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1/1-1/4 Lake Effect Snow Outbreak


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Updated kalb snowfall map, gives me 5" by 1 am tues with more to come..This looks to good to be true for the WMV lol In 4 yrs of living here i think we have had two 6" lake effect events here in southern herkimer county..

Hope it works out for you man. If I were you I'd take a trip up to the tug. Your only 75 miles away!!!
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Ha thats a bit personal man. Don't go blowing your savings on a trip here. Buy a car down the road and then drive up here yourself. Don't take the 90 though. Take 86 through the southerntier. Much more senic.

When I get my license in June I'm planning a trip for November where should I go to see the best snows, and I'll make sure to visit all of you guys and I'm not a pedobear.

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When I get my license in June I'm planning a trip for November where should I go to see the best snows, and I'll make sure to visit all of you guys and I'm not a pedobear.

You should come in Dec or Jan. Don't get me wrong we can get some killer LES events here in Nov but the biggest, most intense, longest lasting events that i would place my money on fall in Dec and Jan. Plan it for Redfield or Barnes Corners on the Tug or to Ellicottville, Sherman, or Mayville in WNY. Perrysburg and South Dayton are awesome LES magnets out in WNY as well but there's hardly anything there besidse a few dozen houses and a cheap convenient store.
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You should come in Dec or Jan. Don't get me wrong we can get some killer LES events here in Nov but the biggest, most intense, longest lasting events that i would place my money on fall in Dec and Jan. Plan it for Redfield or Barnes Corners on the Tug or to Ellicottville, Sherman, or Mayville in WNY. Perrysburg and South Dayton are awesome LES magnets out in WNY as well but there's hardly anything there besidse a few dozen houses and a cheap convenient store.

Ok I'll look into it but alas I'm going to the napper as it is 132 and I woke up at 530 this morning so I think I might die otherwise I'll see you tmrw and btw the nws has me in for flurries and snowshowers mon and tue goodnight and to all a good snow

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If you do that well it's because you are just far enough west to benefit from the NW flow multi band stuff that eventually sets up. Further east you can see the flow is insufficient for the rest of the Mohawk Valley corridor.

We'll get a sweep through of the old Tug Hill/Adks band as it heads south, and maybe a quick inch here, but that's about the extent of it.

Updated kalb snowfall map, gives me 5" by 1 am tues with more to come..This looks to good to be true for the WMV lol In 4 yrs of living here i think we have had two 6" lake effect events here in southern herkimer county..

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Ok I'll look into it but alas I'm going to the napper as it is 132 and I woke up at 530 this morning so I think I might die otherwise I'll see you tmrw and btw the nws has me in for flurries and snowshowers mon and tue goodnight and to all a good snow

Don't be a baby! Haha jk. Goodnight hopefully you'll wake up tomorrow to a full fledged flurry blizzard.,
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We'll wake up in the morning to find one stray snow shower over Ellicotville and one over C from P's house where he can complain how the snow is gonna add to his flooding concerns later this week when the weather warms up. lol goodnight.

haha,night man.

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We'll wake up in the morning to find one stray snow shower over Ellicotville and one over C from P's house where he can complain how the snow is gonna add to his flooding concerns later this week when the weather warms up. lol goodnight.

You two have some kinda bromance going on. Based on the love of a snow child. LOL.

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Lol the radar out of Binghamton shows what looks to be a squall line made of snow

Yeah it's headed this way and I'm at 34 so probably fall as snow if it doesn't fall apart en route...

Yeah, it came thru Broome County about an hour ago. It was a graupel whiteout. Dropped a quick 1/4 to 1/2" but seems to have mostly melted off already, at least on the pavement.

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the upper low seems to have dominated the wind direction. it seems the flow is never gonna go 235 enough to affect buffalo. i live in rochester so i'm interested to see how this secondary Ohio valley low influences our wx. could we have nw wind as early as monday am? i need 290 for good LES in northern monroe county.

