adk Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Lol im getting close to just canceling this trip. I think you all forget it becomes weekend prices. That would be a fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sgottmann Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Agreed - Friday is really the dry slot day. One can actually make use of the hourly weather graph type of format that I posted above (mine cuts off Friday at midnight, but you can set it for a different 48-hour chunk and watch the upslope keep going). My call for the most fun in the fresh stuff would be Thursday afternoon/evening, and then Saturday morning onward. Things should be fun right from the get go with this system on Thursday though; it’s not like the mountains are recovering from a thaw-freeze event or anything. Non-manmade surfaces are nice and soft at most elevations, just like PF, adk, and I mentioned in our Stowe reports from the weekend. Things should really just be going from good to great, although if sbos_wx can change around his ski trip timing a bit he might get more optimal conditions (and get to experience some of the upslope snowfall if he also wants that). Friday could be fine, or it could be a bit more “meh” depending on how the dry slot period plays out. Thanks and enjoy it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 That would be a fail. So you think Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Don't think friday is the day. There's really no powder day per say with this one. Maybe Saturday but that's wind packed powder. Honestly, I'm stoked to get snow but this is just a run of the mill storm. 3-4" tomorrow, some ZR crust, then another 4-6" on Friday afternoon and evening. 22 buses coming to Stowe on Saturday and we are expecting largest crowds of season. It's too bad the normal backcountry spots aren't in yet. I was out off Chin Clip today in the usual woods and that is definitely not ready yet. Not a whole lot of skiing and a lot trying not to break a leg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barnsteader Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 If it was 15F right now, Id be looking for 6" then light ice, light rain and topping out at maybe 35 tomorrow night. But...., its 28 now, so Im thinking 2-3 inches on the front end, a short period of Zrain, then light-moderate plain rain topping out around 40. By the time the cold air rushes in Fri nite, I'll be happy if the ground is White. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Man the RUC runs lately have been very warm at H85-H8....it has us sleeting at 11am tomorrow. Im always nervous of WAA aloft. Could be the difference between 2-3" vs 4-6" tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Lol.. so now.. the thought is fri afternoon and evening? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Man the RUC runs lately have been very warm at H85-H8....it has us sleeting at 11am tomorrow. Im always nervous of WAA aloft. Could be the difference between 2-3" vs 4-6" tomorrow. I wouldn't worry... you guys will do fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looks like 2-4 from the dacks to the northern greens tonight and tomorrow morning. Far cry from the NAMs foot plus just a day ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looks like 2-4 from the dacks to the northern greens tonight and tomorrow morning. Far cry from the NAMs foot plus just a day ago. Farther cry from the 1.5 of rain 4 days ago, you hate life don't cha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Looks like 2-4 from the dacks to the northern greens tonight and tomorrow morning. Far cry from the NAMs foot plus just a day ago. When did the NAM have a foot plus for those areas? This first round has always looked like a 3-5 type deal then similar amounts with upslope following the FROPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Farther cry from the 1.5 of rain 4 days ago, you hate life don't cha. Yeah that's all I keep thinking about. No one can be disappointed with this...it's not a 45/40 type rainstorm before the holiday weekend. With that said this event has been hyped quite a bit so I could see where some folks read it as a bust if only 5" falls or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 When did the NAM have a foot plus for those areas? This first round has always looked like a 3-5 type deal then similar amounts with upslope following the FROPA. Nam showed 12 plus for the eastern dacks Monday and Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 There's really no powder day per say with this one. Maybe Saturday but that's wind packed powder. Honestly, I'm stoked to get snow but this is just a run of the mill storm. 3-4" tomorrow, some ZR crust, then another 4-6" on Friday afternoon and evening. 22 buses coming to Stowe on Saturday and we are expecting largest crowds of season. It's too bad the normal backcountry spots aren't in yet. I was out off Chin Clip today in the usual woods and that is definitely not ready yet. Not a whole lot of skiing and a lot trying not to break a leg. I think you are being a tad pessimistic. Look at the upslope signature at 0z saturday. Pretty damn solid. Very easily could be a dose of smoke on top of a 6 inch dense snow fall. That will open up a few zones. Not a ton but I'm sure a few. And those 3 powder runs before the busses get there...well...damn worth it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted January 12, 2012 Author Share Posted January 12, 2012 Snowing, 26F. Quite breezy out there too. It's snow, so it's all good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I think you are being a tad pessimistic. Look at the upslope signature at 0z saturday. Pretty damn solid. Very easily could be a dose of smoke on top of a 6 inch dense snow fall. That will open up a few zones. Not a ton but I'm sure a few. And those 3 powder runs before the busses get there...well...damn worth it. Haha that's true... I'm was being a whinner. Its good for