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January Obs/Short Range Discussion


WinterWxLuvr

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  On 1/27/2012 at 2:16 PM, WxUSAF said:

Yup. Reports of the torch's early demise were greatly exaggerated. Mea culpa on that one. Well, Monday was a torch-bust :P.

Average highs at BWI this time of year are, what, 42, 43? The next 7 days in our zone forecast have 6 of the 7 days forecast higher than the average, significantly higher (+7 or better) on several of those days. If not a "torch" per se with days of sunshine and near 70 temps, it has still been and continues to be plenty warm as compared to norms as near as I can tell.

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  On 1/27/2012 at 2:21 PM, NE Balti Zen said:

Average highs at BWI this time of year are, what, 42, 43? The next 7 days in our zone forecast have 6 of the 7 days forecast higher than the average, significantly higher (+7 or better) on several of those days. If not a "torch" per se with days of sunshine and near 70 temps, it has still been and continues to be plenty warm as compared to norms as near as I can tell.

Well damn, I just looked at the climo report and even Monday was +5F thanks to the stupid midnight high temp :axe: This work-week through yesterday is averaging +9.5F. Today will obviously be way above normal as well. January is +4.3F month-to-date through yesterday. With the way the forecast looks, +4F for the month looks like a lock and +5 is very reachable.

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  On 1/27/2012 at 2:21 PM, NE Balti Zen said:

Average highs at BWI this time of year are, what, 42, 43? The next 7 days in our zone forecast have 6 of the 7 days forecast higher than the average, significantly higher (+7 or better) on several of those days. If not a "torch" per se with days of sunshine and near 70 temps, it has still been and continues to be plenty warm as compared to norms as near as I can tell.

BWI is +9.5 for the week (not including today)

Tuesday BWI was +14, yesterday BWI was +11

Monday was the weakest with +5

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  On 1/27/2012 at 1:51 PM, mapgirl said:

H2O is out on a field job and sent a text saying he had to pull over cause the rain was so intense and that he has T&L

He is in Annadale

Driving on my way to work on 495, there was a brief downpour that was one of the heaviest I've ever seen (not being a weenie here, seriously). There weren't many cars on the road but everyone had to almost come to a complete stop, it was raining so hard.

  On 1/27/2012 at 2:01 PM, Kmlwx said:

Maybe this is a promising sign for the spring/summer severe season.

Careful- I said that after the October snow.

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  On 1/27/2012 at 2:54 PM, Noreastericane said:

Driving on my way to work on 495, there was a brief downpour that was one of the heaviest I've ever seen (not being a weenie here, seriously). There weren't many cars on the road but everyone had to almost come to a complete stop, it was raining so hard.

Careful- I said that after the October snow.

Eh...I'll take my chances. It's not super hard to get a decent strong storm in some part of the area in the warm months. It seems much harder to get a good snowfall.

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  On 1/27/2012 at 2:58 PM, easternsnowman said:

It's been a wimpy torch....real torch I agree is several days near 70 with sunshine!

Meh. I think several days of 60+ qualifies as a real torch, considering that it's some 20 degrees warmer than our average high.

I am literally sweating today.

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  On 1/27/2012 at 4:54 PM, Ellinwood said:

Bob Ryan tweeted that DCA only gets a thunderstorm day once every three years in January... can a stats person confirm this?

30 yr avg is .3

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/what-is-washington-dcs-weather-like-in-january-breaking-down-norms-and-extremes/2012/01/09/gIQAVBzZtP_blog.html

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  On 1/27/2012 at 6:27 PM, BethesdaWX said:

Wind is gusting pretty good now, sound through the trees is similar to a low flying jetplane.

Advisory should have been issued, first WXbug station I clicked on has a 53mph gust.

I'm guessing LWX didn't because it does not fit the criteria of an advisory

Wind Advisory

A Wind Advisory is issued when the following conditions are expected for 3 hours or longer.

1) sustained winds of 31 to 39 mph

AND/OR

2) wind gusts of 46 to 57 mph.

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  On 1/27/2012 at 6:36 PM, mapgirl said:

I'm guessing LWX didn't because it does not fit the criteria of an advisory

Wind Advisory

A Wind Advisory is issued when the following conditions are expected for 3 hours or longer.

1) sustained winds of 31 to 39 mph

AND/OR

2) wind gusts of 46 to 57 mph.

http://weather.weath...6286&stat=AWSHQ

I'm at cider barrel drive at the moment.

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  On 1/27/2012 at 6:59 PM, wxtrix said:

my highest gust out in MRB has been 39. out in Elkins the gusts have only been in the 20s. Frederick gusted to 41 last hour, and Front Royal into the low 30s for gusts.

fwiw.

BWI gusted to 45 during the 12pm hour and 41mph last hour

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