Amped Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 WXRISK has thrown in the towel...............FWIW New Forecast, SAME 20 YEAR OLD POOP CULTURE REFERENCE!!!!!! Thats part of the fun of this winter is watching pro mets break down, esp DT and Tip. Yes poop culture wasd a joke. http://www.wxrisk.com/category/winter-2011-12/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 Not this same setup- but four fairly recent ones: 3/8/95 11/11/95 3/4/99 3/8/05 All were 1-4" in the suburbs, and all were rain/thunderstorm flips to snow with no break in precip. Seem to be early or late winter oriented. I remember the 95 event probably as much as any event ever. I lived in swva at the time and that front arrived in the morning of 3/7. I suppose it came through up here that night/early morning on the 8th. It wasn't even supposed to snow. I believe the forecast was rain ending as flurries. When I went to school that day, it was about 40 and raining. By 9:00 it was snowing heavily. I was giving a test that day and was having a hard time keeping the kids on task. They were taking their test and I had my head down working on some papers, and all of a sudden there was a bright flash that got everyones attention. We all looked up and about that time, boom. This was the first and only time I've ever seen thundersnow. This wasn't every now and then either. This was like a thunderstorm. That's when the snow became ridiculously heavy. We had parents everywhere picking up their kids. We dismissed at 11, but the state police turned our buses around. That's some pretty bad roads. We had to stay with the kids, of course. We finally had them all gone by about 5 o'clock. Ended up with about 7 inches. This was a Tuesday, IIRC. By Friday, the temps were in the 70's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 No idea if it is reliable, but the HRRR has been getting slowly better all afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Seem to be early or late winter oriented. I remember the 95 event probably as much as any event ever. I lived in swva at the time and that front arrived in the morning of 3/7. I suppose it came through up here that night/early morning on the 8th. It wasn't even supposed to snow. I believe the forecast was rain ending as flurries. When I went to school that day, it was about 40 and raining. By 9:00 it was snowing heavily. I was giving a test that day and was having a hard time keeping the kids on task. They were taking their test and I had my head down working on some papers, and all of a sudden there was a bright flash that got everyones attention. We all looked up and about that time, boom. This was the first and only time I've ever seen thundersnow. This wasn't every now and then either. This was like a thunderstorm. That's when the snow became ridiculously heavy. We had parents everywhere picking up their kids. We dismissed at 11, but the state police turned our buses around. That's some pretty bad roads. We had to stay with the kids, of course. We finally had them all gone by about 5 o'clock. Ended up with about 7 inches. This was a Tuesday, IIRC. By Friday, the temps were in the 70's. When I got home from work, I told my wife what tonight's weather would be, and she said that sounded like March weather. The front in '95 dropped temps 22-25 degrees in a two hour period when it passed. Tonight we're looking at 20 degrees in 6 hours, which is similar to the other dates gymengineer cited. We had an early dismissal from school in, I believe Jan `78, and as we left the school it was in the upper 40's and sunny skies. We couldn't figure out why we were leaving. The superintendant had got a forecast for 50 mph winds, plummeting temps and accumulating snow before the end of the school day and made the call. That front was a great one in Cumberland. Some of the most ominous skies I ever saw. I'll have to look for the date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 No idea if it is reliable, but the HRRR has been getting slowly better all afternoon. If it is snowing in Kentucky, it will snow in Northern Virginia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 If it is snowing in Kentucky, it will snow in Northern Virginia. Rule 969 in the weenie handbook written by Ian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 After some light rain late afternoon and evening, skies are starry here now. This is allowing a fog to form, and a nice temp drop. Already lost 8 degrees from the high of 53. If it can get into the lower 40's, maybe the front can do the rest for a changeover later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Any observations from Davis? Wondering if Whitegrass will be skiable this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Any observations from Davis? Wondering if Whitegrass will be skiable this weekend. Upper 30s and light rain now. Snow should be here in an hour or two. I'm guessing 5-10" through Saturday morning, and frigid. Whitegrass will probably be fully open with thin cover if that comes to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 After some light rain late afternoon and evening, skies are starry here now. This is allowing a fog to form, and a nice temp drop. Already lost 8 degrees from the high of 53. If it can get into the lower 40's, maybe the front can do the rest for a changeover later. Made it down to 40 before the rain moved back in. Now back up to 43 with the warming ahead of the front. At this point looking at radar, I'll be happy with the high wind gusts and a blustery flurry in the a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snownut Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Upper 30s and light rain now. Snow should be here in an hour or two. I'm guessing 5-10" through Saturday morning, and frigid. Whitegrass will probably be fully open with thin cover if that comes to fruition. davis reporting 34.4 so must be in change over now, good luck hope forecast busts low and you get 12" plus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 davis reporting 34.4 so must be in change over now, good luck hope forecast busts low and you get 12" plus Thanks. Changed to snow about a half hour ago. Accumulating quickly now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Rule 969 in the weenie handbook written by Ian. I think that's a Howard/Weather53 rule. I'm not knocking it, just saying that's something he preached, although I'm not sure that he meant for frontal passages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I think that's a Howard/Weather53 rule. I'm not knocking it, just saying that's something he preached, although I'm not sure that he meant for frontal passages. It is his rule and he always said it, i was just teasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Skies just opened up and the wind was whipping here now just a steady rain here with some wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Skies just opened up and the wind was whipping here now just a steady rain here with some windnot much qpf left for snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 not much qpf left for snow What a shocker that is. Snow this season is like wizards winning 5 games this month Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Neat. Rain just started in Gaithersburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Neat. Rain just started in Gaithersburg. Hey, funny, girl I am dating lives in Gaithersburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Sky is bright to the SW, kind of like dusk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Chunks of ice (hail) falling from the sky here. Mdstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 9 degree drop along that line... Gaithersburg going from 50 to 41 between 20 minute obs. KGAI 130715Z AUTO 31015G26KT 8SM SCT022 OVC029 05/03 A2939 RMK AO1 P0005 KGAI 130655Z AUTO 30021G29KT 10SM SCT022 BKN027 OVC031 10/06 A2938 RMK AO1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 either large sleet or small hail in glen echo with good winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 co-workers reporting mixed precip. outside the office now... its doing its thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Snowing lightly here with a temp of 37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Dulles managed a trace of snow before the precip ended... KIAD 130952Z 26004KT 10SM BKN036 OVC070 03/M02 A2948 RMK AO2 RAB0858E22SNB08E18 SLP984 P0000 T00281017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Doesn't look like a flake fell in here.....shocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Doesn't look like a flake fell in here.....shocker. One of my co-workers who comes in from Frederick saw some flakes up there when it was falling... obviously none of it stuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 How many times now on Facebook has Justin berk had admit a bust this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 How many times now on Facebook has Justin berk had admit a bust this year? as many times as the computers showed we had a chance, because he went all in every time with the snowiest solution, at least from what I read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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