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January Obs/Disco

buckeyefan1

By buckeyefan1,
in Southeastern States

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Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

Blue_Ridge_Escarpment

Posted
Posted

Flood Watch issued for Southern Appalachians and the adjacent foothills from midnight tonight through Wednesday.

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FLOOD WATCH

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC

244 PM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

...HEAVY RAINFALL TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS AND ADJACENT

FOOTHILLS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY

LATE TODAY WILL TRACK NORTHEAST TOWARD THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS

THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HEAVY RAIN WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM

ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TONIGHT

THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOUTHEAST FLOW AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL ENHANCE

RAINFALL TOTALS ALONG THE EASTERN ESCARPMENT OF THE SOUTHERN

APPALACHIANS...POSSIBLY PRODUCING FLOODING.

GAZ010-NCZ033-035-049-050-053-059-062>065-501>510-SCZ001>003-

111000-

/O.NEW.KGSP.FA.A.0001.120111T0500Z-120112T0500Z/

/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

RABUN-AVERY-ALEXANDER-YANCEY-MITCHELL-BUNCOMBE-NORTHERN JACKSON-

MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-

GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-

EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-

POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-

GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...NEWLAND...SPRUCE PINE...

ASHEVILLE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...

LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...LAKE LURE...RUTHERFORD...COLUMBUS

244 PM EST TUE JAN 10 2012

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH

WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED

A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN NORTH

CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING

AREAS...IN NORTHEAST GEORGIA...RABUN. IN WESTERN NORTH

CAROLINA...ALEXANDER...AVERY...BURKE MOUNTAINS...BUNCOMBE...

CALDWELL MOUNTAINS...EASTERN MCDOWELL...EASTERN POLK...

GREATER BURKE...GREATER CALDWELL...GREATER RUTHERFORD...

HENDERSON...MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS...MACON...MITCHELL...NORTHERN

JACKSON...POLK MOUNTAINS...RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS...SOUTHERN

JACKSON...TRANSYLVANIA AND YANCEY. IN UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...

GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS...OCONEE MOUNTAINS AND PICKENS MOUNTAINS.

* FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING

* HEAVY RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP AHEAD OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM

MOVING NORTHEAST FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TO WEST

OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. SOUTHEASTERLY UPSLOPE WINDS AHEAD

OF THIS SYSTEM WILL ENHANCE PRECIPITATION ALONG THE EASTERN

SLOPES OF THE MOUNTAINS AND THE IMMEDIATELY ADJACENT FOOTHILLS.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN THE WATCH

AREA...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS BETWEEN 3 AND 4 INCHES IN THE

SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS.

* THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CREATE SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA RIVERS

AND STREAMS. SOME OF THESE TRIBUTARIES COULD EXCEED BANKFULL AND

FLOOD NEARBY ROADWAYS ON WEDNESDAY. FLOODING WILL ALSO BE

POSSIBLE ALONG MAIN STEM RIVERS...ESPECIALLY THE UPPER REACHES

OF THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON

CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE

ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO

FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING

DEVELOP.

&&

$$

GERAPETRITIS spacer.gifspacer.gif

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NavarreDon

NavarreDon

Posted
Posted

GSP afd:

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

AS OF 215 PM...CLOSED LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEEPEN OVER E TX

THIS AFTN. ABUNDANT MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE IS ADVECTING

NORTHWARD ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE

FORECAST MODELS FEATURE GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE

CLOSED SYSTEM...LIFTING IT NE THROUGH THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY

TONIGHT. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL REACH THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE

OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH BACKING AND STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL FLOW

CREATING STRONG UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT ALONG THE ERN ESCARPMENT OF THE

SRN APPALACHIANS. FORCING WITH THE SYSTEM IS QUITE PLENTIFUL AND

CENTERED MAINLY AROUND 18Z WED. STRONG UPPER JET DIVERGENCE...DEEP

LAYER Q VECTOR CONVERGENCE...AND CONTINUED SE UPSLOPE FLOW WILL

PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AT TIMES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE

DAY ON WED. WIDESPREAD 1.5 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS ARE

EXPECTED...WITH LOCAL 2 TO 3 INCH TOTALS POSSIBLE IN THE SELY

UPSLOPE AREAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE POSTED FOR THE ERN

MTNS/WRN FOOTHILLS MIDNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL MIDNIGHT WED NIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE HYDRO THREAT...CONVECTION COULD BECOME A

CONCERN AS WELL. AS THE LOW CENTER REACHES THE BASE OF THE SRN

APPALACHIANS MIDDAY WED...DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR WILL DEVELOP AS A 50

KT LOW LEVEL JET TRAVERSES THE PIEDMONT. THE NAM IS QUITE A BIT MORE

UNSTABLE IN PIEDMONT SECTIONS AS DEWPOINTS SURGE NWD SOUTH OF A

RETREATING CAD BOUNDARY...WHILE THE GFS INSTABILITY IS MORE

RESERVED. A CONSENSUS ON THIS WILL BE FORECAST...WITH THE BEST

OVERLAP OF INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR OVER SRN AND ERN

