Chicago WX Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 As worthless as it has been this fall and winter, baby steps on the 12z NAM I suppose. CIPS analogs based off last night's 0z GFS at 72 hours: http://www.eas.slu.e...2&fhr=F072&flg= Notice #3. lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 As worthless as it has been this fall and winter, baby steps on the 12z NAM I suppose. CIPS analogs based off last night's 0z GFS at 72 hours: http://www.eas.slu.e...2&fhr=F072&flg= Notice #3. lolz #11 is the real hoot... 12z NAM looks real nice for the folks in Toronto, FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 As worthless as it has been this fall and winter, baby steps on the 12z NAM I suppose. CIPS analogs based off last night's 0z GFS at 72 hours: http://www.eas.slu.e...2&fhr=F072&flg= Notice #3. lolz Def baby steps in the right direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Nice write up this mornin' . . . When will you be in the office this week IZZI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Good to see the NAM come around for one run anyway. Quite a bit further NW than most of the other models, though not surprising given its tendencies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 The NAM finally joins the other guidance and takes a big shift south with the nrn stream wave but still not as wet as the 0z runs here. It's about time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Worse case scenario 1 to 2" best case 3 to 5". Right now its a "solid" 1 to 3"+ event for the DET area. Advisory would be very welcome but certainly not necessary. I will take a "nuisance" snow anyday, especially in a winter like this. Its now been one month ago today (Dec 10th) since we last had a snow-depth of 1" (in that timeframe we have accumulated 1.7" total on 6 different days). EURO ftw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 The title of this thread should be updated because the snowfall part will be Jan 12-13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 GFS seems to be looking lame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 12z GFS back south from the its 6z run with the nrn stream wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kab2791 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 12Z RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 12z GFS stronger at the surface compared to the 0z run, but also farther northeast and quicker to move things along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 LOL at the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 12z GFS back south from the its 6z run with the nrn stream wave. Looks like .25-.30 for NE Illinois north of 88 with 13-15:1 rations a solid 4ish inch hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Looks like .25-.30 for NE Illinois north of 88 with 13-15:1 rations a solid 4ish inch hit. Exactly .25" at DPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Want to see some mad agreement in the 12z models. Is that a little to much to ask for? Lol. Yep! You ask for too much! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Yep! You ask for too much! Yup..lol. These solutions are gonna change countless times before now and Friday. Heck this might fall apart for all we know..(exaggeration) but I won't hug nothin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Looks like .25-.30 for NE Illinois north of 88 with 13-15:1 rations a solid 4ish inch hit. Solid advisory event. Feeling a little better than we can squeeze out an inch or so here. Unless of course the Euro continues with its solution...not holding my breath though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Some SWS's from IWX: SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 415 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 INZ013-015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016- 024-025-102200- PULASKI-FULTON IN-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH- HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH- DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE... ROCHESTER...AKRON...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...SOUTH WHITLEY... FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...MONON... LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO... WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON... OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND... HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...BRYAN... WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...SHERWOOD... HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...PAULDING... ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...FORT JENNINGS... VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE 415 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 ...ACCUMULATING SNOW POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... A VIGOROUS DISTURBANCE DROPPING OUT OF CANADA WILL DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT SWINGS THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR AND A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW...POSSIBLE HEAVY...THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO FOLLOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY NORTH AND WEST OF A MONTICELLO TO FORT WAYNE TO OTTAWA LINE. IN ADDITION...STRONG GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WHICH MAY LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT ALONG PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 65 AND 69 AS WELL AS HIGHWAYS 421...35...31...27 AND 127. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY RELATED TO THE ORIENTATION AND INTENSITY OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS...WHICH WILL ULTIMATELY DICTATE EVENTUAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION. SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 415 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 INZ003>005-MIZ077>079-102200- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN... NAPPANEE...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN... DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS... WHITE PIGEON...MENDON 415 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 /315 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012/ ...