Ian Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 cold is so much more bearable without wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 looks like 2 s/w .. one evening and one overnight... this could be hooge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 12z NAM composite reflectivity for 8pm tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 12z NAM composite reflectivity for 8pm tonight. RUC 1km reflectivity for the same period HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 12z NAM composite reflectivity for 8pm tonight. Hoping that swept through here an hour earlier...or did it blow up after? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 RUC 1km reflectivity for the same period HRRR an hour later You guys are making me hot... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 looks like 2 s/w .. one evening and one overnight... this could be hooge SNOOOOOOOOOOOOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 Hoping that swept through here an hour earlier...or did it blow up after? Better after, but to Ian's point... looks like 2 s/w .. one evening and one overnight... this could be hooge Round 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 Better after, but to Ian's point... Round 2 Nice...thanks my Minnesota brother Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 You guys are making me hot... I am riding the HRRR, it shows me getting a crippling snowstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 I hate to be a weenie - but is tonight's snow chance a real possiblity? I usually give my boss a heads up on these things, just in case travel is terrible in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
notvirga! Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 I live sw of Winchester...maybe a 1/4 inch imby. Drove home from work at 1 am. A couple inches at work, near Winc airport. Dropped to 10degrees on drive home. No doubt some locations got close to zero degrees out this way last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 I hate to be a weenie - but is tonight's snow chance a real possiblity? I usually give my boss a heads up on these things, just in case travel is terrible in the morning. i'd say it's likely we'll see some snow given the support and the two decent tracks with the shortwaves.. may not be much but it's been cold so it could accum fairly easy if we get any good rates. i doubt it would be much though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 cold is so much more bearable without wind Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 I hate to be a weenie - but is tonight's snow chance a real possiblity? I usually give my boss a heads up on these things, just in case travel is terrible in the morning. It's pretty likely that we get some snow falling out of the sky. Any real impact? Probably not unless it comes down pretty good for more than 20 mins. It's ULL every swinging through and not just lake streamers. All the models are picking up on it. It's plenty cold so even a 1/4" could have some impact on the streets. Edit: I was a minute late. What ian said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 i'd say it's likely we'll see some snow given the support and the two decent tracks with the shortwaves.. may not be much but it's been cold so it could accum fairly easy if we get any good rates. i doubt it would be much though. Cool - thanks. I saw your tweet, and ended up sending an email, more than just snow talk in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 Temps are going nowhere today with the clouds around. Odds on DC staying sub-freezing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 It's pretty likely that we get some snow falling out of the sky. Any real impact? Probably not unless it comes down pretty good for more than 20 mins. It's ULL every swinging through and not just lake streamers. All the models are picking up on it. It's plenty cold so even a 1/4" could have some impact on the streets. Edit: I was a minute late. What ian said. i'd think most spots would be dusting to a slight measurable but the second vort has a bit more oomph to it. if it came together right someone could get 1" perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 i'd think most spots would be dusting to a slight measurable but the second vort has a bit more oomph to it. if it came together right someone could get 1" perhaps. Presently LWX is pretty much saying flurries. Also, Didn't a few spots in that super band last night get close to an inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 Presently LWX is pretty much saying flurries. Also, Didn't a few spots in that super band last night get close to an inch? Yes they did, but without putting words in Ian's mouth i think he saying whatever ends up falling will be more widespread than yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 4, 2012 Author Share Posted January 4, 2012 Presently LWX is pretty much saying flurries. Also, Didn't a few spots in that super band last night get close to an inch? Some got a tad more. Not me, but the north central part of Winchester had more than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 Presently LWX is pretty much saying flurries. Also, Didn't a few spots in that super band last night get close to an inch? i doubt they could put much if any accum in the zones but flurries seems low given the various models showing potential. i hear up to 2" with that band.. but that was LES and this is synoptic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 If for some reason we don't go above freezing today then that would make it a solid stretch of time below freezing so anything that falls would have a real strong chance of creating some issues on the roads....not sure of any ratios but I would assume all levels are well below freezing so there should be some good snow growth...but anywho....a dusting would be fantastic and a good start to whatever winter is left for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 i doubt they could put much if any accum in the zones but flurries seems low given the various models showing potential. i hear up to 2" with that band.. but that was LES and this is synoptic. Good point. Even so, seems like decent model agreement for something tonight. Maybe some semi-widespread half inch reports? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 If for some reason we don't go above freezing today then that would make it a solid stretch of time below freezing so anything that falls would have a real strong chance of creating some issues on the roads....not sure of any ratios but I would assume all levels are well below freezing so there should be some good snow growth...but anywho....a dusting would be fantastic and a good start to whatever winter is left for us well I know a dusting caused some issues on the roads near me yesterday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCS Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 Some got a tad more. Not me, but the north central part of Winchester had more than that. Looks like 2.5" reported last night. http://www.erh.noaa.gov/lwx/events/snowmaps/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 well I know a dusting caused some issues on the roads near me yesterday evening. Also because DC and Baltimore drivers are horrible when there's just a tiny bit of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 Good point. Even so, seems like decent model agreement for something tonight. Maybe some semi-widespread half inch reports? some concern the air is still rather dry and not a ton of forcing. but it's supposed to moisten up from here out and already is i suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 Also because DC and Baltimore drivers are horrible when there's just a tiny bit of snow. True, but I don't consider myself a horrible driver and I hit some slicks spots that caused my car to skid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 4, 2012 Share Posted January 4, 2012 True, but I don't consider myself a horrible driver and I hit some slicks spots that caused my car to skid. That's what you think Just kidding. - Getting a little OT here but I was driving during one of the snow showers yesterday and 3 or 4 fire trucks/ambulances were coming down the road and some woman pulls right out in front of them (she definitely saw and heard them) and gets clipped by a fire truck. She leaned on the horn and gave the fire fighters the finger...............people these days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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