PIEDMONT SECTIONS FROM 18Z TO 21Z WED. A SECONDARY AREA OF

CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE SW MTNS AND UP THE SPINE OF THE

SRN APPALACHIANS AS STEEPER LAPSE RATES UNDER THE THERMAL TROUGH

PASS OVERHEAD. WILL MENTION ISOLD THUNDER IN WRN MTN AREAS DURING

WED AFTN...BUT CONFINE ANY SEVERE/ISOLD TORNADO MENTION IN THE HWO

TO THE SE PIEDMONT. A SMALL DIURNAL RANGE ON TEMPS WILL BE

ADVERTISED THROUGHOUT...ESPECIALLY IN THE IN SITU CAD REGION OF THE

NRN NC FOOTHILLS/PIEDMONT.

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jshetley

jshetley

Posted
Posted

GSP afd:

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

AS OF 215 PM...CLOSED LOW PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DEEPEN OVER E TX

THIS AFTN. ABUNDANT MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE IS ADVECTING

NORTHWARD ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO. THE

FORECAST MODELS FEATURE GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE

CLOSED SYSTEM...LIFTING IT NE THROUGH THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY

TONIGHT. ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL REACH THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE

OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH BACKING AND STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL FLOW

CREATING STRONG UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT ALONG THE ERN ESCARPMENT OF THE

SRN APPALACHIANS. FORCING WITH THE SYSTEM IS QUITE PLENTIFUL AND

CENTERED MAINLY AROUND 18Z WED. STRONG UPPER JET DIVERGENCE...DEEP

LAYER Q VECTOR CONVERGENCE...AND CONTINUED SE UPSLOPE FLOW WILL

PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AT TIMES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE

DAY ON WED. WIDESPREAD 1.5 TO 2 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS ARE

EXPECTED...WITH LOCAL 2 TO 3 INCH TOTALS POSSIBLE IN THE SELY

UPSLOPE AREAS. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE POSTED FOR THE ERN

MTNS/WRN FOOTHILLS MIDNIGHT TONIGHT UNTIL MIDNIGHT WED NIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE POSSIBLE HYDRO THREAT...CONVECTION COULD BECOME A

CONCERN AS WELL. AS THE LOW CENTER REACHES THE BASE OF THE SRN

APPALACHIANS MIDDAY WED...DEEP LAYER WIND SHEAR WILL DEVELOP AS A 50

KT LOW LEVEL JET TRAVERSES THE PIEDMONT. THE NAM IS QUITE A BIT MORE

UNSTABLE IN PIEDMONT SECTIONS AS DEWPOINTS SURGE NWD SOUTH OF A

RETREATING CAD BOUNDARY...WHILE THE GFS INSTABILITY IS MORE

RESERVED. A CONSENSUS ON THIS WILL BE FORECAST...WITH THE BEST

OVERLAP OF INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR OVER SRN AND ERN

PIEDMONT SECTIONS FROM 18Z TO 21Z WED. A SECONDARY AREA OF

CONVECTION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE SW MTNS AND UP THE SPINE OF THE

SRN APPALACHIANS AS STEEPER LAPSE RATES UNDER THE THERMAL TROUGH

PASS OVERHEAD. WILL MENTION ISOLD THUNDER IN WRN MTN AREAS DURING

WED AFTN...BUT CONFINE ANY SEVERE/ISOLD TORNADO MENTION IN THE HWO

TO THE SE PIEDMONT. A SMALL DIURNAL RANGE ON TEMPS WILL BE

ADVERTISED THROUGHOUT...ESPECIALLY IN THE IN SITU CAD REGION OF THE

NRN NC FOOTHILLS/PIEDMONT.

Unless the radar changes soon this will bust bigtime. I am thinking I see .10 or less now out of this system.

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jshetley

jshetley

Posted
Posted

Tony, I'm getting worried over here...amazing Water Vapor look tonight but despite that and having a direct connection to the Pacific and GoM I've managed about .05 so far, with not much on the radar in my area for now.

That shot shows the reason why this will bust up here very well. All the convection in the golf robbing the moisture.without that there this would have been a major event.

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dsaur

dsaur

Posted
Posted

Tony, I'm getting worried over here...amazing Water Vapor look tonight but despite that and having a direct connection to the Pacific and GoM I've managed about .05 so far, with not much on the radar in my area for now.

