HurricaneJosh Posted June 11, 2012 Author Share Posted June 11, 2012 You guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted June 12, 2012 Share Posted June 12, 2012 Now that it is the season to use Alan's RaleighWx site for Euro 850 mb vorticity maps in the tropics, I'd say this would be an excellent time to hit his PayPal and keep this valuable resource running. Speaking off, Euro has a weak tropical wave moving into the Northwest Gulf w/ no signs of development in 10 days... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted June 13, 2012 Share Posted June 13, 2012 0Z GFS and LOLGAPs both suggest Florida action from the Gulf in 8 or 10 days. Even Euro has a strong wave (depression) but it misses Florida, this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted June 13, 2012 Share Posted June 13, 2012 0Z GFS and LOLGAPs both suggest Florida action from the Gulf in 8 or 10 days. Even Euro has a strong wave (depression) but it misses Florida, this run. Given the expected synoptic set up, I'd expect anything that does form to head west toward MX/TX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted June 13, 2012 Share Posted June 13, 2012 0Z GFS and LOLGAPs both suggest Florida action from the Gulf in 8 or 10 days. Even Euro has a strong wave (depression) but it misses Florida, this run. It looks like a good amount, if not the majority, of the incipient vorticity and low-level high theta-e air comes from the East Pac. So until we know what's going to happen with 94E, I'll remain sceptical of any western Caribbean development. Anything that does form would probably be close to land, and as Adam said, most likely head west, which wouldn't translate to much time over water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted June 13, 2012 Share Posted June 13, 2012 Part homerism plus it doesn't have a 3 as the leading number... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted June 13, 2012 Share Posted June 13, 2012 Part homerism plus it doesn't have a 3 as the leading number... ...and the Euro is pretty similar...but 10 days are way out there, especially that close to the landmasses (10 day Cape Verde cyclones verify a bit more, I would think) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted June 13, 2012 Share Posted June 13, 2012 Agree with the above. Very skeptical of any Caribbean development due to the fact that the vort and trigger for development looks to come from the EPAC. These situations are very delicate and don't always yield the most interesting cyclones (IE Alma/Arthur in 2008). All the upward motion will mean very little if we don't have something that can stay over water and actually organize. Arthur/Alma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 13, 2012 Author Share Posted June 13, 2012 Part homerism plus it doesn't have a 3 as the leading number... lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted June 13, 2012 Share Posted June 13, 2012 Watching the low-pressure system off the East Coast for potential development. Pressure falls have been significant and winds are gusting over 20 mph occasionally according to my weather station. If anything tries to get going, it would most likely be a slow process given the origin of the low and the continental airmass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 This will be my 'homer' post of the day for the Bay of Campeche potential development next week. Regardless of development, it's beginning to look wet across the Western Gulf... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 This will be my 'homer' post of the day for the Bay of Campeche potential development next week. Regardless of development, it's beginning to look wet across the Western Gulf... OZ GFS does water my lawn, new Euro too far South. Some things I want from the tropics and sub-tropics, classic Cat 4 or Cat 5 satellite imagery from anywhere in the basin (or the world, really), rain for my lawn, major hurricane making daylight landfall in Florida with lots of development, good road network, and ability to get fairly close to the coast w/o drowning videographers in the storm surge, or, of course, as a guy born in Flushing, Queens, NY, 1938 redux. But it is only June, so not getting depressed even if Euro verifies and not a rain maker for my lawn. Ensembles seem to support their operational, I just suspect Euro probably closer to fact. But as long as 1 