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the upper low seems to have dominated the wind direction. it seems the flow is never gonna go 235 enough to affect buffalo. i live in rochester so i'm interested to see how this secondary Ohio valley low influences our wx. could we have nw wind as early as monday am? i need 290 for good LES in northern monroe county.

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It just blew through here with maybe 1/4 inch of snow.... 33F. That wouldn't have been worth staying up for, but I'm up so what the heck..... Hey I have more snow on the ground than downtown BUF I guess.

Yeah, it came thru Broome County about an hour ago. It was a graupel whiteout. Dropped a quick 1/4 to 1/2" but seems to have mostly melted off already, at least on the pavement.

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.LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO

6 PM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A LAKE

EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING

TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN

EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...ONONDAGA...MADISON...AND SOUTHERN ONEIDA COUNTIES.

* HAZARDS...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND

DRIFTING SNOW AND LOW VISIBILITIES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...7 TO 12 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING RAPIDLY TO NEAR 10 TONIGHT...AND STAYING

AROUND 10 TO 15 ON TUESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED HAZARDOUS ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY. WIND

CHILLS ZERO TO 10 BELOW BY TUESDAY MORNING.

.LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO

6 PM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BINGHAMTON HAS ISSUED A LAKE

EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING

TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...YATES...SENECA...SOUTHERN CAYUGA...SCHUYLER...

TOMPKINS...OTSEGO...TIOGA...BROOME...AND DELAWARE COUNTIES.

* HAZARDS...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING

AND DRIFTING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 7 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

* TEMPERATURES...RAPIDLY FALLING THROUGH THE 20S THIS

EVENING...INTO THE LOWER TO MID TEENS BY DAWN TUESDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED HAZARDOUS ROADS AND POOR VISIBILITY.

ALSO...WIND CHILLS DROPPING TO ZERO TO 10 BELOW BY TUESDAY MORNING.

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I'd just like to say I am commenting from Durham in the United Kingdom and cannot believe how interesting your climate is! We have been getting temperatures in the mid-50's for the last week also but today it's now 34F and cooled down to the average.

I'm also amazed at how much snow you guys get, and expect. We have got just 1" so far this season after getting 16" lying last winter and 13" lying in 09/10.

However you do have a still unfrozen lake erie (to my knowledge) and very cold air, approaching -25c 850's at times. At 7am EST, 850mb temps are projected to be around -8c to -10c for much of upstate ny and pennsylvania. The 850mb wind dir steering them showers/squalls should be NW/WNW at the time. By 4pm EST we have -14c to -16c 850's over the lakes, with -10c 850's widespread over upstate ny and pennsylvania.

The coldest 850mb temps are set to be tomorrow evening for you guys, between 1-4pm EST the euro model projects -22c uppers across upstate ny with pockets of -24c uppers.

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I feel somewhat decent for Wednesday for BUF metro.

looks like the northtowns will get into action tonight."UPSTREAM CONNECTION WITH GEORGIAN BAY WILL LIKELY PLAY A ROLE

ACROSS NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA WHERE THE POTENTIAL EXISTS

FOR SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION ACROSS NIAGARA...ORLEANS...

NORTHERN ERIE AND GENESEE COUNTIES. PLACEMENT OF HIGHEST AMOUNTS

IN THESE AREAS ALWAYS DIFFICULT IN THESE TYPE OF SITUATIONS SO

WILL HOLD OFF ON HEADLINES AT THIS POINT...BUT CAN SEE THE

POTENTIAL FOR HEADLINES IN THESE AREAS AT A LATER POINT. WE HAVE

MORE CONFIDENCE IN HEAVY LAKES SNOWS IN THE CORRIDOR FROM ROCHESTER

INTO THE FINGER LAKES...THEREFORE WILL UPGRADE CURRENT WATCH TO A

WARNING FOR TONIGHT THOUGH TUESDAY."

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It just blew through here with maybe 1/4 inch of snow.... 33F. That wouldn't have been worth staying up for, but I'm up so what the heck..... Hey I have more snow on the ground than downtown BUF I guess.

probably around 0.01" on the grass here..

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