dryslot Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Euro looks like it trys to deliver a coastal at the end of the run as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Euro looks like it trys to deliver a coastal at the end of the run as well Looks like an ugly setup to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Looks like an ugly setup to me. It's going to take some time to figure out what happens with this cutoff. Typical biases in place: Euro holds onto it too long, and the GFS ejects it all east quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Looks like an ugly setup to me. Monster storm for the GL on the day 10 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 It's going to take some time to figure out what happens with this cutoff. Typical biases in place: Euro holds onto it too long, and the GFS ejects it all east quickly Oh, I agree, whole-heartedly on the typical biases. I'd place my money on some sort of overrunning event, not nearly as phased as the Euro shows. For once it looks as thought the cold will be there to be tapped into. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 If that trough digging into the Plains verified, I'm willing to bet it would be the start of some changes over the North Atlantic and Greenland. Out in la la land. Euro has been a tease this winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Oh, I agree, whole-heartedly on the typical biases. I'd place my money on some sort of overrunning event, not nearly as phased as the Euro shows. For once it looks as thought the cold will be there to be tapped into. Looks interesting for sure. Timing and the amplitude of that trough digging upstream will be important. I kinda like that the GFS is suppressed way south, and the Euro is between good and cutter. The Euro's bias has been pretty strong so far this winter, sooo let's see what happens. Only 18 runs of the Euro and 36 runs of the GFS left to go lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Looks interesting for sure. Timing and the amplitude of that trough digging upstream will be important. I kinda like that the GFS is suppressed way south, and the Euro is between good and cutter. The Euro's bias has been pretty strong so far this winter, sooo let's see what happens. Only 18 runs of the Euro and 36 runs of the GFS left to go lol Lol. The Euro has definitely over-amplified systems in the extended range. And you have the typical GFS bias of losing the southern stream. That's why I think some sort of in between is plausible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Some snow for the January banter thread... 2"+/hr, absolute whiteout, pitch-black-at-mid-day type snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Euro looks like it trys to deliver a coastal at the end of the run as well Yea, the coast of lake erie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Some snow for the January banter thread... 2"+/hr, absolute whiteout, pitch-black-at-mid-day type snow. Nice, Scott--congratulations and enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Nice, Scott--congratulations and enjoy! How'd you make out this morning, Mike? I saw a band of snow showers moving through the Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 weenie flakes and 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 How'd you make out this morning, Mike? I saw a band of snow showers moving through the Berks. Picked up a light dusting early, most of that's melted now. Have had a few flurries throughout the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 I saw some nasty looking virga around 1:00PM near Gardner 34.7F/21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 looks like some pretty nice squalls are about to reach the berkshires Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 41 mostly sunny at the moment, a really nice afternoon, very comfortable and cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 A few flakes here... they seemed scared Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Looks like an ugly setup to me. Does not matter being 10 days out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Yea, the coast of lake erie. like i said its 10 day out who cares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Yea, the coast of lake erie. Yeah, and the GFS squashes it over Miami... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 192hr DGEX takes it well southeast of the benchmark ... just an fyi haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Canadian would be suppressed too. Actually has a decent storm prior ... around d6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Canadian would be suppressed too. Actually has a decent storm prior ... around d6 IMO, that's the GGEM overplaying the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 IMO, that's the GGEM overplaying the northern stream. For the day 6 storm? Definitely agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 18z NAM brings through the n'ern stream impulse for THU AM with sct'd snow showers throughout new england...i think this is also associated with the feature phil was talking about that the euro had a few days ago (strengthening a weak coastal storm, but too far offshore for the thu-fri timeframe) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 It looks like that Upslope was seeded from Georgian Bay and Ontario.... Some snow for the January banter thread... 2"+/hr, absolute whiteout, pitch-black-at-mid-day type snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 For the day 6 storm? Definitely agree yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 most snow since october coming in 30 min.. dark to the west and radar looks good for a snow shower! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boston-winter08 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 18z GFS looks iffy for Sunday, but certainly north of the 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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