But see this is as it should be. I've gotten .35 for the day. The big rains come down here, the big snows come up there. I get more rain, thus more sleet because of waa, you get less qf, but better ratios in snow. I've been saying all winter, when rains move south, the snow will come. Easy squeezy!! Trust me, I went to pop festivals in the 60's. My mind is screwed on tight, lol. T

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dsaur

dsaur

Posted
Posted

I hate seeing that rain evaporator at work on the SC border. Would have loved a more southern track to this event. If it wasn't for that batch that came right into me this afternoon, I'd be in your shoes, Marietta. It was headed bad when that low started to trend north, but I kept hoping for a push up from PCola. This won't verify for totals, like I hoped it would. Still, you got way more the other day so your gauge got a nice work out, while I'll be at about a half inch for the period. T

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buckeyefan1

buckeyefan1

Posted
  • Author
Posted

I hate seeing that rain evaporator at work on the SC border. Would have loved a more southern track to this event. If it wasn't for that batch that came right into me this afternoon, I'd be in your shoes, Marietta. It was headed bad when that low started to trend north, but I kept hoping for a push up from PCola. This won't verify for totals, like I hoped it would. Still, you got way more the other day so your gauge got a nice work out, while I'll be at about a half inch for the period. T

That evaporator has been in full force for a long time and I will be so very glad when it's gone :lol:

Hopefully we get some much needed rain here later tonight and tomorrow. This drought is getting ridicoulous. Forget about trying to get cold and snow. We need a good soaking. It seems like it only rains once every week or so.

Tell me about it....sigh...a tenth every couple of weeks (if that) is getting on my last nerve. :angry:

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dsaur

dsaur

Posted
Posted

Hopefully we get some much needed rain here later tonight and tomorrow. This drought is getting ridiculous. Forget about trying to get cold and snow. We need a good soaking. It seems like it only rains once every week or so.

I hear you, brother! I keep feeling when the pattern begins to favor south Ga. we all get happy.

That evaporator has been in full force for a long time and I will be so very glad when it's gone :lol:

Tell me about it....sigh...a tenth every couple of weeks (if that) is getting on my last nerve. :angry:

I know. It shocks me to see you getting starved over and over, even if I'm pulling down some drops. I'd love to see some stuff on micro climates that would pertain to what has gone on here, and there. And further down on Metalic's slice of the state, it is even worse, because so many crops have been shafted for years now. Won't be any aquifer left by the time the factory farms suck it out to balance Ma Nature. T

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Gastonwxman

Gastonwxman

Posted
Posted

Thoughts on today's storm potential (amongst other things). Will it happen...?

http://gwxmanblog.bl...g-up-still.html

Currently 48 and cloudy, though I had a light shower come through earlier but that appears to only be the beginning as it stands now for what's to come down the road. The line across AL is now pushing into GA with very heavy rain still pouring over much of central TN. Only one in particular heading north just west of Marietta, GA looks a bit nasty. These storms are hustling quite a bit (speed ranges from 45-60 mph).

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MotoWeatherman

MotoWeatherman

Posted
Posted

It's been cloudy and has rained everyday since Sunday IMBY

                                    HEAT  COOL        AVG
   MEAN                              DEG   DEG         WIND                 DOM
DAY TEMP  HIGH   TIME   LOW    TIME   DAYS  DAYS  RAIN  SPEED HIGH   TIME    DIR
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1  47.1  63.4   4:10p  32.4   4:10a  17.9   0.0  0.01   5.1  29.0   4:10p   WNW
2  34.5  43.9   4:30p  23.4  12:00m  28.4   0.0  0.00  12.7  38.0  11:40p   WNW
3  23.9  31.5   3:20p  17.7   8:00a  41.1   0.0  0.00   7.5  29.0   1:20a   WNW
4  31.1  48.4   2:10p  13.9   7:30a  33.9   0.0  0.00   2.1  18.0   1:30p     W
5  44.5  59.1   2:50p  32.5   3:30a  20.5   0.0  0.00   3.7  23.0   4:50a   WNW
6  43.9  65.5   1:00p  27.9   7:00a  21.1   0.0  0.00   1.1  16.0   1:00p     W
7  50.0  58.4   4:20p  38.8  12:10a  15.0   0.0  0.21   1.0  12.0   5:20p     W
8  51.3  54.7   4:00p  46.9   3:40a  13.7   0.0  0.68   0.1   6.0   4:20a   SSE
9  54.8  59.9   2:00p  52.4   4:40a  10.2   0.0  0.19   0.6  11.0   2:00p     W
10  54.7  59.8   2:50p  50.0   8:10a  10.3   0.0  0.29   0.8  11.0   7:20p    SE
11  54.5  55.4   3:00a  53.8   6:30a   3.8   0.0  0.64   6.2  21.0   6:20a    SE

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dsaur

dsaur

Posted
Posted

Well, if the old saw is true about the thunder, then I'll be seeing 10 feet in a week. It went off over head for a long, long time a few hours back. More thunder than I've heard that close since the big lightening strike last year, and that was one clap. This was rolling over head forever, shaking the house, waking the deaf. T

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NEGa

NEGa

Posted
Posted

woke up to a thunderstorm and it was so dark i thought i had set my alarm clock too early lol. the fog was horrendous and it has been pouring on and off this morning. not sure what mby total is, but it was over 1" when i left, and locations nearby are about 1.5 or more now.

too bad it wasnt a lot colder :devilsmiley:

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dsaur

dsaur

Posted
Posted

Ended up with .7 from over night. I'd have to say goofy has verified for my backyard. And inch and a quarter so far since Sun. I am now feeling bold and audacious, so I'm going to predict I'll see sticking sleet/snow/zr before Feb. 23 of this very year!! Count it, bank it..it's a 3 pointer from half court :) T

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