perturbation shows a 1000 mb or stronger low that could rain on my lawn, Glass 3/19th full optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 Latest disco out of Houston - http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=HGX&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 342 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2012 WITH THE MODELS DEVELOPING LOWER PRESSURES OVER THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN GULF...EASTERLY FLOW STEERING THIS WAVE(S) TOWARDS OUR COAST WILL KEEP SOUTHERN FA/MARINE LOWER-END CHANCE POPS IN PLACE THROUGH MID-JUNE. THE ENSEMBLE TRENDS TOWARDS GENERALLY WEAKER RIDGING...OR SOUTHEAST TEXAS EVENTUALLY FALLING WITHIN A (HEIGHT) WEAKNESS CHANNEL. THIS MESHES WITH THE IDEA OF BRINGING A NORTHERN GULF EASTERLY WAVE WESTWARD TOWARDS OUR COAST. NAM12 HAS A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MOVING INTO OUR WATERS SUNDAY. THE GFS SOLUTION STILL DEVELOPS A LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION /WEAK SFC LOW OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM AROUND THURSDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND ...CLOSED-OFF UPPER LOW BY NEXT WEEKEND. THE ECMWF ALSO PICKS UP ON THESE LOWER SFC PRESSURES AND...ALBEIT MORE BROAD AND WEAK...DOES MOVE THIS FEATURE UP THE MEXICO COAST THROUGH DAY 10. FWIW...THE NOGAPS ALSO DEVELOPS A SFC LOW IN THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE AT HR 144. ALL OF THIS TRANSLATES TO AN EARLY WEEK SOUTHEAST-TRANSITIONING -TO-EASTERLY FETCH THAT WILL PUMP IN GULF MOISTURE INTO AN ALREADY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. IF THESE SOLUTIONS GAIN MORE CONSISTENCY IN THE COMING DAYS THEN EXPECT A BAY OF CAMPECHE/SW GULF TROPICAL SYSTEM WITHIN A WEEK AND HEIGHTENED SE TX RAIN/ISO STORM PROBABILITIES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 14, 2012 Author Share Posted June 14, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PSUBlizzicane2007 Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 One thing that encourages me about this year so far... if this storm next week develops and including the massive rain event... is how close to the US everything is developing and how disturbed in general the area is. Good signs for the fall, methinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 OZ GFS does water my lawn, new Euro too far South. Some things I want from the tropics and sub-tropics, classic Cat 4 or Cat 5 satellite imagery from anywhere in the basin (or the world, really), rain for my lawn, major hurricane making daylight landfall in Florida with lots of development, good road network, and ability to get fairly close to the coast w/o drowning videographers in the storm surge, or, of course, as a guy born in Flushing, Queens, NY, 1938 redux. But it is only June, so not getting depressed even if Euro verifies and not a rain maker for my lawn. Ensembles seem to support their operational, I just suspect Euro probably closer to fact. But as long as 1 perturbation shows a 1000 mb or stronger low that could rain on my lawn, Glass 3/19th full optimistic. Latest disco out of Houston - http://forecast.weat...on=1&glossary=1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX 342 PM CDT THU JUN 14 2012 WITH THE MODELS DEVELOPING LOWER PRESSURES OVER THE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN GULF...EASTERLY FLOW STEERING THIS WAVE(S) TOWARDS OUR COAST WILL KEEP SOUTHERN FA/MARINE LOWER-END CHANCE POPS IN PLACE THROUGH MID-JUNE. THE ENSEMBLE TRENDS TOWARDS GENERALLY WEAKER RIDGING...OR SOUTHEAST TEXAS EVENTUALLY FALLING WITHIN A (HEIGHT) WEAKNESS CHANNEL. THIS MESHES WITH THE IDEA OF BRINGING A NORTHERN GULF EASTERLY WAVE WESTWARD TOWARDS OUR COAST. NAM12 HAS A BROAD CYCLONIC CIRCULATION MOVING INTO OUR WATERS SUNDAY. THE GFS SOLUTION STILL DEVELOPS A LARGE SCALE CIRCULATION /WEAK SFC LOW OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FROM AROUND THURSDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND ...CLOSED-OFF UPPER LOW BY NEXT WEEKEND. THE ECMWF ALSO PICKS UP ON THESE LOWER SFC PRESSURES AND...ALBEIT MORE BROAD AND WEAK...DOES MOVE THIS FEATURE UP THE MEXICO COAST THROUGH DAY 10. FWIW...THE NOGAPS ALSO DEVELOPS A SFC LOW IN THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE AT HR 144. ALL OF THIS TRANSLATES TO AN EARLY WEEK SOUTHEAST-TRANSITIONING -TO-EASTERLY FETCH THAT WILL PUMP IN GULF MOISTURE INTO AN ALREADY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT. IF THESE SOLUTIONS GAIN MORE CONSISTENCY IN THE COMING DAYS THEN EXPECT A BAY OF CAMPECHE/SW GULF TROPICAL SYSTEM WITHIN A WEEK AND HEIGHTENED SE TX RAIN/ISO STORM PROBABILITIES. :o Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted June 14, 2012 Share Posted June 14, 2012 It's interesting the fragile equilibrium of the Atlantic/MJO relationship. Too many/strong MJO waves and you get an El Niño, few/weak ones and upper level divergence/instability could be non conducive close to the landmasses. 