lilj4425 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Whoever at GSP NOAA issued only a 20% chance of rain for my area today probably should have drank more coffee this morning. 20% is now a 100% chance because it's pouring outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillT Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 pretty sure when they say 20% chance of precip. that means that 20% of their coverage area is expected to see precip .....NOT that there is a 20% chance of EVERY place in that area getting precip.and 80% that NOBODY will see any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 Edit: One more thing: Does AVN refer to the GFS, as you mentioned in your post, or is it some other model that I'm not familiar with? AVN/MRF=current GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 AVN/MRF=current GFS Thanks for the response. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEGa Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 its pouring here too and the winds have picked up a lot just in the last hour. temp is 48 sigh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I expect a damn blizzard in ten days. Do not know if their is a saying about having a tornado in the winter Of course there is. After all it is the south. If a tornado hits your house in winter, 10 days later you will still be waiting on the damn insurance adjuster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthernNJ Posted January 12, 2012 Share Posted January 12, 2012 I guess it was not above the ground the whole time. From review, the strongest of the g2g circulation was between 607 to 613 PM EST, almost right as it crossed I-40 somewhere between Icard and Hildebran...or about 5 to 7 miles west of the city center of Hickory. I know you cannot guess a tornado EF rating by radar, but based upon the damage reports and rotation strength, this may have been bigger than just a small spin-up. I hope everyone comes out of this ok. A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SURVEY TEAM HAS CONFIRMED THAT THE STORM DAMAGE WHICH OCCURRED IN EASTERN BURKE COUNTY WAS CAUSED BY AN EF-2 TORNADO...WITH 130 MPH WINDS. THE MOST SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED IN THE HILDEBRAN COMMUNITY NEAR INTERSTATE 40. Wow, the radar data I reviewed did not lie. It matches exactly where it should have. I can't believe an entire mobile home park was damaged from this. Just terrible timing for such a storm to be at its strongest. It will take awhile for the people to get back to normal. My prayers are with them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 The winds out here are as strong as they were during the afternoon. 35 mph peak wind gust instead of 27 mph, and to think I just cleaned up the yard of all the weak branches that snapped before this happened. Hit 55 for a high so never reached the 60 that was forecasted. Down to only 52 now but wind chill says it's more like 46. EDIT: Looking over the latest information of the Wind Advisory that was put out, winds could actually peak at 50 mph for the overnight. Incredible stuff and that goes for places outside the mountains. WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY Urgent - Weather Message National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC 918 PM EST Thu Jan 12 2012 ... Very Windy Conditions Tonight... .Very Windy Conditions Have Developed Across The Western Carolinas And Northeast Georgia Behind A Departing Cold Front. The Winds Will Let Up Some Late Tonight... Though Windy Conditions Are Expected To Continue Through Friday Morning. Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell- Davie-Buncombe-Catawba-Rowan-Southern Jackson-Transylvania- Henderson-Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union NC- Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke- Mcdowell Mountains-Eastern Mcdowell-Rutherford Mountains- Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains- Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee- Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York- Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-Greenwood- Including The Cities Of... Clayton... Clarkesville... Toccoa... Hartwell... Elberton... Statesville... Mocksville... Asheville... Hickory... Salisbury... Brevard... Hendersonville... Shelby... Lincolnton... Gastonia... Charlotte... Concord... Monroe... Greenville... Spartanburg... Gaffney... Rock Hill... Anderson... Abbeville... Laurens... Union... Chester... Greenwood 918 PM EST Thu Jan 12 2012 ... Wind Advisory In Effect Until Noon EST Friday... The National Weather Service In Greenville-Spartanburg Has Issued A Wind Advisory... Which Is In Effect Until Noon EST Friday. This Replaces The Lake Wind Advisory Which Had Been In Effect. Locations... The Western Carolinas And Extreme Northeast Georgia. * Hazards... Very Windy Conditions. * Timing... Winds Will Be Strongest Through About 2 AM. The Winds Will Subside A Little Thereafter... Though Windy Conditions Will Continue Through Friday Morning. * Winds... West 20 To 30 Mph. Gusts Up To 50 Mph Tonight. * Impacts... The Strong Wind Gusts... Combined With Wet Ground... Will Result In A Number Of Downed Trees And Scattered Power Outages Overnight. Winds Will Also Pose A Hazard To High Profile Vehicles. Conditions Will Be Unsafe For Boating On Area Lakes Through Friday Morning As Well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 we have some of the strongest winds that I can remember right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 we have some of the strongest winds that I can remember right now Same here, first time ive been worried about trees/big limbs on the house!! Don't have a way to guage speeds but i believe weve had 40-50 mph gusts in the last 20 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 These winds are freaking amazing! Its like 10 times windier than when we had the wind advisory. That last gust must have been between 45-50mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 this is an excellent example of extreme cold advection and cold coming in southwest flow in the lee of the Apps. Seems like thats a pretty good way to get high winds on this side of the Apps, as the 5h system whiplashed up the central Apps tonight, dragging momentum across. I would have preferred to see it in the afternoon but you can sure hear it well enough. Wouldn't be suprised to find some downed trees in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 I want to go to bed but I'm a very light sleeper and it sounds like the ocean outside. That's with a fan running hoping to drown out the noise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Sprinkle's and 47 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Down to 32° and helicopters (little brown things off tree) and cuckleberries flying around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 watching the SCHP real time traffic reports...lots of trees across roads in Anderson county SC http://www.schp.org/schpwebcad/Default.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Crazy snow band set up over north Johnson City tonight, Probably about a wind whipped inch in the last 30 mins with 30-40 mph winds. Looks to have a little left in it, we will see where we end up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Sprinkle's and 47 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 It's really windy outside right now. Pretty cold too. I can see the moon. Bring back 70 and sunny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 The wind out here is really gusting now and temperatures are dropping like a rock. Went from 52 down to 39 in under 2 hours. In fact, winds have gotten so strong that several trash cans are getting pushed and tumbled down the road and numerous small-moderate limbs are either snapping or have broke off. A part of my siding facing the west side has been ripped out (Again. Spring 2011 storms damaged it the first time) and the winds are suppose to get even stronger afterwards...Going to make for an interesting night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Dark outside and 51.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD Addict Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Got about 1.5" of the white stuff over the last couple of hours...continues to come down. 19 degrees w/ winds gusting to 50mph, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Temp up 2 degrees the last few hrs on strong SW wind up to 54 from 52.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Nice 13 degree drop with front passage down from mid 50's to low 40's winds gusting over 40 not to bad... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowpressure Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 28.8 here and crystal clear. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 25° this morning and still windy.....brrrr, this is more like it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 0.02 late last night. It was 52f at 1am, now its 32f. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach B Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Measured .3" last night. Most school systems in middle TN are closed as it was so cold the snow started to melt then quickly froze creating lots of slick spots. Reports range from a dusting to 2" across middle TN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Down to 26 for a low this morning. The winds finally calmed down some around 4 and now it's just an occasional breeze blowing through but it's quite cold out there for this time of day. Only 36 right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AcworthWx Posted January 13, 2012 Share Posted January 13, 2012 Dark outside and 51.2. Light outside and 31.0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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