NorEaster27 Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Yeah it's really sad. A total disaster for them... I feel really bad. Xmas week, MLK weknd, presidents week are the most important holidays for the ski resorts, they are going to be 0/2 after this storm next week. I still think we have a chance to change either by the storm not coming together, goes so far west we dont get much precip, or the storm is strong and west and they dryslot. The warm temps aren't a huge problem, its the rain. Its like Dec 28th all over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 i'd like to fast forward 10 days I agree. Snoozer possible till the 20th, unless the 16rh does something. And I apologize for my spelling today..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 you can really see on the 12z euro what scooter was mentioning earlier today...that sort of step downward to at or below normal, followed by some type of warm up, then likely an eventual turn to colder beyond day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Next weeks storm is definitely not good and really has not been good all along it is going to hurt a lot of areas, Ski areas are taking it on the chin this year with marginal natural snow as they have lost out on revenue in there critical school vacation time that just can't be made up. Skiing right now is actually really good in the places that can make snow, we have had 4-10 inches of snow during the past week depening on the mountain. That has really helped along with the cold for snowmaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 6, 2012 Author Share Posted January 6, 2012 in some respect, the storm on day 5 to 6 along with the cold from northern storm is kind of a "false" pattern change...it's the result of a transient +PNA ridge and not the larger pattern change of getting rid of the AK vortex which happens a few days later. It's a contribution to the pattern change. I agree, it's not CAUSED by large scale changes (as far as I can tell ...there's always connections that can be drawn). But anyway, it acts to establish lowered heights across eastern North America, tapping into displaced arctic air, and drawing it southward as heights rise over Alaska, and then helping to consolidate the PV over Canada Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 pretty interesting looking anomalies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Skiing right now is actually really good in the places that can make snow, we have had 4-10 inches of snow during the past week depening on the mountain. That has really helped along with the cold for snowmaking. I realize this, Some of the areas have been seeing upslope snows which has been good, I was talking back in the Xmas vacation period when we were getting marginal temps, It has been cold enough for sure to keep the guns going now, But lost revenue can't and won't be made up form the holidays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Seeing maybe an ice storm potential on the day 10 euro with that occluding storm in the Midwest and the next arctic blast swinging south...Check out the similarities of the 12z euro from the 12th to the 16th along side January 4-8, 1994... http://www.meteo.psu...94/us0106j5.php the first storms of each respective year (our rain storm next week and the 1/4-5/94 noreaster are inherently different in the lack of cold air involved with next week's storm...but behind it we get the cold layed out there behind the first storm just like preceding 1/7-8/94 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 I don't think no matter what happens it will be a prolific snow pattern... but I do think we'll have some opportunities. Compared to the last 45 days with 0 opportunities that's saying something lol. I think it does have the chance of being pretty wintry...I just couldn't drop that hammer right now, if you know what I mean. Either way, I'm just happy to see increased chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 6, 2012 Author Share Posted January 6, 2012 what is the value in 5 posting someone if the 5 posts per day continue to be awful and they have no intention on learning or becoming a better poster? Unfortunately, I think he takes it as "how can I get the most reaction for each post I make." I think I'm even more mad that he's from NH ... poor representation Anyway, back on topic... Re: the storm next week, I'm pretty excited about it. I wouldn't want to fast forward 10 days. This continues to look like a dynamic system taking shape. So from the meteorological stand point, this should be fun to watch! Heavy rain, strong winds, and strong cold advection behind the storm. Also I'm not writing off the chance for some wintry precipitation yet. But I don't even care about that. This should be a good storm to watch unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 pretty interesting looking anomalies. wow....nice everything there just get the nao a little more s and w. is that the PV jsut sw of Hudson's bay? And the remnant low in Baffin...does that get consolidated with vorticity to it's sw? One more question...is the Pac flow spliting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Unfortunately, I think he takes it as "how can I get the most reaction for each post I make." I think I'm even more mad that he's from NH ... poor representation Anyway, back on topic... Re: the storm next week, I'm pretty excited about it. I wouldn't want to fast forward 10 days. This continues to look like a dynamic system taking shape. So from the meteorological stand point, this should be fun to watch! Heavy rain, strong winds, and strong cold advection behind the storm. Also I'm not writing off the chance for some wintry precipitation yet. But I don't even care about that. This should be a good storm to watch unfold. yeah...I actually can appreciate a good rain storm...they aren't really as common around here as in SNE given the lack of an oceanic moisture source. I actually wish the PV and the storm go a bit