2005 was a perfect example of a good balance, and may be one of the reasons (along with others) neutral ENSO has a little more storms, on average, than La Niñas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 Getting into a reasonable range now. Potentially showing signs of development Tuesday/Wednesday with the energy coming from Carlotta. Weak system Tampico/Corpus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 Some of the chatter from Texas/LA NWS offices this morning regarding the Western Gulf potential next week: Dallas/Ft Worth: THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GULF EARLY NEXT WEEK STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PRECIP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTED BY BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF. BY THURSDAY...MODELS START TO DIVERGE. THE GFS NOW TAKES THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ON A MUCH MORE NORTHERN TRACK AND RECURVES IT ACROSS NORTH TEXAS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THE ECMWF HOLDS THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM AND SHUNTS IT WESTWARD INTO MEXICO. IF THE GFS IS RIGHT...THE LATE WEEK TIME PERIODS WILL BE WET BUT SINCE THIS IS A NEW WRINKLE I WILL STICK WITH CONTINUITY AND ADD NO POPS TO THE FORECAST. IF THE ECMWF STARTS TO AGREE WITH THAT TRACK...THE LATER FORECASTS WILL LIKELY BE ADDING POPS LATE NEXT WEEK. Lake Charles: THROUGH THE WEEKEND HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHEAST WHICH WILL KEEP THE AREA IN A MOIST SOUTH TO SE FLOW. A MID LVL RIDGE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD INTO TX AND THEN ACROSS THE REST OF THE SOUTH THROUGH THE EARLY PARTS OF THE COMING WEEK. THIS WILL SLOWLY SHOVE THE WEAK SHORT WAVE CURRENTLY OVER LA SOUTH INTO THE EXTREME NW GULF OR PERHAPS JUST TO THE COAST OF LA BEFORE IT DEEPENS AND RETRO GRADES INTO S TX. WITH THE SHORT WAVE/UPPER LOW IN VICINITY OF THE CWA AND WITH CONTINUED MOISTURE BEING PUSHED ACROSS THE AREA AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE, ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. BY THE MIDDLE OF THE COMING WEEK WINDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SLOWLY TIGHTENS BETWEEN THE RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND LOWERING PRESSURE WELL TO THE SOUTH. THIS WILL BE MOST NOTED ALONG THE COAST AND OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. Corpus Christi: A MID/UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS PROG TO RETROGRADE ACROSS W GULF TOWARDS CWA OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR HEIGHTS TO LOWER AND RESULTANT INCREASE IN INSTABILITY TO OCCUR...AND WITH LIGHTER LOW LEVEL FLOW...ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG THE SEABREEZE ON SUNDAY. GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON TRACK OF MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE WITH GFS TAKING VORT MAX INTO HOUSTON WHILE ECMWF AND CANADIAN MOVE THE SYSTEM INTO S TX. THE ECMWF/CMC SOLUTION WOULD USUALLY BRING US SIGNIFICANT PRECIP BUT DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WILL STILL BE LACKING TO AN EXTENT AND THUS HAVE ONLY GONE WITH SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE POPS FOR SUN AND MONDAY. CHANCES OF PRECIP MAY INCREASE ON TUESDAY AS SAID DISTURBANCE PLACES S TX IN SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORABLE DPVA REGION ALONG WITH INCREASING DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. FORECAST CONFIDENCE THEN DECREASES FOR THE MIDDLE AND LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK. ALL GUIDANCE IS INDICATING A SURGE OF DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE TOWARDS S TX LATE NEXT WEEK AS BROAD LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE. 00Z GUIDANCE SUITES ARE ALL BRINGING THE SYSTEM/DISTURBANCE A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH AND A LITTLE MORE ORGANIZED THAN PREVIOUS RUNS WHICH MAY LEAD TO INCREASING RAIN CHANCES FOR ESPECIALLY THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN CWA /AND ADJACENT MARINE AREAS/. FOR NOW WILL GO WITH CHANCE POPS FOR WED AND THURS. SYSTEM NEXT WEEK BEARS WATCHING. TEMPS TO BE AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL FOR MUCH OF EXTENDED PERIOD WITH A MODERATE TO AT OR JUST BELOW NORMAL FOR MAX TEMPS BY LATE IN THE FORECAST DUE TO INCREASED PRECIP AND CLOUD COVER. Brownsville: .