Jonger Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 When are you going? Hopefully the Friday torch gets knocked down (12Z GFS was better as the 10C 850 line stayed south). I'll be back before then. I'm going Tuesday-Wed-Thur. The torch starts on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 12z NAM doesn't turn the 925 mb flow as northerly on Tuesday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 12z NAM doesn't turn the 925 mb flow as northerly on Tuesday morning. Yeah, I saw that. If it's right, it could blow my single band prediction out of the water. 850 winds are almost due northerly for a time, but 925s continue a more northwesterly fetch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Hello, all. Went from Elkhart to visit relatives in Highland Thurs.-Sat. instead of my original plan from Sun. afternoon to Tues a.m. when I got the original heads up on the possible LES event. Don't want to drive back here in a foot of snow and 40 mph gusts. Anyway, current thinking in Michiana is that Monday night delta T's will approach 30 C and there will be multiple bands producing anywhere from 8-14 inches and possibly more. Would be first significant LES event for my area this season. Now I can stay put the next few days and enjoy watching this event unfold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 I should squeeze out couple inches in the next 72 hours. We do pretty well in this area with Left over LES. Uncles place in Kalkaska 12-20 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
L.B. LaForce Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Newest snow totals off the 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Sorry, a bit behind, but 12z hi-res runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 That is the most aggressive run I've seen for NE Ohio. Looks like everyone around Cleveland has at least 8" on the ground, with a 2' blob over eastern Cuyahoga County and a 3' blob over Ashtabula County. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 That is the most aggressive run I've seen for NE Ohio. Looks like everyone around Cleveland has at least 8" on the ground, with a 2' blob over eastern Cuyahoga County and a 3' blob over Ashtabula County. His scale is in millimeters for QPF, centimeters for snow depth...not inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trent Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 His scale is in millimeters for QPF, centimeters for snow depth...not inches. Hah, I just caught that after I posted. Oh well, one can dream! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 NAM is actually showing decent potential for LES even here in NWOH... with a WNW wind, it shows a steady (albeit weak) band from SW MI to NWOH for several hours. QPF output is only around .15-.2" or so, but combined by the winds and cold it would actually feel like winter for a day or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Hah, I just caught that after I posted. Oh well, one can dream! Haha, yep. Pesky units! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 1, 2012 Author Share Posted January 1, 2012 Northern Indiana: Cleveland: Marquette, Michigan: Looking like the Lake Effect Snow Machine will kick into full gear this week :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 sh*t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Martin Posted January 1, 2012 Author Share Posted January 1, 2012 NWS in Cleveland: URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 315 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012 ...FIRST MAJOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW OF THE SEASON ON THE WAY... OHZ012>014-089-PAZ001>003-011615- /O.UPG.KCLE.LE.A.0003.120102T0000Z-120103T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KCLE.LE.W.0001.120102T0000Z-120103T2100Z/ LAKE-GEAUGA-ASHTABULA INLAND-ASHTABULA LAKESHORE-NORTHERN ERIE- SOUTHERN ERIE-CRAWFORD PA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MENTOR...CHARDON...JEFFERSON... ASHTABULA...ERIE...EDINBORO...MEADVILLE 315 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CLEVELAND HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * ACCUMULATIONS...MUCH OF THE SNOWBELT SHOULD SEE AT LEAST 10 INCHES OF TOTAL ACCUMULATION WITH LOCAL AREAS UP TO 2 FEET. * TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN TONIGHT NEAR THE LAKE AND INTENSIFY AS IT SPREADS INLAND INTO MONDAY. SNOW WILL TAPER OFF BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * WINDS...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH SHIFTING TO NORTHWEST. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS WITH CONSIDERABLE BLOWING AND DRIFTING OF THE SNOW WILL MAKE DRIVING HAZARDOUS. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE 20S TONIGHT THEN HOLD NEARLY STEADY MONDAY BEFORE DROPPING INTO THE TEENS MONDAY NIGHT. WIND CHILL READINGS WILL DROP INTO THE TEENS BY DAYBREAK MONDAY AND DOWN TO ZERO TO 5 BELOW BY LATE MONDAY NIGHT. * VISIBILITIES...MAY BE REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES IN HEAVIER SNOW SQUALLS LEADING TO NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. NWS Northern Indiana: MIZ077-078-011800- /O.UPG.KIWX.WS.A.0005.120102T0600Z-120103T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KIWX.WS.W.0001.120102T0000Z-120103T1200Z/ BERRIEN-CASS MI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NILES...BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH... BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS 446 AM EST SUN JAN 1 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WATCH. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AND BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED BY TUESDAY MORNING...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER EXTREME EASTERN BERRIEN AND WESTERN CASS COUNTIES. MUCH LESSER AMOUNTS CAN BE EXPECTED CLOSER TO LAKE MICHIGAN. * STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL CREATE AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. IMPACTS... * SOME ROADS MAY BECOME IMPASSABLE...ESPECIALLY SECONDARY AND COUNTY ROADS DUE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL AND DRIFTING SNOW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 sh*t Remember someone saying Traverse wouldn't hit 50" this year, lol at people not knowing climo and not understanding the magnitude of lake effect snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Blizzard warnings hoisted in NW MI http://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=MIZ020&warncounty=MIC089&firewxzone=MIZ020&local_place1=Maple+City+MI&product1=Blizzard+Warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 It'll be interesting to see if Markham (just north of Toronto) gets hit by any lake effect squalls tonight and tomorrow. The winds might be strong enough to allow for it. I'm off to Orangeville for a new years gathering this afternoon, right in the Ontario snow belt. Should be interesting to see if they get any snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 It'll be interesting to see if Markham (just north of Toronto) gets hit by any lake effect squalls tonight and tomorrow. The winds might be strong enough to allow for it. I'm off to Orangeville for a new years gathering this afternoon, right in the Ontario snow belt. Should be interesting to see if they get any snow. Winds tonight and early tomorrow will be WSW/W. That doesn't favour anything off Georgian Bay into the GTA. Later tomorrow into tomorrow night will be somewhat better for us. I doubt we see anything like we saw in December 2010 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Strongs,MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ArmyGreens Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Well, my first snow that doesn't melt within a few hours might be in the making. Unfortunately the inch or so we get will be blown around into 3 inch drifts on the side of the driveway. Woohoo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Very jealous of this LES event, but its SOOO nice to see snow layed down up north! Its a start! Hoping we get some snow here, we will see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Sullivan/Wright are headed to Michigan for a LES "chase". They ended up not going. Phelps is near Saint Joseph, MI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Central Lake, MI Web Cam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nic Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Well, my first snow that doesn't melt within a few hours might be in the making. Unfortunately the inch or so we get will be blown around into 3 inch drifts on the side of the driveway. Woohoo. I think the wind is supposed to die down before the snow showers arrive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Irons,MI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 Irons,MI haha used to vacation in Irons in the summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 1, 2012 Share Posted January 1, 2012 They ended up not going. Phelps is near Saint Joseph, MI. Phelps is streaming live from near Allegan, MI. http://stormscapelive.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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