Ji Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Flurries at 90 hours on the vaunted 6z?.....lol... Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Only in this winter will a benchmark storm have 552 thicknesses...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 The Euro and it's ensembles like the pv in Hudson Bay in the later panels. It may get a tad chilly.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 solid 1/4 inch of snow this morning. i'm running away with the dec/jan total season to date with about 2.25" lol. tack on another several inches courtesy the ggem and 06z gfs...it's the new snowbelt here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 the 6z gfs in the long range is a weenie cold run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 solid 1/4 inch of snow this morning. i'm running away with the dec/jan total season to date with about 2.25" lol. tack on another several inches courtesy the ggem and 06z gfs...it's the new snowbelt here. LOL, nice. Had a nice weenie dusting at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 LOL, nice. Had a nice weenie dusting at home. That's a big win right there in this season. The pattern is changing because that one over performed. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 the 6z gfs in the long range is a weenie cold run. arctic invasion rivaling the big ones. bias? yepSat 01/21 06Z 8 ° 2 ° 4 ° WNW 18 NW 45 0.01 0.01 491 503 -24 ° -43 ° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 First region wide good February in many years on tap? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 We definitely don't want the PV too strong or too far south, as Ryan alluded to yesterday. Having it in Hudson bay would be best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 HPC prelim maps show 996 just off the Jersey coast on Wednesday. I thought this was going west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 We definitely don't want the PV too strong or too far south, as Ryan alluded to yesterday. Having it in Hudson bay would be best. Euro is our friend I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 HPC prelim maps show 996 just off the Jersey coast on Wednesday. I thought this was going west? Guidance has the low off the coast, with all of NE outside of Tooterville rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Guidance has the low off the coast, with all of NE outside of Tooterville rain. Mid January coastal bringing rain well into the interior was not on my list to Santa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 We'll have lost at least 1/2 of winter as of jan 15th. A snowless 1/2 of winter. Never in my wildest dreams did i think that could ever happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 We'll have lost at least 1/2 of winter as of jan 15th. A snowless 1/2 of winter. Never in my wildest dreams did i think that could ever happen Probably through the 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 We'll have lost at least 1/2 of winter as of jan 15th. A snowless 1/2 of winter. Never in my wildest dreams did i think that could ever happen on the flip side look at last year--close to zero snow for Feb and March-so we lost at least 1/2 of that winter to no snow too....there's hope, but we're missing out on the heart of winter here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Collinsville Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 We'll have lost at least 1/2 of winter as of jan 15th. A snowless 1/2 of winter. Never in my wildest dreams did i think that could ever happen It happened just 5 years ago, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 if we get something like the 06z GFS...we'll be reliving jan 04. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 If I had to guess (and this is a WAG), but I could see this evolution into the so called change. We cool down after next week's disaster. Desptie the cool down, I could see another messy or even mild solution of a storm around the 16th or so...give or take. Then, we finally get the cooldown for some period of time...whatever that is. Point being, sometimes we go down and then up, before going back down again. My guess is the 20th and beyond is when things really change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 If I had to guess (and this is a WAG), but I could see this evolution into the so called change. We cool down after next week's disaster. Desptie the cool down, I could see another messy or even mild solution of a storm around the 16th or so...give or take. Then, we finally get the cooldown for some period of time...whatever that is. Point being, sometimes we go down and then up, before going back down again. My guess is the 20th and beyond is when things really change. yep. that seems to happen a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 When it gets cold its still going to be hard to cut up a storm and get us in the early stages of this "change".....people are associating cold with stormy, may just be cold with near misses/dry....good OES though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 yep. that seems to happen a lot. Some of the ensembles are showing some sort of low coming through here..literally through New England with cold temps. It makes me think that it could be a milder solution. If you look at the euro op, then it probably would be cold, but the 00z GFS kind of shows what I mean. Anyways, just something to watch I suppose. Maybe you can get lucky with some skirting snows to your south early next week. You guys are the new snowbelt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 What do you think of the HPC Wed map showing 996 off the Jersey coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 What do you think of the HPC Wed map showing 996 off the Jersey coast? unless we see a trend of the low/mid levels cooling off some, i don't think it really matters where the low is. the airmass is pretty darn mild out ahead of this thing. i suppose could watch for some evap. or dynamic cooling in the far nw hills or something but seems pretty meh right now. still some time i guess though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 00z Euro Ens sort of have what I was concerned about yesterday D11-15 with a crushed SE ridge and a somewhat quiet pattern in terms of storminess I think. If there is a wintry storm threat it may be around D10-D11 before heights begin to fall more across the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 If I had to guess (and this is a WAG), but I could see this evolution into the so called change. We cool down after next week's disaster. Desptie the cool down, I could see another messy or even mild solution of a storm around the 16th or so...give or take. Then, we finally get the cooldown for some period of time...whatever that is. Point being, sometimes we go down and then up, before going back down again. My guess is the 20th and beyond is when things really change. Definitely....and I think it's likely February before we see any significant snow. These half-azz threats wiill not work out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 It happened just 5 years ago, lol I don't remember that. We had to have had some snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 I don't remember that. We had to have had some snow Weenie goggles? There have been some horrific winters in the past... particularly in the 70s and 80s. We're due for some big clunkers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Weenie goggles? There have been some horrific winters in the past... particularly in the 70s and 80s. We're due for some big clunkers. We had a snowless Dec and first half of Jan 5 years ago? I honestly do not remember that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.