Tropopause_Fold Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 I might be missing one, but that was a storm that came right out of the nrn Plains and trended south in the last 72 hrs. It gave se mass 11" of snow. I think Max was a jackpot. yeah i remember it now that you bring up the event. was pretty good out here as well. capped off a good month overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 The three would be the Xmas storm, that didn't happen, and GFS supressed the entire time, this past Sunday's storm that the GFS had supressed and Euro had as a big snowstorm, and then this coming Wednesday storm that the GFS has been 2 steps ahead of the Euro, pending it it ends up tracking further to the east, which models are showing may happen. Euro had the sunday storm 1 run, The GFS bias are always in play with its surpressed solutions only to have to move back towards the Euro solutions countless times, Inside hr 96, The euro has taken it to task pretty consistantly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Might be in Naples in a week or two Nice, What for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kutskova Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 What days specifically? I'll dial up a precise forecast for you. sorry man wasn't looking to piss anyone off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 yeah i remember it now that you bring up the event. was pretty good out here as well. capped off a good month overall. 000FXUS61 KBOX 311027AFDBOXAREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA525 AM EST WED DEC 31 2008.SYNOPSIS...-- Changed Discussion --FAST BUT INTENSIFYING LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK SOUTH OF NEW ENGLANDTODAY BRINGING A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO THE ENTIRE REGION...ALONGWITH STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS THIS EVENING ACROSS CAPE COD ANDNANTUCKET. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY VERY COLD AND WINDY WEATHERTONIGHT AND NEW YEARS DAY. WEAKER WINTER STORMS MAY AFFECT THEREGION LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AND AGAIN LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT OR BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND...THENPOSSIBLY MODERATING DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTION OF NEXT WEEK.-- End Changed Discussion --&&.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...-- Changed Discussion --STARTING TO SEE SNOW ON REGIONAL MOSAIC RADAR...BUT NOT MUCHREACHING THE GROUND YET WITH DEWPOINTS ONLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ANDLOWER TEENS. WILL TAKE SOME TIME FOR SNOW TO START...BUT SHOULDBEGIN BY AROUND 7 AM OR SO OVER THE CT VALLEY INTO SW NH...THEN WILLQUICKLY DEVELOP EASTWARD.LOW PRES OVER W PA AT 09Z WILL TRANSFER ENERGY S OF LONG ISLAND THISMORNING. AS ENERGY TRANSFERS AND MOISTURE CONVERGENCE QUICKLYDEVELOPS...WILL SEE SNOW BREAKING OUT ACROSS MOST AREAS BY MIDMORNING.00Z OP MODEL RUNS CONTINUE TO SHOW BURST OF 1-2 INCH/HOUR SNOWFALLRATES ACROSS MOST AREAS BY LATE MORNING WITH EXPLOSIVE LOW PRESSUREDEVELOPMENT OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST AROUND MIDDAY. MODELSSUGGESTING THAT THERE COULD BE UPWARDS TO AN 18 MB/6 HR PRES FALL SOF NANTUCKET AROUND 18Z! MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW EXCELLENT SNOWGROWTH REGION ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS ALONG WITH RAPIDLYINCREASING MOISTURE OFF THE OCEAN FEEDING INTO THE COLD AIRMASS OVERTHE REGION. NAM 12KM RUN ALSO SHOWED SNOW BANDS NICELY THROUGHMID-LATE AFTERNOON FROM AROUND CAPE ANN THROUGH WORCESTER TO SE MAAND LOWER CAPE COD. SREF PROBS FOR >8 INCHES OF SNOW NOW SHOWING UPFOR EASTERN AREAS...WITH 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF >4 INCHES ON THE 21ZRUN.WITH EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT...HAVE MENTIONED CHANCE OF THUNDER ACROSSCENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS FOR A TIME...AS WELL AS SNOW FALLINGHEAVILY AT TIMES.WITH A BIT OF A NORTHWARD SHIFT OF THE MAX QPF CONSIDERING THE TRACKOF THE STRENGTHENING LOW...HAVE INCLUDED CHESHIRE AND HILLSBOROUGHCOUNTIES IN THE WINTER STORM WARNING. FEEL THEY WILL ALSO SEE THEIRFAIR SHARE OF SNOW...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THEY WILL SEE HIGHERRAIN/SNOW RATIO ON THE ORDER OF 15:1 OR HIGHER.WITH THE VERY STRONG WINDS WRAPPING AROUND THE DEEPENING LOW AS ITEXITS LATE THIS AFTERNOON...MODELS HAVE SUGGESTED GUSTS UP TO 50-55KT. MODELS SUGGESTING GUSTS MAY APPROACH HURRICANE FORCE. HAVEISSUED HIGH WIND WARNING FOR CAPE COD...NANTUCKET AND MARTHASVINEYARD DUE TO THESE HIGH WINDS. MAY ALSO HAVE PROBLEMS WITHBLOWING SNOW ACROSS CAPE ANN DOWN TO THE CAPE LATER THIS AFTERNOONINTO TONIGHT AS WINDS INCREASE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 nice, widespread 6-10 with high winds http://www.erh.noaa....2008_BOXPNS.txt There was a 4 alarm fire in Savin Hill that day. I got some nice pictures of the firefighters in the snow fighting it while it was really coming down. If you remember, I believe the day before there was another light snow event. I took many pictures 08-09 and then stopped because summer was so boring and I never started again. Perkins Sq South Boston, Lunch time Firefighters in Savin Hill Late morning Day after the storm at the Yacht club Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Nice, What for? My buddy lives behind the mini golf place on the lake... he has been trying to get me to go up there and go drinking for a year now... then go skiing... can't say no to that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 I might be missing one, but that was a storm that came right out of the nrn Plains and trended south in the last 72 hrs. It gave se mass 11" of snow. I think Max was a jackpot. Stowe. All I care about is Stowe. How am I looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Stowe. All I care about is Stowe. How am I looking Stowe is 92 bucks... Head up to Jay peak and save some $$! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 My buddy lives behind the mini golf place on the lake... he has been trying to get me to go up there and go drinking for a year now... then go skiing... can't say no to that! Hmmmm ... drinking and then skiing. Sounds healthy! What could go wrong?