a miracle?? R. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 80 yrds in OT? LOL Kind of pasty looking on the soundings. 950 temp of -0.6 is probably 33-34 or something. Not bad on the GFS, all things considered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 gfs even gives me some snow now north of here looks great but i dont want to get to invested into this yet but atleast its something to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 Cold air tuck into ern mass too, after it departs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 That's snow even for kevin. He may mix verbatim, but not bad. Congrats Will and Ray. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 lol http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/12zgfssnow084.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 That's snow even for kevin. He may mix verbatim, but not bad. Congrats Will and Ray. even me.. maybe.. wow.. change of fortunes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 A little to far south for up here on this run.. Well we will see, but not bad seeing the GFS be a little south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 A little to far south for up here on this run.. Yeah...too suppressed. 3 days ago we would've never thought it'd be too suppressed..lol. We'll get ours with all this cold air running around now. We need it. I want to go snowmobiling in Norway, Maine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 9, 2012 Share Posted January 9, 2012 LOL, too suppressed?? Looked weaker then 06z thats would explain some of it, Low center is only 150 mi SE of the nam...........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.