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January 2012 - Obs/Disco/Banter


HoarfrostHubb

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MOS usually busts in NW flow cold outbreaks...esp with some snow pack laid down in the source regions and its path.

We're gonna have to watch out for some light icing on Tuesday morning possibly.

Started a very exciting thread on the 1" to ice possibilities

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/31910-january-1617-light-icing-and-mix/

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Only 11 Degrees in MHT! I know its been a mild winter bu Today sure looks like the middle of wnter with finally a snowpack and a very cold day!hoping to build snow pack this week! little on tuesday and friday and hopefuly in a bigger way by this time next weekend before we torch!

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Never made it out of the single digits here this afternoon with a high of 8° F. NWS P&C from yesterday had me at 15° F, so we fell way short of that. P&C has me at -1° F tonight, but I think we'll go quite a bit lower due to clear skies, calm winds and fresh snow cover. I'm going with -8° F for my location. Many areas will get to -10° F or less (Pete?) tonight.

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8/2 here now....

Never made it out of the single digits here this afternoon with a high of 8° F. NWS P&C from yesterday had me at 15° F, so we fell way short of that. P&C has me at -1° F tonight, but I think we'll go quite a bit lower due to clear skies, calm winds and fresh snow cover. I'm going with -8° F for my location. Many areas will get to -10° F or less (Pete?) tonight.

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Never made it out of the single digits here this afternoon with a high of 8° F. NWS P&C from yesterday had me at 15° F, so we fell way short of that. P&C has me at -1° F tonight, but I think we'll go quite a bit lower due to clear skies, calm winds and fresh snow cover. I'm going with -8° F for my location. Many areas will get to -10° F or less (Pete?) tonight.

8/2 here now....

6/-8, Perfect night for a freefall. Mitch, kudos on some great forecasting both with the upslope event and tonights cold. Very nice to have a local pro.

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I went down to Saugerties to have breakfast with some friends today. You lose the snow cover just below Cairo in Greene County. They had an inch of slush around Saugerties, but all that remains are a few puny piles. Snow cover really makes a difference ...their low was 7 and it was 20 when I left there around 2 PM.

6/-8, Perfect night for a freefall. Mitch, kudos on some great forecasting both with the upslope event and tonights cold. Very nice to have a local pro.

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6/-8, Perfect night for a freefall. Mitch, kudos on some great forecasting both with the upslope event and tonights cold. Very nice to have a local pro.

Yes it will be, especially for areas that can decouple from that NW wind early. As the high moves over us, I expect pretty much everyone to decouple after midnight, which should set the stage for a very cold night, perhaps the coldest of the '11-'12 winter season. We should make a nice recovery tomorrow as the return flow from the S kicks in.

Although the upslope signal was there for Friday, it exceeded my expectations big time as I was expecting a typical 1-3" perhaps 2-4" type event. It wasn't really a textbook upslope event early on as the atmosphere was extremely unstable and the squalls were being aided by other factors such as wind convergence (see my posts in the FROPA thread). Regardless, the extra lift caused by the upslope flow like aided the formation of those squalls, but it wasn't the sole factor. Later on as things stabilized a bit, it was more of a classic upslope situation in the sense that the precipitation was more stratiform and steady. Wild event.

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Yes it will be, especially for areas that can decouple from that NW wind early. As the high moves over us, I expect pretty much everyone to decouple after midnight, which should set the stage for a very cold night, perhaps the coldest of the '11-'12 winter season. We should make a nice recovery tomorrow as the return flow from the S kicks in.

Although the upslope signal was there for Friday, it exceeded my expectations big time as I was expecting a typical 1-3" perhaps 2-4" type event. It wasn't really a textbook upslope event early on as the atmosphere was extremely unstable and the squalls were being aided by other factors such as wind convergence (see my posts in the FROPA thread). Regardless, the extra lift caused by the upslope flow like aided the formation of those squalls, but it wasn't the sole factor. Later on as things stabilized a bit, it was more of a classic upslope situation in the sense that the precipitation was more stratiform and steady. Wild event.

5/-6, Well, you said it looked like a very favorable set-up and you were right. Hoping for more good fortune.

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Yes it will be, especially for areas that can decouple from that NW wind early. As the high moves over us, I expect pretty much everyone to decouple after midnight, which should set the stage for a very cold night, perhaps the coldest of the '11-'12 winter season. We should make a nice recovery tomorrow as the return flow from the S kicks in.

Although the upslope signal was there for Friday, it exceeded my expectations big time as I was expecting a typical 1-3" perhaps 2-4" type event. It wasn't really a textbook upslope event early on as the atmosphere was extremely unstable and the squalls were being aided by other factors such as wind convergence (see my posts in the FROPA thread). Regardless, the extra lift caused by the upslope flow like aided the formation of those squalls, but it wasn't the sole factor. Later on as things stabilized a bit, it was more of a classic upslope situation in the sense that the precipitation was more stratiform and steady. Wild event.

You have another chance upcoming.

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