Harry Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 First les band just arriving! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 First les band just arriving! Good luck Harry...and as well to all involved with getting some LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Theres a band working into SEMI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Good luck Harry...and as well to all involved with getting some LES. Thanks.. Should hopefully be much better times ahead for you and everyone else outside the LES belts especially now that the MJO looks to atleast make it to the phase 6/7 line. It can crash and burn etc all it wants now that it is out of phase 4-5. For those further east towards the Detroit area. From GRR.. THE MEAN LOW LEVEL FLOW IS CURRENTLY W/NW AND THIS SHOULD BACK A LITTLE CLOSER TO W THIS EVENING AS A SHORT WAVE APPROACHES THE AREA. THIS WILL ALLOW MORE OF THE AREA TO SEE THE SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY... ESPECIALLY WITH THE STRONG FLOW IN THE CLOUD LAYER. THIS WILL BE THE BEST OPPORTUNITY FOR INLAND LOCATIONS TO SEE ACCUMULATIONS. As strong as the flow is and the radar looking pretty decent already i think these bands should have no problems making the trip across the state and dumping a quick inch or two ( maybe more in some spots? ) out that way. Good luck to everyone else getting the LES as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Nice light snow showers atm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Fantastic read by IWX concerning LES in SW MI and NW IN. 2-3" per hour rates as well as thundersnow.... http://forecast.weat...on=1&glossary=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Fantastic read by IWX concerning LES in SW MI and NW IN. 2-3" per hour rates as well as thundersnow.... http://forecast.weat...on=1&glossary=1 I kinda want to make the trip over there but have to work by noon on tuesday so not sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Latest, from the 12z run - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 I kinda want to make the trip over there but have to work by noon on tuesday so not sure. Yeah, I really want to go up there but I have to work at 7AM Tuesday and I can't take the chance of getting stuck and not making it back in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 When the heavy snow showers come through, the first of which was about an hour ago, you can barely see across the street. Ground is now white nearly covering the grass here in Elkhart, and wind gusting to 39 mph. Going to be an interesting couple of days to remind me that this is indeed winter, even if it is LES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Yeah, I really want to go up there but I have to work at 7AM Tuesday and I can't take the chance of getting stuck and not making it back in time. You could always park yourself at the southern edge of the expected heavy band to ensure a quick escape. I'm not sure if you want to do that though or if you'd rather go all in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Hey, IWX, I get the LES events up here in Elkhart county, you get the flash flood emergency management events down in Huntington County, fair enough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 You could always park yourself at the southern edge of the expected heavy band to ensure a quick escape. I'm not sure if you want to do that though or if you'd rather go all in. I thought about that, but if I'm going up, I want to be right in the middle of it. I'd like to experience 2" an hour rates for several hours. It's not dangerous like core punching, you just might be stuck there for awhile. Hey, IWX, I get the LES events up here in Elkhart county, you get the flash flood emergency management events down in Huntington County, fair enough? Lol, fair enough. I've got to tell you,, I enjoy heavy snow waaay more than flooding. In fact, flooding is one of my least favorite weather events. But it seems that we've had more than our share around here lately. In the meantime, enjoy your "fake" snow. I've never understood that argument. To me, snow is snow, no matter the synoptic or mesoscale cause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Current snow squall watch for southwestern Ontario is calling for 10-16". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
London snowsquall Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Current snow squall watch for southwestern Ontario is calling for 10-16". We'll see how this turns out. Point forecast for up to 45 cms by Tuesday AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Can't tell what I'm looking at here because it's changing and developing so rapidly, but is that LES building off the lake? http://www.weatherof...x_e.html?id=WSO Also, we just changed over to big snow flakes here. I'm just a hair northwest of Kitchener on the radar map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Can't tell what I'm looking at here because it's changing and developing so rapidly, but is that LES building off the lake? http://www.weatherof...x_e.html?id=WSO Also, we just changed over to big snow flakes here. I'm just a hair northwest of Kitchener on the radar map. That's the wrap around from the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weather90210 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Corey Mottice from accuweather posted this map for his forecast snowfall totals for MI and OH. Looks pretty good to me. I