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...MODELS BECOMING NICELY CONSISTENT ON OVERALL PATTERN FOR NEXT WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO GET SQUEEZED WESTWARD AS THE TROUGH TRAPPED ACROSS LOUISIANA CUTS OFF AND RETROGRADES BACK INTO THE NORTHWEST GULF OVER THE WEEKEND. INSTABILITY WILL BE MODEST IN THIS AREA FROM THAT FEATURE...AND WITH LIGHTER WINDS...THE SEABREEZE WILL HAVE A BETTER SHOT AND PRODUCING CONVECTION AND SHOWERS FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK. THE NEXT FEATURE OF NOTE IS THE AREA OF SFC LOW PRESSURE THAT ALL MODELS ARE TRYING TO WRAP UP IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE LATE WEEK AND DRIFT NORTHWARD ALONG THE FAR WESTERN GULF COAST. WHILE THE MODELS MAKE THIS FEATURE LOOK EXCITING...IT IT WAY TOO EARLY TO IMPLY ANYTHING TROPICAL OUT OF THIS FEATURE OR TO NAIL DOWN THE TIMING OR LOCATION OF THIS FEATURE 8 DAYS OUT. Houston/Galveston: LONGER RANGE BEGINNING TO LOOK WET. WEAKNESS/EASTERLY WAVE ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE MEAN SFC-700MB HIGH OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN US EARLY NEXT WEEK WILL MOVE TOWARDS SE TEXAS. WEAK UPPER TROF AT 500-250MB REMAINS CLOSE BY AS WELL. AHEAD OF THE SFC FEATURE PWATS CLIMB AND SE TX IN FAVORABLE LOCATION FOR LIFT SO 30/40 PERCENT POPS SEEM PRUDENT. BOTH GFS AND EXPERIMENTAL ECMWF MOS RAISE POPS FURTHER FOR MIDWEEK IN RESPONSE TO INCREASED ONSHORE FLOW FROM POSSIBLE TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT IN BAY OF CAMPECHE. STILL WAY TOO EARLY TO GET TOO EXCITED ABOUT THIS POSSIBLE DEVELOPMENT BUT STILL TOO FAR OUT (LATE NEXT WEEK!) TO FINE TUNE TIMING OR LOCATIONS SO BROAD BRUSH APPROACH SEEMS BEST FOR NOW. GFS RAISES PWAT VALUES TREMENDOUSLY WHILE ECMWF IS MORE RESTRAINED. WENT GENERALLY WITH A 2 PARTS ECM AND 1 PART GFS BLEND IN THE EXTENDED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 As some have been alluding to earlier, there is a distinct possibility that the vorticity associated with Carlotta will be able to cross the Chivela Pass (A lower gap in the Mountains in the Serra Madre in Mexico) and perhaps develop further in the Gulf of Mexico. This synoptic scenario has happened before. The best case study worth looking at was what happened with the development of TD 11E which crossed Mexico and then became TS Hermine in 2010. The GFS illustrates the cross gap movement of the cyclonic vorticity. Anomalous westerly flow is currently and will continue to affect the East Pacific basin for the next 3-5 days. During this time, the cyclonic vorticity originally associated with Carlotta will begin to shift back to the east and move into the Gulf of Tehuantepec. While traditionally it is hard for a vorticity maximum to survive across the higher terrain of Mexico, this lower pass is an exception to the rule. This mainly works not due to advection, but rather the development of gap wind flow when a large mass is forced through a small area such as the Chivela Pass. The wind increase is due to the increased pressure gradient of forcing a larger mass in a smaller area. When the winds reach the Gulf of Mexico, cyclonic shear vorticity is produced to the northwest of the Chivela pass as the relatively light winds on the terrain blocked ocean in the West Bay of Campeche meet the relatively strong southerly winds of the gap flow directly north of the Chivela pass. At this point, both the ECMWF and the GFS are showing this type of gap flow evolution. The GFS is more intense in comparison to the ECMWF with the development of the new vortex over the Gulf of Mexico, although the ECMWF does depict something that looks like a Tropical Depression in the same region. I'll tip my hat to the ECMWF owing to its superior resolution over Central America which would probably allow it to capture such an event more realistically. Bottom