powderfreak Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Based on the BTV AFD this morning, it looks like we have a couple chances for fresh snow this week. The first being on Tuesday night, with lingering upslope snow showers on Wednesday, then maybe a couple inches Thursday from WAA. Back to nickel and dime pattern with no big storms. It is slowly adding up though. FORECAST PERIOD STARTS WITH A FRONTAL LOW PRESSURE WAVE MOVING NEWD OUT OF THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A PERIOD OF SNOW TO MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH CURRENT INDICATIONS SHOWING 00-06Z WEDNESDAY AS THE PERIOD OF MAXIMUM QPF IN BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF SOLNS. MAY SEE SOME ADVISORY CRITERIA SNOWS /3-6"/ WITH THIS SYSTEM...WHICH IS SIMILAR IN SOME RESPECTS TO THE SYSTEM THAT MOVED THRU THE REGION THIS PAST FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES ARE SOMEWHAT MARGINAL TO START...AND A RAIN/SNOW MIX IS POSSIBLE IN THE VALLEY OF CENTRAL/SRN VERMONT EARLY ON...BUT GENERALLY BECOMING ALL SNOW TOWARD MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT. AS THE LOW DEPARTS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...MUCH COLDER AIR MOVES IN ON GUSTY W-NW WINDS OF 15-25 MPH /GUSTS TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING/. TEMPS 28-32F EARLY TUESDAY NIGHT WILL FALL SHARPLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND LIKELY NOT GET OUT OF THE TEENS WEDNESDAY AFTN AS 1000-500MB THICKNESS VALUES OF 499-505DM ADVECT ACROSS THE REGION. WITH LOW-LEVEL CAA AND NW FLOW...SOME LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS ARE LIKELY WEDNESDAY IN THE NRN ADIRONDACKS AND ALONG THE WRN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MTNS WITH FAVORABLE OROGRAPHIC ASCENT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD WEDNESDAY NIGHT SETTING UP EXCELLENT RADIATIONAL COOLING CONDITIONS WITH CALM WINDS AND SOME FRESH SNOWCOVER. LOOKING FOR LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AROUND ZERO IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND GENERALLY ZERO TO 10 BELOW ELSEWHERE. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH FOLLOWS QUICKLY BEHIND THE SFC RIDGE WITH INCREASING CLOUDS FOR THURSDAY WITH A LIGHT WARM FRONTAL SNOWFALL POSSIBLE THURSDAY AFTN INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. NOT MUCH AVAILABLE MOISTURE AT THIS POINT...SO SNOW AMTS LIKELY D-2" OR 1-3" RANGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Down to -15 or a bit lower this morning. Our share of all the upslope was about 20 flakes yesterday, but it's still nice to have the 5" from Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted January 15, 2012 Author Share Posted January 15, 2012 Well, up to -11 now. Long live the torch. I know folks on this board don't think many people live up here, but the upslope region is actually one of the more populated areas in the state so it has a high impact for anyone driving home between BTV and Montpelier. Its also the most traveled region in the state between BTV and MPV. Yeah, VT is different from our other NNE brethren in that the weight of population is in the north-central/northwestern part of the state with the snowiest part of the spine very close to our largest city & county, population-wise. The potential for high impact is...well, high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Down to -15 or a bit lower this morning. Our share of all the upslope was about 20 flakes yesterday, but it's still nice to have the 5" from Thursday. That should lock up any open water on long pond. -6F at my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted January 15, 2012 Author Share Posted January 15, 2012 Well, it's up to 0F. Or, -0.0F as my thermo reads. Always chuckle when it does that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Down to -2F already. Topped out at 4F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drew13btv Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Well the WWAs in place and had they "heavy snow" in their wording. They upgraded the spine to a WSW at some point I think. Meh, the weather that day was nothing we haven't seen many times before. WWA were not in greater Burlington area. In fact the WWAs were mostly just on the Green Mountain spine.. In fact point and click forecast was giving BTV, Swanton, Essex, etc all just the chance of 1 inch of accumulation. People were worried about Thursday. Had no clue about the greater Friday threat. That's my only point. It's a tough job. I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Moisture died off around 11:30 over the spine enough to see it for the first time in a few days. Jay, N and S Gilpin to the far left VT winter blue skies. I haven't traveled a lot but I swear its unique to us, haha Nice thick rime above 3000'. Domey's Dome off in the distance -2F high up at the pass. sittin on -10F already here at the house. gotta feelin we go past last nights bottom of -14F edit: I'll add this one too, pretty much a postcard winter day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 Beautiful pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 High of 1F at the base today, high of 2F in the village, and -8F at the summit. Brrrr. Beautiful mid-winter day though with fresh snowpack and crisp temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted January 15, 2012 Author Share Posted January 15, 2012 A little after 6:30pm and it's already -8... WWA were not in greater Burlington area. In fact the WWAs were mostly just on the Green Mountain spine.. In fact point and click forecast was giving BTV, Swanton, Essex, etc all just the chance of 1 inch of accumulation. People were worried about Thursday. Had no clue about the greater Friday threat. That's my only point. It's a tough job. I know. And points east, ahem. Anyway, didn't realize that you were talking about Burlington proper. How much did they get over there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
drew13btv Posted January 15, 2012 Share Posted January 15, 2012 BTV got 4 inches. I'm not sure about downtown. I was just talking about Burlington specifically but the entire area north and south of the city that was West enough to be out of the WWAs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 High of 1F at the base today, high of 2F in the village, and -8F at the summit. Brrrr. Beautiful mid-winter day though with fresh snowpack and crisp temps. big hill looking good PF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 We had a low of -10f last night and a high of 5f today but I don't know if the sensor was in the sun for that. -4f at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
