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January Obs/Short Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr

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I'm not even excited about this chance and I am desperate...maybe we see a flurry?

your gchat number was higher than mine. ;)

i liked the second vort but now the nam has it way south. i just wanted 10 minutes of light snow and a dusting.

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Got some 20-25dbz returns popping around the oh/ky border with the first 500 ul energy swinging through. The optimistic weenie side of me is saying we see some flakes this evening before the big daddy rolls through after midnight.

"big daddy?"

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your gchat number was higher than mine. ;)

i liked the second vort but now the nam has it way south. i just wanted 10 minutes of light snow and a dusting.

and then I did some investigating...none of the areas in the 90%+ RH on the RUC are reporting snow....I might get excited if I see a single snow ob somewhere

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and then I did some investigating...none of the areas in the 90%+ RH on the RUC are reporting snow....I might get excited if I see a single snow ob somewhere

i dont think any of my posts indicated it was going to be anything significant. but i have seen it snow at 40-50% RH so i don't totally buy the low dew argument even though i brought it up. the lack of good forcing is the main problem. im just finally coming around to wanting it to snow..

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i dont think any of my posts indicated it was going to be anything significant. but i have seen it snow at 40-50% RH so i don't totally buy the low dew argument even though i brought it up. the lack of good forcing is the main problem. im just finally coming around to wanting it to snow..

i know...but places like morgantown where it snows easily is not reporting anything....maybe the reports will start coming in in the next couple hours...everybody is under 50% RH, so maybe it needs to saturate a bit more

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and then I did some investigating...none of the areas in the 90%+ RH on the RUC are reporting snow....I might get excited if I see a single snow ob somewhere

I'd be surprised to not see something at krlx in the next 30 minutes. 30-35dBZ incoming down low on the 0.5°tilt

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On the back edge, Parkersburg was about 1.5 mi visibility. It looks like the snow lasted there for about an hour. The best anyone (WV or wherever) sees in this first pulse is probably like what we saw Christmas night 1993- a quick burst of intense snow that coats the roads

According to the models, the first burst may be what we get, the second vort isnt looking as great now, tho we gotta keep our eyes peeled.

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