think. http://www.corymottice.com/2012/01/01/january-1-3-forecast-lake-effect-snowfall-totals-for-oh-and-mi/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 We'll see how this turns out. Point forecast for up to 45 cms by Tuesday AM. We have point forecasts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Can't tell what I'm looking at here because it's changing and developing so rapidly, but is that LES building off the lake? http://www.weatherof...x_e.html?id=WSO Also, we just changed over to big snow flakes here. I'm just a hair northwest of Kitchener on the radar map. You enjoy your 10-16" snow tommorow while SSC and I will get squat like we were expecting alot anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Just got back from Orangeville, where it was starting to snow steadily around 7:30-7:45, especially just east of Orangeville on Highway 9. Nothing in north Toronto though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 You enjoy your 10-16" snow tommorow while SSC and I will get squat like we were expecting alot anyways KW ain't in the watch. Waterloo Region: Lake Effect Snow Bubble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 You enjoy your 10-16" snow tommorow while SSC and I will get squat like we were expecting alot anyways Could be a few bands tomorrow that get close but none of the higher res models are indicating anythings spectacular. If you get enough to whiten the ground, consider yourself lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zachary Lassiter Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0906 PM SNOW CHARLOTTE 42.56N 84.84W 01/01/2012 M0.5 INCH EATON MI TRAINED SPOTTER LOTS OF ICE ON THE ROADS. 0916 PM SNOW BALDWIN 43.90N 85.85W 01/01/2012 E3.0 INCH LAKE MI LAW ENFORCEMENT 0916 PM SNOW 1 E HOLLAND 42.78N 86.09W 01/01/2012 M1.0 INCH OTTAWA MI TRAINED SPOTTER 0917 PM SNOW EAST GRAND RAPIDS 42.94N 85.61W 01/01/2012 M2.5 INCH KENT MI COCORAHS 0921 PM SNOW BIG RAPIDS 43.70N 85.48W 01/01/2012 M2.0 INCH MECOSTA MI LAW ENFORCEMENT 0951 PM SNOW 6 E KALAMAZOO 42.28N 85.48W 01/01/2012 M2.8 INCH KALAMAZOO MI COCORAHS 0951 PM SNOW GRANDVILLE 42.91N 85.76W 01/01/2012 M1.5 INCH KENT MI NWS EMPLOYEE 1023 PM SNOW NORTON SHORES 43.16N 86.26W 01/01/2012 M1.5 INCH MUSKEGON MI TRAINED SPOTTER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 I'm not sure exactly whether this snow is LES or leftover moisture from the synoptic storm, but in BG I've picked up about 3/4" of snow already, with another moderate band just ending a minute ago. Around 6PM we had very heavy snow on the west side of town. CLE calling for 1-3" tomorrow as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 OT, but I have to look into buying a cabin (house) in the LES belts of MI. A sure fix when times are tough down here in the tropics. Anyone wanna go halfsies? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Mesoscale discussion 1: MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0001 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1137 PM CST SUN JAN 01 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS NERN OH NEAR LE...EXTREME NWRN PA...EXTREME WRN NY. CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW VALID 020537Z - 020930Z OCNL SNOWFALL RATES NEAR 2 INCHES/HOUR ARE POSSIBLE AS LAKE-EFFECT BAND ORGANIZES OVER FAR WRN NY AND EXTREME NWRN PA THROUGH ABOUT 07Z...THEN SHIFTS SWD AT OBLIQUE ANGLE ALONG SRN SHORE. PRIND RATES NEAR 2 INCHES/HOUR SHOULD BECOME MORE BRIEF/ISOLATED AFTER ABOUT 09Z. GUSTS ABOVE 35 KT AND LOCALIZED BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALSO MAY OCCUR ALONG IMMEDIATE SHORELINE. SFC MESOANALYSES AND REFLECTIVITY ANIMATIONS INDICATE AXIS OF CONVERGENCE ZONE WITH PRECIP...GETTING BETTER DEFINED AT 05Z FROM NWRN LE...NEAR POINT PELEE CANADA...TO WRN-MOST NY. MODIFIED SOUNDINGS SUGGEST CONTINUED COOLING ALOFT WILL OFFSET POST-FRONTAL CAA ENOUGH TO NOT ONLY MAINTAIN...BUT PERHAPS INCREASE...BUOYANCY FOR PARCELS IN THIS BAND. MODIFIED RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE UP TO ABOUT 100 J/KG MLCAPE IS POSSIBLE...ENCOMPASSING ENTIRE DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER AND EXTENDING PARTLY INTO HIGHER-ELEVATION THERMAL LAYERS SUITABLE FOR LTG GENERATION. AS SUCH...ISOLATED THUNDER-SNOW MAY OCCUR. FCST SOUNDINGS ALSO SUGGEST PASSAGE OF AIR MASS ACROSS SRN LM HAS SUPPLIED MOISTURE THROUGH SUFFICIENTLY DEEP LAYER TO REDUCE POTENTIAL FOR DRYING THROUGH VERTICAL MIXING. LOW-LEVEL RH MAY BE INCREASED SOMEWHAT AS ENTIRE LOWER TROPOSPHERE COOLS...WITH CONTINUED VERTICAL FLUXES FROM LAKE. OVER-WATER FETCH LENGTH OF LOW-LEVEL TRAJECTORIES HAS INCREASED...AND SHORT-TERM PROGS REASONABLY INDICATE FAVORABLE QUASI-ZONAL FLOW DISTANCES ALONG MUCH OF LE THROUGH ABOUT 09Z. THEREAFTER...LOW- AND MIDDLE-LEVEL FLOW SHOULD VEER IN RESPONSE TO EWD PASSAGE OF MID-UPPER TROUGH AND RELATED EWD SHIFT OF ACCOMPANYING ISALLOBARIC/ISALLOHYPSIC FIELDS. THIS PROCESS...IN TURN...SHOULD SHIFT SNOW BAND SWWD ALONG SRN SHORE OF LE...WITH CONCURRENT SLOW WEAKENING IN SNOW RATES AS FETCH DISTANCE DECREASES. ..EDWARDS.. 01/02/2012 ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Have gotten a little bit over 3 inches of lake effect so far this evening here in the snowbelt of West Michigan. The bands are finally starting to get better organized and will be hitting us off and on through Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zachary Lassiter Posted January 2, 2012 Share Posted January 2, 2012 Mesodiscussion 2 http://mesodiscussion.com/view/20120002/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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