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January 2012 - Obs/Disco/Banter


HoarfrostHubb

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Rather than polluting the impending heavy heavy snowstorm thread with this again, I'll post it here. Had a request to slow the animation. If I get some free time I'll do more detailing ... this was just a 20 minute quickie.

10x better in slo-mo hahaha omg so good.

Related to the current weather though - From the other thread, I think messenger asked if the HRRR or RUC showed anything for the AM and they both show a possible brief shot of some decent snows (by decent I mean more than just flurries ie SN-) tomorrow morning down in his area with an inverted trough looking feature, and a few flakes elsewhere in the region. Not much if any accumulation though, but would be nice to see flakes around!

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Rather than polluting the impending heavy heavy snowstorm thread with this again, I'll post it here. Had a request to slow the animation. If I get some free time I'll do more detailing ... this was just a 20 minute quickie.

Even without the fine-tuning, a very, very good one, Eric!

We got a good dusting of snow here....not measurable but close. Not quite enough to be 0.1"...but everything is coated including roadways.

About 0.4" here. Nice to see everything white.

Awesome--congratulations. At the same time, isn't it crazy how that is "congrats-worthy" on January 10? Oy.

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Good luck with that, this major cold shot for after this weekend and next week is dissapearing pretty quickly lol. Have a look at the 12z ens.........ouch.

Good luck with that to you too. Basing a long range forecast on one model and one run is pretty risky.

Still lots of time ahead for lots of things that we don't even know about to occur.

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Good luck with that to you too. Basing a long range forecast on one model and one run is pretty risky.

Still lots of time ahead for lots of things that we don't even know about to occur.

We all have our opinions, but I would certianly not bet against warming trends they have won all year, even last week with the coldest shot of the season we had major positive departures at the end of week 1.

The numbers dont lie.

and........the euro looks like it may roast later next week im very comfie with my guesscast.

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Another day, and yet another torch

I wouldn't call today a torch. Maybe +5-ish departures. Sadly that's cool enough to lower the monthly numbers. We know what +18 days feel like seeing as we all had one this weekend. A -18 day would be around 20/0 at this point as we approach winter's coldest days by average. The fact that a forecast of highs around 30 to low-30s on the coastal plain is considered a cold shot, says it all for this winter. Let's see us string together a few days of 20-25 highs and widespread below or single digits for lows. Now that's a bonafide cold air mass that would compete with the likes of the torch air masses we've been in most of the season.

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I wouldn't call today a torch. Maybe +5-ish departures. Sadly that's cool enough to lower the monthly numbers. We know what +18 days feel like seeing as we all had one this weekend. A -18 day would be around 20/0 at this point as we approach winter's coldest days by average. The fact that a forecast of highs around 30 to low-30s on the coastal plain is considered a cold shot, says it all for this winter. Let's see us string together a few days of 20-25 highs and widespread below or single digits for lows. Now that's a bonafide cold air mass that would compete with the likes of the torch air masses we've been in most of the season.

At ORH at least it will be more then +5. With a low of 25, and a high of either 41 or 42, that's more like +10 as I believe the average is something like 16/34 maybe?

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