OSUmetstud Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 BUF obviously doesn't completely agree with the WRF because there's no advisory for Northern Erie. Can't say I disagree with them though...the higher probability is forecast is to go with lower amounts in northern Erie. If we get lucky and get the Georgian Bay connection it could be pretty nice for BUF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Awesome Pics!! I didn't go. I was expecting 2+ feet down there. Didn't want to chase for 8-10 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Awesome Pics!! I didn't go. I was expecting 2+ feet down there. Didn't want to chase for 8-10 inches. Thanks - based on the snow that was falling when I left, I'm sure most places in Catt/Chaut counties will have no problem topping 2 feet by the end of this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Through the on-and-off squalls we've had today we've picked up another 3.5" of snow. Snow depth is 12" (no compacting yet, surprisingly). Hopefully we can get more tonight, but radar hasn't looked nice in awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 the metro is cursed,and the nws is not even optimistic on wednesday's LES.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 I go to sauble beach every year in summer to camp for 10 days. According to the weather network up there, they average 167 inches per year of snow. I have a hard time believing they receive that much though, looks like mistype....Here is great website! http://www.currentre...ual-average.php I think those snow totals are quite realistic. Sauble is right on L. Huron, and they can get squalls from every wind direction except the east. Our snow totals here in London pale beside what they get north of us.................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 switch to 720p or 1080p for HD but you have to have a super fast connection to watch it in 1080 without it skipping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 I think those snow totals are quite realistic. Sauble is right on L. Huron, and they can get squalls from every wind direction except the east. Our snow totals here in London pale beside what they get north of us.................. All this snow will be gone by Saturday anyways. I'd rather have it stick around for a little bit at least... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 Awesome Pics BuffaloBumble!!! Thanks for sharing. Sure makes my videos up here in Cheektowaga look measly. And I agree with you they should have no problem at all seeing 2 feet or more down there because once that arctic front goes by the ratios will sky rocket. Bet someone will see 5"/hr rates even though it may not last long. And Ayuud this winter is offically your fault. since you started posting about how your area cant get any snow it seems youve cursed the entire metro area. Things better change tonight or else...! lol jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 Well...the forecasted lake Ontario band is reorienting south about as shown on nwp ....however intensity is putrid...flurries here. The sense of #FAIL is palpable... The story of the 2011-2012 winter season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 Through the on-and-off squalls we've had today we've picked up another 3.5" of snow. Snow depth is 12" (no compacting yet, surprisingly). Hopefully we can get more tonight, but radar hasn't looked nice in awhile. Congrats man. Snap some pics! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Awesome Pics BuffaloBumble!!! Thanks for sharing. Sure makes my videos up here in Cheektowaga look measly. And I agree with you they should have no problem at all seeing 2 feet or more down there because once that arctic front goes by the ratios will sky rocket. Bet someone will see 5"/hr rates even though it may not last long. And Ayuud this winter is offically your fault. since you started posting about how your area cant get any snow it seems youve cursed the entire metro area. Things better change tonight or else...! lol jk Thanks - I started a "WNY Lake Effect" event topic in the photo forum and posted some more pics there. Hopefully others in WNY/CNY getting in on the action will post some pics there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Awesome Pics BuffaloBumble!!! Thanks for sharing. Sure makes my videos up here in Cheektowaga look measly. And I agree with you they should have no problem at all seeing 2 feet or more down there because once that arctic front goes by the ratios will sky rocket. Bet someone will see 5"/hr rates even though it may not last long. And Ayuud this winter is offically your fault. since you started posting about how your area cant get any snow it seems youve cursed the entire metro area. Things better change tonight or else...! lol jk i curse bad luck everywhere i go srsly lmao.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 i curse bad luck everywhere i go srsly lmao.. Move to the southerntier so all the snow can come up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 Thanks - I started a "WNY Lake Effect" event topic in the photo forum and posted some more pics there. Hopefully others in WNY/CNY getting in on the action will post some pics there. Nice ill def post some pics and vids if i get in on any action tonight and tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Yeah looks like crap.. Shifting south, but very weak...inland penetration is meager now. Maybe they will have just enough to get some to Herkimer. ALY did put them in a LES Warning. Well...the forecasted lake Ontario band is reorienting south about as shown on nwp ....however intensity is putrid...flurries here. The sense of #FAIL is palpable... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard92 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Radar for the LES event is pretty crappy to say the least right now. Little to no organized banding across Pennsylvania and unorganized activity also across New York state. We will have to see what happens as the flow shifts to the northwest, but high resolution guidance including the HRRR is not enthused at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 I spent some time volunteering on a farm near Owen Sound in January 2005 through WWOOF Canada, beautiful area and incredibly snowy. The Bruce Peninsula definitely has some interesting snowfall climatology especially with the Niagara Escarpment cutting through the area and allowing for changes in snowfall amounts with elevation. Great place all in all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Lake Ontario is currently re-establishing a W-E oriented double band right now...., and it actually looks fairly healthy. However, there appears to finally be a distinct wind shift showing up on the King City radar, with a strong orientation of bands in the direction of NNW to SSE and discrete precip cells moving SSE. http://www.weatherof...x_e.html?id=WKR What this means is that some locations North of 'cuse will score a quick 2-4" before the entire band moves laterally south and crashes the south shore of the lake. After that, we'll finally establish a true multi-band NW wind setup with very high ratio snow but many other possible issues to contend with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 And from the current king city radar, i would peg the true surface arctic front to be directly down the axis of Ontario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Love this radar. It clearly shows the wind shift across the entire great lakes. Look at that band of Lake Michigan! And the other across Georgian Bay! Its cutting right across Ontario picking up more moisture. Looks like Niagara Frontier could possibly get in on the NW/NNW orientation with the strong winds off of the Bay. Cross your fingers Devin! http://www.wivb.com/...adar#25955299-4 Make sure to click the Northeast viewing area as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 Love this radar. It clearly shows the wind shift across the entire great lakes. Look at that band of Lake Michigan! And the other across Georgian Bay! Its cutting right across Ontario picking up more moisture. Looks like Niagara Frontier could possibly get in on the NW/NNW orientation with the strong winds off of the Bay. Cross your fingers Devin! http://www.wivb.com/...adar#25955299-4 Make sure to click the Northeast viewing area as well... Fingers, toes, legs, arms, eyes and everything else that can possibly be crossed will be. Im beyond desperate for snow. Its so sad im saying this but 3" would make me ecstatic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 KALB CURRENT FORECAST IN DECENT AGREEMENT WITH CURRENT OBSERVATIONS ANDTRENDS THROUGH TONIGHT. SNOW BANDS NOT VERY ORGANIZED NOW...BUT ONCE THE FRONT TRACKS THROUGH...BANDS SHOULD GET MORE ORGANIZED. TIMING OF THE WIND SHIFT AND THE FALLING TEMPERATURES SEEMS ON TARGET...AND WILL WAIT FOR 00Z DATA FOR ANOTHER GRID ADJUSTMENT LATER THIS EVENING. SO FEW CHANGES AT THIS TIME IF ANY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Pretty much as advertised here...at least as far as no. 'cues area...we've picked up close to 2" w/ band that has formed...expecting it to broom south soon...we'll see from here. Snowing quite nicely down here in Bayberry (L'pool). Geo. Bay connection is in place, which can wreak havoc with forecasting positioning wrt modeling (they don't do great with placements of "megabands"). This arctic air coming in after the "sweep" is quite moist and is arriving at a time when the lakes are as warm as they can be for such a cold airmass (ie delta's will be spectacular.) Should be a nice pouring of flakes for many...not super intense, but a spread the love type scenario tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNYWeather Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Just a dusting here south of Rome. Waiting patiently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Fingers, toes, legs, arms, eyes and everything else that can possibly be crossed will be. Im beyond desperate for snow. Its so sad im saying this but 3" would make me ecstatic. that radar is great, I hope that the band continues into the rochester area. looks maybe like it's gonna set up west of us. where the advisory is? LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 Snowing at my palce in north Toronto. Temperature really dropping too. Down to 20F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 3, 2012 Author Share Posted January 3, 2012 Whiteout in cheektowaga. Easy half inch of snow so far from this and its still coming down. At least 1" total on the grass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 3, 2012 Author Share Posted January 3, 2012 snow has died down but the grass is the most covered its been since the december 9th-10th event. Just about completly covered =] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 3, 2012 Share Posted January 3, 2012 snow has died down but the grass is the most covered its been since the december 9th-10th event. Just about completly covered =] At this rate, BUF might surpass 5 inches for the season by midnight. One tenth of an inch at a time this year... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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