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Hmmmm ... drinking and then skiing. Sounds healthy! What could go wrong?? Oh not necessarily in that order of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 My buddy lives behind the mini golf place on the lake... he has been trying to get me to go up there and go drinking for a year now... then go skiing... can't say no to that! When theres drinking involved definitly not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Stowe. All I care about is Stowe. How am I looking Dude, come on..I'm black..I don't ski. I'll leave putting two planks on my feet and sliding down a big ass hill to yall. I'm going purely to chase snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 LOL. took me a while to figure out what you meant. actually he had given me permission a long time ago to repost his stuff...regardless, harmless every once a month or two, imo. Yeah I was just messing around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 If nothing else, we are no getting into sacred territory regarding how badly this winter has sucked....I find that in and of itself, perversely fascinating. +1 Week of 1/16 will feature some accumulating snow. If not, futility record will be pursued. By 1/20, we're in the 6th inning, the pitcher still has a no no but he just walked the #9 hitter with no one out. Let's see what can be accomplished. +1 Just biding my time... you'll recall my sentiment as far back as mid-December: unless we see blockbusters coming our way, I'm much more fascinated by a once-in-a-lifetime chance at a wall-to-wall shutout than a couple nickel/dimes... Jan 5 2012. Top of the 5th. No hitter in progress. 1936-37 or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 The three would be the Xmas storm, that didn't happen, and GFS supressed the entire time, this past Sunday's storm that the GFS had supressed and Euro had as a big snowstorm, and then this coming Wednesday storm that the GFS has been 2 steps ahead of the Euro, pending it it ends up tracking further to the east, which models are showing may happen. I'll give you 2. Next week is a long way off still and we've learned about assumptions. Unless they are all the same, if the Euro comes up with a solitary solution within 5 days, weigh it heavily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 I'll give you 2. Next week is a long way off still and we've learned about assumptions. Unless they are all the same, if the Euro comes up with a solitary solution within 5 days, weigh it heavily. If we are inside 120 hours, I def weigh the Euro a lot more heavily than the GFS...if its more like 132-144-156 type range, then I don't take any threat seriously at that point. GFS def seemed to win with the whiff SE on this last one, though the Euro never really showed it inside of 120 hours. The GFS also was more accurate with the warmer 12/23 solution. However, it got completely and utterly schooled by the Euro inside of 96 hours on the 12/27 storm and then again on the 12/31 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Dude, come on..I'm black..I don't ski. I'll leave putting two planks on my feet and sliding down a big ass hill to yall. I'm going purely to chase snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Dude, come on..I'm black..I don't ski. I'll leave putting two planks on my feet and sliding down a big ass hill to yall. I'm going purely to chase snow. Next week may be shot man. I think it may be liquid for many. You may get a little upslope Sunday and Monday, but the next storm may be liquid for many. Maybe Friday when it turns cold, you'll get more upslope there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Next week may be shot man. I think it may be liquid for many. You may get a little upslope Sunday and Monday, but the next storm may be liquid for many. Maybe Friday when it turns cold, you'll get more upslope there. Screw that. You know its bad when New England can't get decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Euro has a pretty good gradient pattern coming up after day 10 with a tanking -PNA and lows coming out of the central Rockies. That's the pattern I can envision and why I was thinking that a bad placed gradient, and not suppression was more of an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Ridging is going pretty crazy in the EPO region on the ensembles...the -PNA is what will keep all the arctic air from flooding far south into the CONUS, but that is a really cold pattern for the northern tier of the plains to N Rockies and hopefully we manage a piece of it over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 It also went back to stabbing the North Pole with a Rambo knife of a ridge too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Ridging is going pretty crazy in the EPO region on the ensembles...the -PNA is what will keep all the arctic air from flooding far south into the CONUS, but that is a really cold pattern for the northern tier of the plains to N Rockies and hopefully we manage a piece of it over here. I'd take that and run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Well GEFS and EC both have similar ideas with that ridge, so good to have the main players in agreement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 I like how the PV slowly sinks south on the ensembles almost into N Hudson Bay...its in the long range after D11, so can't really say much about it...but if that happened, that would be very January 1994-esque Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 I like how the PV slowly sinks south on the ensembles almost into N Hudson Bay...its in the long range after D11, so can't really say much about it...but if that happened, that would be very January 1994-esque Damn it...I don't have an extra pair of pants here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 I like how the PV slowly sinks south on the ensembles almost into N Hudson Bay...its in the long range after D11, so can't really say much about it...but if that happened, that would be very January 1994-esque Yeah this is a pretty good run. There is also lots of bagginess offshore and to the south in the isobars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 Weeklies are going to be cold 40N I bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2012 Share Posted January 5, 2012 It's a pant tent run...even a sign of ridging trying to weakly form near se Greenland..just helping to keep the PV in place. It's far out there, but a good run regardless. Maybe 00z backs off a bit, but it is nice to see the GEFS and EC agree on the main features. Details TBD...lets see this in a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.