business but the place is going to be a mad house tomorrow, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 overcast, ceiling looks to be about 2000'. so far a big ole whiff up here, the sand they spread this morning is deeper than the talcom powder layer fo snow that got spit out around 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Haha that's true... I'm was being a whinner. Its good for business but the place is going to be a mad house tomorrow, lol. Well the do sell skins. Ha. Strange storm. You know for ONCE this winter I'd like a simple nor'easter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grambo Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 overcast, ceiling looks to be about 2000'. so far a big ole whiff up here, the sand they spread this morning is deeper than the talcom powder layer fo snow that got spit out around 7 Same goes for here in Winooski. Woke up this morning with a light dusting that happened sometime overnight and then just a brief flizzard this morning around 8 o'clock. An errant flake does somehow manage to catch my eye about every 15 minutes or so. The radar is showing the line where the precip has been dissipating is slowly, painfully slowly moving northwards up the valley and filling in behind itself. The plow truck awaits. It has been waiting for quite some time now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 3.8" in Bedford, NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 We have a bunch of breaks in the action here in St. J. It has been all snow but there have been times it just stops. Very light at the moment though it looks like another batch will move in soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 BTV now with a WWA for Friday. http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=VTZ007&warncounty=VTC005&firewxzone=VTZ007&local_place1=Peacham+VT&product1=Winter+Weather+Advisory URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 335 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012 NYZ026-027-029>031-034-087-VTZ003-004-006>008-010-016>019-130930- /O.NEW.KBTV.WW.Y.0002.120113T1200Z-120114T0500Z/ NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHEASTERN ST. LAWRENCE- SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-WESTERN CLINTON-WESTERN ESSEX- SOUTHWESTERN ST. LAWRENCE-ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA- WASHINGTON-ORANGE-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN- EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN RUTLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...STAR LAKE... SARANAC LAKE...TUPPER LAKE...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID... OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM...GOUVERNEUR...NEWPORT...ISLAND POND... JOHNSON...STOWE...ST. JOHNSBURY...MONTPELIER...BRADFORD... RANDOLPH...ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL... RIPTON...EAST WALLINGFORD...KILLINGTON 335 PM EST THU JAN 12 2012 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO MIDNIGHT EST FRIDAY NIGHT. * LOCATIONS...THE ENTIRE NORTH COUNTRY...EXCEPT THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY OF VERMONT AND NEW YORK...AND WINDSOR COUNTY OF VERMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...SNOW AND MIXED PRECIPITATION. * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW...ALONG WITH A TRACE OF ICE. * TIMING...LIGHT MIXED PRECIPITATION EARLY FRIDAY MORNING WILL CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK MID-MORNING...AND ACROSS VERMONT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...TAPERING OFF NEAR MIDNIGHT. * IMPACTS...MIXED PRECIPITATION IN THE MORNING...AND MODERATE SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON WILL LEAD TO HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS FOR THE MORNING AND EVENING COMMUTES. * WINDS...LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE MID 20S. * VISIBILITIES...DOWN TO A HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 As of 2:30pm... 3,014ft snow board: 3.0" Snow depth: 25" 1,549ft snow board: 2.6" Snow depth: 10" Underwhelming but the upslope still looks good tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 About 6 inches at gore and 4 or so at whiteface, hard to tell as the tops of both mountains were very windy today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Scarborough ME 10"?? True? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hvysnow79 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Only 1.8" of snow today. Currently 34F with sprinkles. The same old same old this winter!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigbob Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 About 6" with sleet mixing in for the last hour or two, but no rain in Lee, NH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Only 1.8" of snow today. Currently 34F with sprinkles. The same old same old this winter!!! About 4.5" over here in Barre. Never went over to sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 We got just a hair under 4 inches in Peacham- I'll call in 3.9. I don't think we had much more than 2 inches in St. J. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted January 13, 2012 Author Share Posted January 13, 2012 Only 1.8" of snow today. Currently 34F with sprinkles. The same old same old this winter!!! I've seen Fairlee/Orford/Bradford/Piermont, etc be a bit of a snow hole with this sort of set up. I measured over 3.5" in Hanover and put me down for a solid 6" here Corinth, including the 1" I noted this morning in the obs thread. The hills on the NH side are just tall enough north of Hanover to cause some shadowing with this sort of fetch, from about Lyme/East Thetford clear on up to Woodsville & Wells River--right along the valley, that is. I'll bet there's a fair bit up by the Mel Thompson place at the top of 25A, thinking of Orford. You've seen it though, I'm sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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