further west so I can get into good lake-effect behind the system. Looks great for those east and southeast of the lakes on the euro...but not northeast of the lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Unfortunately, I think he takes it as "how can I get the most reaction for each post I make." I think I'm even more mad that he's from NH ... poor representation Anyway, back on topic... Re: the storm next week, I'm pretty excited about it. I wouldn't want to fast forward 10 days. This continues to look like a dynamic system taking shape. So from the meteorological stand point, this should be fun to watch! Heavy rain, strong winds, and strong cold advection behind the storm. Also I'm not writing off the chance for some wintry precipitation yet. But I don't even care about that. This should be a good storm to watch unfold. blah...it can do that about 9 or 10 months out of the year. LOL. it's better than nothing, i agree, but i'm far more interested in what happens beyond the 7 to 10 day period than i am with some cutter that drops three quarters of an inch of rain and produces a 45 knot gust on Ginx's weather tower at Foxwoods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 6, 2012 Author Share Posted January 6, 2012 pretty interesting looking anomalies. Verbatim, that definitely looks wintry for New England. Will change 10 more times though. Tomorrow, we should start to see some model convergence as the s/w that will cutoff moves onshore in the West. And hopefully that lends to convergence extending into the longer range too. I wouldn't mind seeing model guidance actually show a legit winter storm threat and keep it around long enough for us to get a few 50 page threads going about it lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Yeah I think those are the 2 windows. 1/16 may be a NNE special depending on how quickly the trough lifts out. As for 1/21-1/22 we'll see. There's some potential depending on where the trough sets up. Best thing for us may be the week of 1/16 actually not being too cold with a trough swinging back in and digging by the weekend of 1/21. AFC title game snowstorm 1/22 !!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Bare ground next week for Powderfreak before winter sets in for good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Bare ground next week for Powderfreak before winter sets in for good? hopefully not bareground. let's just close our eyes and get to the week after next. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 hopefully not bareground. let's just close our eyes and get to the week after next. Just get us to Next Friday..One week from today and it's winter cold and we should be tracking snow event late that weekend. One week..one week left in this hellacious period Someone start a countdown to next Friday thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 blah...it can do that about 9 or 10 months out of the year. LOL. it's better than nothing, i agree, but i'm far more interested in what happens beyond the 7 to 10 day period than i am with some cutter that drops three quarters of an inch of rain and produces a 45 knot gust on Ginx's weather tower at Foxwoods. i am not at Foxwoods, winky winky Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Just get us to Next Friday..One week from today and it's winter cold and we should be tracking snow event late that weekend. One week..one week left in this hellacious period Someone start a countdown to next Friday thread Have at it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Unfortunately, I think he takes it as "how can I get the most reaction for each post I make." I think I'm even more mad that he's from NH ... poor representation Anyway, back on topic... Re: the storm next week, I'm pretty excited about it. I wouldn't want to fast forward 10 days. This continues to look like a dynamic system taking shape. So from the meteorological stand point, this should be fun to watch! Heavy rain, strong winds, and strong cold advection behind the storm. Also I'm not writing off the chance for some wintry precipitation yet. But I don't even care about that. This should be a good storm to watch unfold. Not happy about the rain, but it will be neat to see it pull together after you called for it so far out. Hoping to be in a dry slot for the duration, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 i'd like to fast forward 10 days Seems like all the talk has been about "10 days" for two weeks now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 I would rather see it remain weak and surpressed at this point for next weeks storm but that looks like it won't be happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Randy, trip to the Tug Hill Thursday and Friday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Seems like all the talk has been about "10 days" for two weeks two months now. A fixer upper 2006-2007 take II Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Randy, trip to the Tug Hill Thursday and Friday? Oh? Tell me more. Coastalwx has let me down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Oh? Tell me more. Coastalwx has let me down. lake-effect set-up looks awesome behind the southern stream rainstorm. It's obviously pretty far out there...but things look good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Interesting patter at least to break the monotony. I never want to fast forward 10 days. Bad idea at 65...who knows what 10 days later brings.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Miserable weather month while I was in CT...man, can't wait to get back to VT for the real start of winter. "only" 29" on the season up there, but the second half of Jan looks promising for all of New England. Last couple days in tropical CT...47/33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Oh? Tell me more. Coastalwx has let me down. This pattern has let you down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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