packbacker Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 I liked the run of the euro last night. To me it said it was entertaining the solution the GFS has with the storm this weekend. My guess is we get very excited over the 12z run of the euro today. Yeah, at the very least atleast we have something to look at. Although not sure I like the end of the GFS with what's going on with AK, but maybe the pattern relaxes and then reloads! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Personally, I think this is going to trend cool-cold for next weekend, but dry, much like last night's Euro/UKMet. I'm more interested in seeing if we can get into a good pattern down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Personally, I think this is going to trend cool-cold for next weekend, but dry, much like last night's Euro/UKMet. I'm more interested in seeing if we can get into a good pattern down the road. The 06Z GFS would agree with you. It seems to have lost all mention of the system for next weekend, but that may be because of the amount of cold being forced down. The 0 C 850 mb line stretches from the coast of Texas along the Gulf Coast and out through Savannah during the time period of next Fri/Sat/Sun. That's some pretty deep penetrating cold over the SE, but there is no sign of any moisture. Cold, but dry. Just something else to consider in the pantheon of outcomes for next weekend. I do like the advent of the cold temps, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alhooks13 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 DT posted an in depth article about what he thinks will be a historic pattern flip. It's a little over my head but looks like a good read. http://www.wxrisk.co...rn-flip-coming/ Sounds good until the end of the article. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Sounds good until the end of the article. He is no different than anyone else's forecast. Funny thing he waits two weeks after some on here been talking about for last month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 After looking at the 6z dgex, it truly is a weenie model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Way to many if's and but's to get excited yet! But I will keep watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Unfortunately the 0z EURO op run was all alone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 After looking at the 6z dgex, it truly is a weenie model. Yeah, next weekend looks real interesting for points west of Winston-Salem, unfortunately there wasn't a ton of ensemble support on the 6z GFS...except this member :-)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Unfortunately the 0z EURO op run was all alone... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 generally its late picking it up while others lose it. Then they come around to it. Who knows this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 This should probably go in the banter thread, but don't see this all the time...member P2.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 This should probably go in the banter thread, but don't see this all the time...member P2.... This is probably more likely than the upper se getting snow! Big cold shot = suppression city.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 All u can do is laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burrel2 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Just for giggles.... Can somebody post a snowfall map from the 6z DGEX? I’m not sure where you guys get that snowfall map from. From what I see, It appears to bury upstate SC with 10 to 15 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 I will take a major snow in SC. We went to spartanburg last year plowing. They have no equipment! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Way to many if's and but's to get excited yet! But I will keep watching. There is Mr. Doubter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Well the 12z GFS is already different through 72, leaves back the closed low west of CA, which kills the weekend chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Wish we could get rid of that great lakes low on these solutions..... Cold enough is always my number 1 worry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GAdawg Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Wow, wish this would come true. But definitely eye candy for atleast now. Would love to see this same pic show up 2 -3 days from said event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Nice big cold shot at 117 on the 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MADDOGG Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 He is no different than anyone else's forecast. Funny thing he waits two weeks after some on here been talking about for last month sure no one wants to go and jump off a total cliff and look like a fool if wrong...prim example NWS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 As packbacker said no weekend storm on the 12z this run though it is a lot colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marion_NC_WX Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 I still think once our mid-week rain maker moves through and sets the pattern change, then the models will begin to focus on storm threats...BTW, looking mighty chilly at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 at 132, the western Ak. and Scandinavia ridging begins, this forces the Ak. vortex to drop into the east Pacific. Pretty exciting to watch double blocking develop. Usually you don't see that often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 I still think once our mid-week rain maker moves through and sets the pattern change, then the models will begin to focus on storm threats...BTW, looking mighty chilly at 120 Yep big time cold for the east on this run out to 144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 One thing I've noticed this winter is when we've had cold shots, the GFS is always warmer than the Euro at first then catches up. I wonder if that has something to do with the GFS upgrade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Should be interesting to see just how long gfs keeps this cold around it's still there at 159 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 the eastern Canada vortex stays put, pulling cold into the East, meanwhile out west systems have to move east. Looks like the southern stream will get ejected in sort of a split flow. The question is will there be a 50/50 low in the Northeast to maintain cold or damming of some type? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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