line though is that this is probably a likely outcome to the current synoptic regime with some type of gyre/depression developing over Central America and the Gulf of Mexico in the medium range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 One thing to add on the synoptic setup is that what eventually breaks the ridge over the N GoM and then loops back to the east and north what is left of Carlotta in the models is a piece of energy (mid /upper level low) left behind by the trough there. As it retrogrades to the west, the flow on it's base hooks up Carlotta and slings her over the southernmost BoC trough the Tehuantepec isthmus. The better the low level energy can thread the needle trough the Chivela pass, as alluded by Phil, the better the chance of reformation in the BoC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hurricaneman Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 I'm keeping an eye on the thing south of Pensacola, it has definate rotation and if it keeps up it may become an invest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 I'm keeping an eye on the thing south of Pensacola, it has definate rotation and if it keeps up it may become an invest Visible satellite imagery would seem to confirm CIMMS analysis of 20 to 30 knots shear, which should prevent development. Has low/mid level vorticity, and low level convergence. Upper divergence is meh. Proximity to the coast can't be helping. TLH morning sounding of 1.8" isn't bone dry by any means, (actually plenty juicy for usual Texas sea breeze afternoon activity, and probably higher than climo for mid-June) but also not a strong favorable. GFS and NAM track the vort Westward w/o significant development, boh also look to try to spin up a hybrid low in the Atlantic, and the GFS puts a TD or maybe a minimal TS Chris into Northern Tamilipaus next Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 Visible satellite imagery would seem to confirm CIMMS analysis of 20 to 30 knots shear, which should prevent development. Has low/mid level vorticity, and low level convergence. Upper divergence is meh. Proximity to the coast can't be helping. TLH morning sounding of 1.8" isn't bone dry by any means, (actually plenty juicy for usual Texas sea breeze afternoon activity, and probably higher than climo for mid-June) but also not a strong favorable. GFS and NAM track the vort Westward w/o significant development, boh also look to try to spin up a hybrid low in the Atlantic, and the GFS puts a TD or maybe a minimal TS Chris into Northern Tamilipaus next Saturday. Whatever becomes of the BoC thingie, the Euro and GFS are now converging on Tamaulipas... looks like it will be quite wet in my neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted June 15, 2012 Author Share Posted June 15, 2012 Whatever becomes of the BoC thingie, the Euro and GFS are now converging on Tamaulipas... looks like it will be quite wet in my neck of the woods. Maybe if it comes ashore close enough to you, you might be bothered to take an interest in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 Gas up the HH planes! A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA LOCATED ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD LATER TODAY...AND THEN TURNS WESTWARD ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A SUBTROPICAL OR TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 Maybe if it comes ashore close enough to you, you might be bothered to take an interest in it. Meh...it'll probably be just a nighttime, low end major, incoming at a wretched angle...not worth it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 Meh...it'll probably be just a nighttime, low end major, incoming at a wretched angle...not worth it. At least it won't be a Dry Don gust with no clouds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 Models showing a TS in the Gulf day 5 when the shear lifts out. I will acknowledge it's existence if it becomes a hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted June 15, 2012 Share Posted June 15, 2012 Models showing a TS in the Gulf day 5 when the shear lifts out. I will acknowledge it's existence if it becomes a hurricane. Definitely intrigued by the latest GFS and Euro, many were forecasting at least two named systems during June. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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