ayuud Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 God I hope that verifys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Well, somehow "less than one inch" turned into 8.5" last night. No complaints here! My southern Chautauqua County band worked out last night. Another 1 to 2 feet in the forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Well, somehow "less than one inch" turned into 8.5" last night. No complaints here! My southern Chautauqua County band worked out last night. Another 1 to 2 feet in the forecast and it seems my little band is reforming. Lol nice i like your profile pic a minecraft pig good choice my good sir Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Lol nice i like your profile pic a minecraft pig good choice my good sir Haha thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Well, somehow "less than one inch" turned into 8.5" last night. No complaints here! My southern Chautauqua County band worked out last night. Another 1 to 2 feet in the forecast. i'd say about 2" in fredonia,btw the lake erie band looks weak on the radar.. http://141.238.49.9/axis-cgi/mjpg/video.cgi?resolution=CIF&dummy=1325513770509 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 i'd say about 2" in fredonia,btw the lake erie band looks weak on the radar.. http://141.238.49.9/...y=1325513770509 I only saw a few radar images from last night, but a few miles away and up the hill in Cassadaga they probably did much better. PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT SPOTTER REPORTS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 915 AM EST MON JAN 02 2012 ***********************6 HOUR SNOWFALL*********************** LOCATION 6 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT NEW YORK ...WYOMING COUNTY... WARSAW 4.0 712 AM 1/02 CO-OP OBSERVER **********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL********************** LOCATION 24 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS SNOWFALL OF /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT NEW YORK ...ALLEGANY COUNTY... 5 SW WEST ALMOND 1.1 700 AM 1/02 COCORAHS ...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY... SE WEST VALLEY 7.0 600 AM 1/02 COCORAHS ...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY... 2 E JAMESTOWN 8.6 600 AM 1/02 COCORAHS ENE SHERMAN 8.3 600 AM 1/02 COCORAHS ...ERIE COUNTY... 2 SE GLENWOOD 3.5 700 AM 1/02 COCORAHS 2 S WALES 1.0 600 AM 1/02 CO-OP OBSERVER 2 NE BOSTON 1.0 600 AM 1/02 COCORAHS 2 SE WEST SENECA 0.5 600 AM 1/02 COCORAHS ESE KENMORE 0.3 630 AM 1/02 COCORAHS 1 N CLARENCE CENTER 0.2 600 AM 1/02 COCORAHS 2 SSW BLASDELL 0.1 620 AM 1/02 COCORAHS WSW HAMBURG 0.1 600 AM 1/02 COCORAHS ...GENESEE COUNTY... 2 NE STAFFORD 0.9 600 AM 1/02 COCORAHS ...LEWIS COUNTY... HIGHMARKET 0.3 450 AM 1/02 CO-OP OBSERVER ...LIVINGSTON COUNTY... 4 WSW DANSVILLE 2.0 500 AM 1/02 COCORAHS 1 ENE DANSVILLE 1.3 645 AM 1/02 COCORAHS AVON 0.9 625 AM 1/02 CO-OP OBSERVER ...MONROE COUNTY... 3 NNW ROCHESTER 1.0 600 AM 1/02 COCORAHS 2 NE WEBSTER T 700 PM 1/01 CO-OP OBSERVER ...ONTARIO COUNTY... 3 W GENEVA 0.1 700 AM 1/02 CO-OP OBSERVER ...WYOMING COUNTY... 6 SW WARSAW 5.0 600 AM 1/02 CO-OP OBSERVER PERRY T 900 PM 1/01 CO-OP OBSERVER The I-86 corridor looks to be the winner last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormtracker81 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Nice west to east squall coming off G bay headed towards Toronto is it marking the start of th NW flow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 i'd say about 2" in fredonia,btw the Lakewood erie band looks weak on the radar.. http://141.238.49.9/axis-cgi/mjpg/video.cgi?resolution=CIF&dummy=1325513770509 what we gotta remember is snow isn't as reflective as rain on radar and the beam from the radar is nearly 5000 ft off the ground by the time it reaches southern chat and Catt counties so it could be overshooting some of the snow. Just my thoughts. BTW holiday valley picked up 6"+ and they're getting hit pretty good right now too. Sure hope they get a few more feet. After this winter a 3 foot storm total and conditions for them to make snow would leave them with a good 30-60" base for when the weather does warm up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Nice west to east squall coming off G bay headed towards Toronto is it marking the start of th NW flow? FYI - not sure what radar you're using, but this is one of the better local radars I use to track snow in S. Ontario. Should be helpful over the next couple days to track what's headed our way upstream from G Bay: http://www.wivb.com/subindex/weather/radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 Well, somehow "less than one inch" turned into 8.5" last night. No complaints here! My southern Chautauqua County band worked out last night. Another 1 to 2 feet in the forecast. Congrats man! Send some pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 that better verify as I'm tired of looking at my grass outside. Its time for it to get buried and stay buried till April. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
schinz Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Currently whiteout conditions at Peek N peak, Findley Lake, NY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYLakeEffect Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 what we gotta remember is snow isn't as reflective as rain on radar and the beam from the radar is nearly 5000 ft off the ground by the time it reaches southern chat and Catt counties so it could be overshooting some of the snow. Just my thoughts. This is often true. Sometimes we can have +SN on <10 dBZ returns. Kind of wish they put a radar site in Erie Few webcams near where I live: http://www.eastlakewoodweather.com/camera50.html (This one is poor quality) http://www.eastlakewoodweather.com/camera51.html (Facing southeast) http://www.eastlakewoodweather.com/camera52.html (Facing west toward the Chautauqua Mall) I somewhat doubt I'll see anything more until tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 This is often true. Sometimes we can have +SN on <10 dBZ returns. Kind of wish they put a radar site in Erie Few webcams near where I live: http://www.eastlakewoodweather.com/camera50.html (This one is poor quality) http://www.eastlakewoodweather.com/camera51.html (Facing southeast) http://www.eastlakewoodweather.com/camera52.html (Facing west toward the Chautauqua Mall) I somewhat doubt I'll see anything more until tonight. I've thought that so many times! They need a radar in Erie and a radar in Rochester. Thanks for the links as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormtracker81 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 FYI - not sure what radar you're using, but this is one of the better local radars I use to track snow in S. Ontario. Should be helpful over the next couple days to track what's headed our way upstream from G Bay: http://www.wivb.com/subindex/weather/radar Using mycast radar app on my phone showing it ripping towards ROC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 The are clouds from your lake effect machine reaching here hope I can get in with some of you action tonight maybe a stay snow squall or a couple of showers can make it down here if the setup is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 Hoping Huron/Gerogian Bay/Ontario can rip me a few hours of heavy snow with maybe 3 or 4" ... Arcade near the Wyoming/Erie/Catt County tri border reporting 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 Snow absolutley ripping at Holiday Valley right now in Ellicottville. (Time Sensitive) http://www.holidayvalley.com/HolidayValley/mtn-cams.aspx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SVT450R Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Web cam shot near Salmon river resiervor NY i will keep posting as the event goes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 BUF's WRF looks pretty decent tonight for BUF...kinda interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 BUF's WRF looks pretty decent tonight for BUF...kinda interesting one thing i noticed with this upstream bands is that they usually intensify a bit when they move through grand island.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 one thing i noticed with this upstream bands is that they usually intensify a bit when they move through grand island.. that's like 6-8" for the city and the northtowns of arctic fluff verbatim lol The Georgian Bay connection sets up perfectly on that run to nail that area. I was probably foolhardy yesterday in saying less than 1" for BUF metro for the entire event...I should have just said through Monday afternoon. I feel pretty comfortable forecasting 1-3" for BUF metro tonight with the possibility for more if bands set-up favorably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 that's like 6-8" for the city and the northtowns of arctic fluff verbatim lol The Georgian Bay connection sets up perfectly on that run to nail that area. I was probably foolhardy yesterday in saying less than 1" for BUF metro for the entire event...I should have just said through Monday afternoon. I feel pretty comfortable forecasting 1-3" for BUF metro tonight with the possibility for more if bands set-up favorably. last year they received almost a foot out of that one Georgia bay band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 2, 2012 Author Share Posted January 2, 2012 last year they received almost a foot out of that one Georgia bay band. yeah I think that was like a week or so after the December 1-3rd event. I think I landed up with like 8 or 9 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 looks like tug hill east to old forge and speculator are getting nice LES right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Thanks for the contribution from across the pond. I have a friend who lives in some higher ground in northern Lincs..below Hull. He occasionally gets squalls of snow off the North Sea on a cold easterly flow such as when the -NAO results in a Scandinavian High bridging across. I suppose it's a similar case of cold air traversing the warmer waters. Tough to get that set-up there, but fun when it happens I'm sure. Got relatives in Roscommon, Ireland and they told me that they had snow on the ground for several weeks last winter and the prior one. That was an anomalous pattern and this year normal damp Irish chill I think. I'd just like to say I am commenting from Durham in the United Kingdom and cannot believe how interesting your climate is! We have been getting temperatures in the mid-50's for the last week also but today it's now 34F and cooled down to the average. I'm also amazed at how much snow you guys get, and expect. We have got just 1" so far this season after getting 16" lying last winter and 13" lying in 09/10. However you do have a still unfrozen lake erie (to my knowledge) and very cold air, approaching -25c 850's at times. At 7am EST, 850mb temps are projected to be around -8c to -10c for much of upstate ny and pennsylvania. The 850mb wind dir steering them showers/squalls should be NW/WNW at the time. By 4pm EST we have -14c to -16c 850's over the lakes, with -10c 850's widespread over upstate ny and pennsylvania. The coldest 850mb temps are set to be tomorrow evening for you guys, between 1-4pm EST the euro model projects -22c uppers across upstate ny with pockets of -24c uppers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 I've always wondered how much the areas east and southeast of Georgian Bay and Huron averaged per year...got to be like 200"? maybe more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 All the action is well north so far...but the BTV WRF does show the banding (25 dbz) getting down to this area after 7 PM tonight. What's left of it would be in my vicinity (and more so around Herkimer, etc.) until the early morning hours then ...before the NW to NNW flow shifts it all well south. looks like tug hill east to old forge and speculator are getting nice LES right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Muskoka ..north of Lake Simcoe must get a lot. Nice area I have heard and probably lots of great x country skiing. I was gonna go camping up there there with the cousins from Allegany County like 20 years ago, but it fell through and I never have got to that area. I've always wondered how much the areas east and southeast of Georgian Bay and Huron averaged per year...got to be like 200"? maybe more? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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