OSUmetstud Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 8:13 PM, CoastalWx said: This pattern has let you down. lol...the top of the Tug actually somehow managed about 32" in December. They probably average 80" or so though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 7:55 PM, weathafella said: Interesting patter at least to break the monotony. I never want to fast forward 10 days. Bad idea at 65...who knows what 10 days later brings.... This pattern is toaster worthy anyways. It can only get better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 8:15 PM, OSUmetstud said: lol...the top of the Tug actually somehow managed about 32" in December. They probably average 80" or so though. Yeah like up at Stowe. They managed to get 2/3 of my avg snowfall already..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ono Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 7:18 PM, CT Blizz said: Bare ground next week for Powderfreak before winter sets in for good? bare ground when a bulletproof base gets hit by some cold rain? since when does NNE loose all the snowpack based on that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 7:40 PM, PWMan said: Seems like all the talk has been about "10 days" for two weeks now. In general about 45 days but most of the mets the last few....as they saw the pattern for what it is. Why do you think Will is so quiet? Nothing to talk about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 8:18 PM, CoastalWx said: Yeah like up at Stowe. They managed to get 2/3 of my avg snowfall already..lol. well i average 95" and have about 5" so don't feel so bad. We are about 35-40" below normal for the year I think now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Ono said: bare ground when a bulletproof base gets hit by some cold rain? since when does NNE loose all the snowpack based on that? The rain would only solidify it even more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 7:40 PM, PWMan said: Seems like all the talk has been about "10 days" for two weeks now. Not really...most of us have said mid to late month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 8:23 PM, messenger said: In general about 45 days but most of the mets the last few....as they saw the pattern for what it is. Why do you think Will is so quiet? Nothing to talk about. There;s stuff to talk about..like the different outcomes of what potentially may happen. And also, to put Kevin in check. But I honestly do not see anything of interesting until at least the 16th and likely..beyond the 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 7:46 PM, stormtracker said: Oh? Tell me more. Coastalwx has let me down. I have a car now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 7:46 PM, stormtracker said: Oh? Tell me more. Coastalwx has let me down. looks like a short duration event to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 8:34 PM, forkyfork said: looks like a short duration event to me 36 hours or so. We're so used to these 3-9 day epic events lately that we've forgotten that the vast majority aren't that long. You can still pile up a great deal of snow in the exceedingly favorable conditions that the euro has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 The warming at 50mb on the euro ensembles gets more and more impressive. I now see a +22C anomaly contour on the nw tip of Greenland. This was 18C a few days ago. This second wave will hopefully downwell and help give us some good blocking in February. Notice I said hopefully, because I couldn't say when..but I would think such a strong + anomaly like that will at least make its way down through conduction. Hopefully events like MT later in the month help out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 8:50 PM, CoastalWx said: The warming at 50mb on the euro ensembles gets more and more impressive. I now see a +22C anomaly contour on the nw tip of Greenland. This was 18C a few days ago. This second wave will hopefully downwell and help give us some good blocking in February. Notice I said hopefully, because I couldn't say when..but I would think such a strong + anomaly like that will at least make its way down through conduction. Hopefully events like MT later in the month help out. We wouldn't expect you to say anything but hopefully, LOL. Seriously great job spelling everything out and glad you got to see some flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 8:52 PM, Ginx said: We wouldn't expect you to say anything but hopefully, LOL. Seriously great job spelling everything out and glad you got to see some flakes. I don't have the skill to say when or where it downwells...just that it is nice to see. My guess is that it continues to do some damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 8:30 PM, CoastalWx said: There;s stuff to talk about..like the different outcomes of what potentially may happen. And also, to put Kevin in check. But I honestly do not see anything of interesting until at least the 16th and likely..beyond the 20th. True but there's nothing defintive. I agree on the dates too. The only question left in my mind is...is this real or memorex? Are we going to go back to the same deal again at the end of the month. Ack, bad taste... having just been down there at the memorial - a different picture would be more appropriate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 8:55 PM, CoastalWx said: I don't have the skill to say when or where it downwells...just that it is nice to see. My guess is that it continues to do some damage. Here is a question, what year featured a snowless entire USA basically, heading into the second week of Jan. IDK, can not think of one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 8:56 PM, messenger said: True but there's nothing defintive. I agree on the dates too. The only question left in my mind is...is this real or memorex? Are we going to go back to the same deal again at the end of the month. Ack, bad taste... having just been down there at the memorial - a different picture would be more appropriate. Well that's in the eyes of the beholder. If you agree that we see changes and our chances of threats increase quite a bit, then I'd have to agree. If you expect Jan 2010 or 94 to come walking through that door....you may be set up to disappoint. Personally, I'm quite intrigued by this pattern. I thought the EC ensembles looked good. As far as details go, and to how long it lasts and where the gradient sets up..I don't know. It might not be perfect for us, but that pattern as depicted, offers a chance. That's about all you can say. It may be messy storms, or glorious SWFE and Miller B joys. We don't know, but I do know that I'd take what's shown over anything we've had right now for sure. The pattern as shown can deliver, but we've yet to see what will happen. If you approach it without getting into a frenzy, then you'll probably be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 9:01 PM, Ginx said: Here is a question, what year featured a snowless entire USA basically, heading into the second week of Jan. IDK, can not think of one. Pretty sure having 19% or whatever it is of total snowcover right now, is close to, if not a record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 9:02 PM, CoastalWx said: Pretty sure having 19% or whatever it is of total snowcover right now, is close to, if not a record. The pics of out west are incredible. Brutal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 9:08 PM, Ginx said: The pics of out west are incredible. Brutal Well those folks in the Nrn Plains are going to get a very rude awakening. Front range and high Plains cold coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 9:11 PM, CoastalWx said: Well those folks in the Plains are going to get a very rude awakening. Front range and high Plains cold coming. Tahoe etc are dry as a bone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 12z euro ensembles at day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 A sad story is this HS kid who seized while on the way up the chair and fell off and died. Since snow was only on the trail (I guess), he hit frozen bare ground for the most part. A normal snow year may have saved his life. Story was in the Globe today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 3:39 PM, CoastalWx said: I was responding to the comment of you saying we were not due for big clunkers. I think you used the 60s and the decadal regime as a reason why were aren't due for clunkers, but I didn't necessarily agree with that assessment. At least that's how I saw it. We agree to disagree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 3:44 PM, CoastalWx said: The 50s were a -nao decadal regime with some crappy years too. I guess you responded to the terms "Clunkers" as if he expected many of them. I see what you mean now. We were due, but I do agree that the risk is more towards greater than normal snowfall vs less than normal snowfall over the next 10 years. Ok, right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 9:02 PM, CoastalWx said: Pretty sure having 19% or whatever it is of total snowcover right now, is close to, if not a record. Where did you find the 19%? Here's some info on snowcover... Source (and full table): http://climate.rutge...ea.php?ui_set=1 Maybe the US deviation is muted by the large Canadian area, and this obviously does not reflect depth. Some notables from N. American snow cover: Dec 2011: 16.06 million km2 Dec 2010: 17.66 million km2 Dec 2006: 16.21 million km2 Dec 1993: 15.93 million km2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 4:52 PM, sbos_wx said: Lol, love the whining about cold. If we had any snow everyone would be eating it up. Why the F do people enjoy the oppressive heat in summer but dislike the cold? That is true insanity. I hate them both, provided there is no snow around during the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 9:20 PM, OSUmetstud said: 12z euro ensembles at day 10 Wow a nearly +300 anomaly on an ens mean at day 10... extrapolated this would be a very healthy triple-block by the end of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 On 1/6/2012 at 7:22 PM, CT Blizz said: Just get us to Next Friday..One week from today and it's winter cold and we should be tracking snow event late that weekend. One week..one week left in this hellacious period Someone start a countdown to next Friday thread Count down to what....cold and dry that week.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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