j24vt Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 A little after 6:30pm and it's already -8... And points east, ahem. Anyway, didn't realize that you were talking about Burlington proper. How much did they get over there? Colchester, first town north of Burlington got maybe an inch. You can still see the grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 -9F here. Clear and cold. A beautiful January night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Pretty brutal this morning. But we are inverted so its a lot colder down here in the village than the summit which is a balmy -4F right now. -17/-22 at MVL at 4am... maybe we can sneak down a little lower by sun up. lol at SLK with -24/-30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Thought for sure this would be my coldest night of the season but it failed... was 4 degrees at 6pm but it held steady at 2-4 all night. Forecasted low was -9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 A fairly formidable -11F down here also. Much milder in the barren snowless areas such as ALB where it is only -1. Pretty brutal this morning. But we are inverted so its a lot colder down here in the village than the summit which is a balmy -4F right now. -17/-22 at MVL at 4am... maybe we can sneak down a little lower by sun up. lol at SLK with -24/-30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted January 16, 2012 Author Share Posted January 16, 2012 I wondered how low we'd go when it was sinking like a stone last night, even at supper time. Bottomed out at -17F and now up to -16F. P&C has a high of 22F for this particular backyard today. That's going to feel downright tropical and also will be one hell of a rebound. Our network channels come from NYC, having satellite TV as we do. I just caught a weather report and they were saying something to the effect of "it's cold out there this morning New York, it's in the teens". I'm thinking, yeah, teens below zero, that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 I'll say that yesterday was the coldest environment I'd been in over a sustained period of time. The quad at stowe yesterday at around 8am was brutal. -15F with prob. 20-30 mph winds. Not good. Much better day for a tour... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 You guys must've gotten some ridiculous pictures... knowing how good GP is at catching someone going deep in this type of snow. Best day of the season so far... no doubt about it and I've skied 'em all, lol. Yea...there was some snow around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 -2F on the hill, warmed up over night. just a mile down the hill though (400') -10F wicked slow snow for the sunrise(which was pretty spectacular) kick and glide nice pics adk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 I'll say that yesterday was the coldest environment I'd been in over a sustained period of time. The quad at stowe yesterday at around 8am was brutal. -15F with prob. 20-30 mph winds. Not good. Much better day for a tour... Haha same here... that ride up the Quad in the morning was brutal. That was easily one of my most memorable rides on that lift... just curl up in the fetal position and moan. Everytime the wind gusted up it felt like someone was punching you in the stomach, just could barely breath with those chills down in the -40F to -50F range. It was funny to run into you guys and other friends at the Octagon as everyone seemed to have the same idea. Get off the lift and run for cover like your life depended on it. Even the hardiest of the hardcore locals that are out there every single day from start to finish only took a couple runs and left. Can't blame the tourists for not coming out if its too much for even the seasoned vets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Absolutely amazing sunrise this morning with alpenglow on the caked-in-white ridgeline... now its time to go product testing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 I'll say that yesterday was the coldest environment I'd been in over a sustained period of time. The quad at stowe yesterday at around 8am was brutal. -15F with prob. 20-30 mph winds. Not good. Much better day for a tour... Agreed adk – I watched the temperature at the base of Bolton Valley sit around -10 F during much of the morning yesterday, and had no desire to ride the lifts with the boys in those temperatures combined with wind: I was going to head up for a quick powder run on Bolton’s BC Network, but realized that they haven’t started running the Timberline Quad yet (may not be for much longer based on the coverage), so I opted for a sunset tour there instead: Temperatures had risen to around 0 F by that point and winds were minimal, but touring was the way to go in my mind. The low here overnight was -15.3 F, certainly the lowest of the season thus far. We’re thinking of heading to Stowe today, so hoping for that nice temperature rebound I see in the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VtWxWatcher Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Some great pics on the past couple pages. Bottomed out at -20.7F at 6:56am this morning. Coldest reading of the year for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Min/max/min over the last 36 hrs has been -3.5/8.1/-2.6 The wind remained pesky all night so we never radiated well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 Min/max/min over the last 36 hrs has been -3.5/8.1/-2.6 The wind remained pesky all night so we never radiated well. My temps ran almost the same as you -3.3F/7.3F/1.2F last night a bit warmer up here on the hill. Quickly rising now, up to 8.5F. I am happy to see the bitter cold get out of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted January 16, 2012 Share Posted January 16, 2012 that sunset pic is friggin awesome J. thanks for sharing that one. -20 VTww, nice one. car seats nice and firm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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