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... A VIGOROUS DISTURBANCE DROPPING OUT OF CANADA WILL DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT SWINGS THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR AND A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW...POSSIBLE HEAVY...THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL FOLLOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN INTO EXTREME NORTHERN INDIANA...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED NORTH OF HIGHWAY 6. SNOW AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY. IN ADDITION...STRONG GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW LIKELY. TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OVER SECTIONS OF THE INDIANA TOLL ROAD...INTERSTATE 94...AND HIGHWAYS 6...12...31...AND 20. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY RELATED TO THE ORIENTATION AND INTENSITY OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS...WHICH WILL ULTIMATELY DICTATE EVENTUAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION. SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 415 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 INZ006>009-012-014-016-MIZ080-081-102200- LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-MARSHALL-KOSCIUSKO-BRANCH- HILLSDALE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA... ANGOLA...FREMONT...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN... GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN... CULVER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLDWATER... BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE 415 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 /315 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012/ ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... A VIGOROUS DISTURBANCE DROPPING OUT OF CANADA WILL DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT SWINGS THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR AND A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW...POSSIBLE HEAVY...THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL FOLLOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN AND MUCH OF NORTHERN INDIANA ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 30. SNOW AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY. IN ADDITION...STRONG GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW LIKELY. TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT ALONG SECTIONS OF THE HIGHWAYS 6...13...15...20...30...AND 31. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY RELATED TO THE ORIENTATION AND INTENSITY OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS...WHICH WILL ULTIMATELY DICTATE EVENTUAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION. I posted a couple days ago that it was way too early to be throwing towels for the Lakes region. Models were in "catch-up" mode, and may not be done playing that game yet. Now for my real post: Thursday, 26-Jan-78 Thursday, 12-Jan-12 I like the similarities.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 UKMET is juicy for most of the area... congrats southern Michigan too: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Advisory would be very welcome but certainly not necessary. I will take a "nuisance" snow anyday, especially in a winter like this. Its now been one month ago today (Dec 10th) since we last had a snow-depth of 1" (in that timeframe we have accumulated 1.7" total on 6 different days). EURO ftw! 1-2 inches of high ratio fluff won't last long in the sun. Even when it's in the mid 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Solid advisory event. Feeling a little better than we can squeeze out an inch or so here. Unless of course the Euro continues with its solution...not holding my breath though. Feeling decent up this way, Harry mentioned that the 0z OP Euro had great ensemble agreement and the GFS's ensembles have often included more amped versions of the OP, so it will be interesting to see what 12z's look like. Either way most models are coming into agreement on .25-.30 liquid over the area which should fluff up nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Some SWS's from IWX: SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 415 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 INZ013-015-017-018-020-022>027-032>034-OHZ001-002-004-005-015-016- 024-025-102200- PULASKI-FULTON IN-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN-MIAMI-WABASH- HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH- DEFIANCE-HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...MEDARYVILLE... ROCHESTER...AKRON...COLUMBIA CITY...TRI-LAKES...SOUTH WHITLEY... FORT WAYNE...NEW HAVEN...MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...MONON... LOGANSPORT...ROYAL CENTER...PERU...GRISSOM AFB...MEXICO... WABASH...NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...ROANOKE...BLUFFTON... OSSIAN...DECATUR...BERNE...MARION...GAS CITY...UPLAND... HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...DUNKIRK...BRYAN... WAUSEON...ARCHBOLD...FAYETTE...SWANTON...DEFIANCE...SHERWOOD... HICKSVILLE...NAPOLEON...DESHLER...LIBERTY CENTER...PAULDING... ANTWERP...MELROSE...OTTAWA...PANDORA...KALIDA...FORT JENNINGS... VAN WERT...DELPHOS...OHIO CITY...LIMA...SPENCERVILLE 415 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 ...ACCUMULATING SNOW POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... A VIGOROUS DISTURBANCE DROPPING OUT OF CANADA WILL DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT SWINGS THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR AND A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW...POSSIBLE HEAVY...THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO FOLLOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST INTO FRIDAY MORNING. LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY NORTH AND WEST OF A MONTICELLO TO FORT WAYNE TO OTTAWA LINE. IN ADDITION...STRONG GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WHICH MAY LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT ALONG PORTIONS OF INTERSTATE 65 AND 69 AS WELL AS HIGHWAYS 421...35...31...27 AND 127. