Hoosier Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Looks like Tony's guess may be pretty close, with extrapolation on Joe's figure through September and considering we've had a couple of events this Fall/early Winter (Oct. 17th/Christmas). Depends on the ratio of prelim vs verified for Oct-Dec. If we take Jan-Sep confirmed and add on the prelim reports for Oct 1 through Dec 18 (yeah I realize this won't be accurate), it only brings the total to 909. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 31, 2012 Author Share Posted December 31, 2012 Depends on the ratio of prelim vs verified for Oct-Dec. If we take Jan-Sep confirmed and add on the prelim reports for Oct 1 through Dec 18 (yeah I realize this won't be accurate), it only brings the total to 909. Yeah I still think there is a good shot that we come up short of 1000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Yeah I still think there is a shot that we come up short of 1000. It's not even a question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Wikipedia lists 28 confirmed tornadoes for the Dec 25-26 outbreak. Who knows if it's right but I'm going to assume it's reasonably close. We should finish the year safely below 1000, possibly even below 950. Really an amazing year of futility when you consider the trends in reporting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 From the SPC... "Did you know that 2012 will have the fewest number of tornado and severe thunderstorm watches issued by SPC since moving to Norman in 1997? Just 697 watches were issued this year (two numbers were inadvertently skipped which is why the last watch issued was #699). This breaks the previous record low (since SPC has been located in Norman) of 727 in 1999. The average number of watches per year for 1997-2012: 844. The greatest number of watches in a year during that time span: 983 in 2003." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted January 1, 2013 Share Posted January 1, 2013 Yeah my 1000-1050 will obviously bust high. The year ended up turning out pretty much how I expected. Not at all sure what to think about next year though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Rent Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 Taken from http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/2012/2012-NOAA-NWS-tornado-facts.pdf United States Tornadoes of 2012 Updated Jan. 6, 2013 and subject to revision. Comparisons are made for the 62-year period 1950-2011 unless otherwise noted. The official NOAA/NWS period of record for tornadoes in the United States extends back to 1950. Fatality records for significant tornado events prior to 1950 are used for historical comparison. Tornado numbers from January through October, 2012 are derived from Storm Data while numbers for November through December are preliminary estimates based on NWS Public Statements and Local Storm Reports. First Tornado.....................................8:45 AM CST, 9-Jan (EF0-TX) Last Tornado......................................5:00 PM EST, 26-Dec (EF1-NC) 2012 Total Tornadoes..............................936 (Ranked 25th since 1950) Record Annual Total..............................1817 in 2004 Greatest 2012 Monthly Total........................206 in April Greatest Monthly Total on Record...................759 in April 2011 2012 Tornado Days..................................170 Annual Average.....................................178 (50-years, 1962-2011) Record Tornado Days in Any Year....................211 in 2000 Greatest 2012 Daily Total (Mid-Mid CST).............86 on 14-Apr Greatest Daily Total on Record.....................200 on 27-Apr-2011 States Reporting Tornadoes in 2012..................46 Annual Average Number of States.....................43 (50-years, 1962-2011) Most States Reporting Tornadoes in Any Year.........48 (2011 and 1989) 2012 Tornado Deaths.................................68 (Ranked 25th since 1950) Annual Average Tornado Deaths.......................91 (62-years, 1950-2011) 2011 Tornado Deaths................................553 (Ranked 2nd in History) Greatest Annual Number of Tornado Deaths...........794 (1925) 2012 Tornado Injuries..............................829 (Ranked 43rd since 1950) Greatest Annual Number of Injuries................6824 in 1974 2012 Deadliest Single Tornado.......................Henryville, IN (11, 2-Mar) Record Deadliest Single Tornado (modern era)........Joplin, MO, 158, 22-May-2011 2012 Longest Track..................................85 miles (KY-WV, 2-Mar) Record Longest Track...............................235 miles (LA-MS, 22-Mar-1953) 2012 Tornadoes Rated EF4.............................4 (Fewest since 2 in 2009) Record Annual Number................................36 in 1974 2012 Tornadoes Rated EF5 (200+mph)...................0 (Fewest since 0 in 2010) Record Annual Number of EF5 Tornadoes................7 in 1974 2012 Estimated Property and Crop Losses...........~1.6 billion USD 2011 Estimated Property and Crop Losses..........~10.0 billion USD (Ranked 1st) Greatest Losses from Single Tornado...............~2.8 billion USD (Joplin, MO) Statistics compiled by Gregory.Carbin.at.noaa.gov, NOAA/NWS/Storm Prediction Center, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thewxmann Posted March 2, 2013 Share Posted March 2, 2013 Final verdict out: 939 tornadoes. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly/newm.html http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/2012/2012-NOAA-NWS-tornado-facts.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Sub 1000 almost seems impossible in this day and age with increased detection. Unless you a REALLY slow severe year. If it had been 30 years ago, last year's number may have been under 750. Final verdict out: 939 tornadoes. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/monthly/newm.html http://www.spc.noaa.gov/wcm/2012/2012-NOAA-NWS-tornado-facts.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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