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY RELATED TO THE ORIENTATION AND INTENSITY OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS...WHICH WILL ULTIMATELY DICTATE EVENTUAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION. SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 415 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 INZ003>005-MIZ077>079-102200- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-BERRIEN-CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE...WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN... NAPPANEE...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN... DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS...STURGIS...THREE RIVERS... WHITE PIGEON...MENDON 415 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 /315 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012/ ...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... A VIGOROUS DISTURBANCE DROPPING OUT OF CANADA WILL DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT SWINGS THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR AND A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW...POSSIBLE HEAVY...THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL FOLLOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN INTO EXTREME NORTHERN INDIANA...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED NORTH OF HIGHWAY 6. SNOW AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY. IN ADDITION...STRONG GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW LIKELY. TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT OVER SECTIONS OF THE INDIANA TOLL ROAD...INTERSTATE 94...AND HIGHWAYS 6...12...31...AND 20. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY RELATED TO THE ORIENTATION AND INTENSITY OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS...WHICH WILL ULTIMATELY DICTATE EVENTUAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION. SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 415 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 INZ006>009-012-014-016-MIZ080-081-102200- LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE-MARSHALL-KOSCIUSKO-BRANCH- HILLSDALE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...SHIPSHEWANA... ANGOLA...FREMONT...KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...ALBION...AUBURN... GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON...BASS LAKE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN... CULVER...WARSAW...WINONA LAKE...SYRACUSE...MENTONE...COLDWATER... BRONSON...HILLSDALE...LITCHFIELD...JONESVILLE 415 AM EST TUE JAN 10 2012 /315 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2012/ ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON... A VIGOROUS DISTURBANCE DROPPING OUT OF CANADA WILL DEEPEN SIGNIFICANTLY AS IT SWINGS THROUGH THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR AND A PERIOD OF ACCUMULATING SNOW...POSSIBLE HEAVY...THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY EVENING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL FOLLOW THURSDAY NIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN AND MUCH OF NORTHERN INDIANA ALONG AND NORTH OF HIGHWAY 30. SNOW AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS LIKELY. IN ADDITION...STRONG GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW LIKELY. TRAVEL MAY BECOME DIFFICULT ALONG SECTIONS OF THE HIGHWAYS 6...13...15...20...30...AND 31. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY RELATED TO THE ORIENTATION AND INTENSITY OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS...WHICH WILL ULTIMATELY DICTATE EVENTUAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION. I posted a couple days ago that it was way too early to be throwing towels for the Lakes region. Models were in "catch-up" mode, and may not be done playing that game yet. Now for my real post: Thursday, 26-Jan-78 Thursday, 12-Jan-12 I like the similarities.. I seriously want to smack the weenie out of you for the 1978 reference. Lol :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Feeling decent up this way, Harry mentioned that the 0z OP Euro had great ensemble agreement and the GFS's ensembles have often included more amped versions of the OP, so it will be interesting to see what 12z's look like. Either way most models are coming into agreement on .25-.30 liquid over the area which should fluff up nicely. The Euro ensemble agreement is reassuring no doubt. Let's hope it holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 1-2 inches of high ratio fluff won't last long in the sun. Even when it's in the mid 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpsycho Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Yup..lol. These solutions are gonna change countless times before now and Friday. Heck this might fall apart for all we know..(exaggeration) but I won't hug nothin. Wondering if I should just do a trip to the west side of the state to enjoy some LES! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 1-2 inches of high ratio fluff won't last long in the sun. Even when it's in the mid 20s. 1-2 inches of fluff is better than nothing. Although, what it would do is settle a lot but not completely disappear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 One thing that really hasn't been mentioned is wind. Granted we're not talking extreme conditions but it appears that gusts could top 30 mph. Certainly going to look wintry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Solid advisory event. Feeling a little better than we can squeeze out an inch or so here. Unless of course the Euro continues with its solution...not holding my breath though. It's much more questionable for us than farther north. The Euro/ensembles are not a bad thing to have going for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 10, 2012 Share Posted January 10, 2012 Couldn't draw up a better void of activity for mby if you tried. Just brutal. Hopefully the LES on the backside performs better than it did last week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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