ravensrule Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 The answer to this question spans years of history and numerous events. Bingo, we have a winner. Btw love how you incorporated your last name into your user name, very funny. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 DT's a better met than some would credit him with. He clearly knows how to play the facebook people as the fools they are at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 DT's a better met than some would credit him with. He clearly knows how to play the facebook people as the fools they are at least. No one is denying he is an excellent met, it is just his arrogance that turns people off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 DT's a better met than some would credit him with. He clearly knows how to play the facebook people as the fools they are at least. He sure does get the CWG's panties in a bunch though huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 He sure does get the CWG's panties in a bunch though huh does he? maybe i missed that one. i dont think cwg 'plays' people on social media quite as much as other mets do at least so maybe that's part of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 does he? maybe i missed that one. i dont think cwg 'plays' people on social media quite as much as other mets do at least so maybe that's part of it. I just think their most recent post was just as much about getting likes and responses as Dave's was...but that's just my opinion....which isn't much in this case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Bingo, we have a winner. Btw love how you incorporated your last name into your user name, very funny. It's actually my nickname for the last 15 years or so. All my friends call me that. If you met me in person you would understand. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 28, 2011 Author Share Posted December 28, 2011 For those of you who've chased LES by going to Garrett county, is it a good idea to spend a night there at some hotel, or can a day trip be done? It is a 3.5 to 4 hour drive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 It is a 3.5 to 4 hour drive. not for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 28, 2011 Author Share Posted December 28, 2011 Day trip is no problem. Even during upslope events the only bad driving conditions are at the end of the drive from Frostburg on I-68 and then on the stretch of 219 to McHenry. You don't even neet to go that far if you don't want to. Since you're just chasing you can stop at the top of Keyser's ridge and enjoy there. You can easily get to Keyser's in less than 3 hours from your area. The ridge does the best with WNW-NW flow. Any more northerly or westerly component can shut it down pretty easily. LWX does a great job forecasting western MD upslope. If they throw up a warning it's a safe bet that it's gonna dump. I went out there in January last year. We got 17" over 3 days and it was all upslope. Cold dry powder........I don't even remember what that looks like anymore. LWX doesn't do the warnings for Garrett. Watch NWS Pitt for the warnings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 28, 2011 Author Share Posted December 28, 2011 not for me That's right. I hope to get out there depending on the timing with work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 It is a 3.5 to 4 hour drive. to get down to Deep Creek, yeah but one Saturday I made it from my house to the Garrett County line in only 2 hrs. and 5 minutes obviously, clear sailing at 75-80 mph all the way for those that may not know, you start to get decent lake effect once at Frostburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 I just think their most recent post was just as much about getting likes and responses as Dave's was...but that's just my opinion....which isn't much in this case. i didnt see it till just now. i dunno. i understand the point of social media but i'm not a big fan of how it's used by orgs and such overall on many levels. i do think cwg at least tries to be honest and forthright with things which i cant say about other folks all the time. but yeah everyone's in it for likes and all that ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 LWX doesn't do the warnings for Garrett. Watch NWS Pitt for the warnings. Ah, didn't realize that pitt hoists the flags. LWX does discuss upslope pretty nicely in their afd's though. You taking off to oakland next week for snow therapy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 28, 2011 Author Share Posted December 28, 2011 to get down to Deep Creek, yeah but one Saturday I made it from my house to the Garrett County line in only 2 hrs. and 5 minutes obviously, clear sailing at 75-80 mph all the way for those that may not know, you start to get decent lake effect once at Frostburg That is true and if you can haul ass it is obviously shorter. We stop for coffee and take our time winding down through McHenry and then to Oakland which is even further SW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 He sure does get the CWG's panties in a bunch though huh I generally don't pay much attention him unless he posts on CWG or unless someone brings it to my attention and suggests I make a post about a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 It's actually my nickname for the last 15 years or so. All my friends call me that. If you met me in person you would understand. I thought it was because you like the cold, i am sure you are a chill person . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 The 18z GFS run for Jan 4 shows the storm closer to the coast than the 12z run. Maybe we can still pull a rabbit out of the hat on this one. Plenty of cold it seems. The disappointing setup went east of the EURO fantasy run of a couple of days ago but maybe it will back up closer towards the coast over time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 If we don't get a storm out of this it sure will be a waste of a nice trough. GFS keeps us in the cold much of the 384 hours, so if anything does materialize during the next few weeks we have a chance, assuming the GFS is right about the cold air... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 I was thinking back to if we were as despondent in 2001, 2004, 2006, 2008 at this point and I am pretty sure we were. I got double digits in 3 of those 4 winters. But the knowledge that we will probably end up with 8"+ doesn't isn't helping. I am as angry and sad as ever. I was angrier on 12/27/10 but there wasn't a sadness. It was just rage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 I was thinking back to if we were as despondent in 2001, 2004, 2006, 2008 at this point and I am pretty sure we were. I got double digits in 3 of those 4 winters. But the knowledge that we will probably end up with 8"+ doesn't isn't helping. I am as angry and sad as ever. I was angrier on 12/27/10 but there wasn't a sadness. It was just rage. I get annoyed with every model run. I look for something, ANYTHING that is redeeming and there is nothing there. I am even looking at the GFS beyond 180 hours...even beyond 240 hours knowing damn full well how stupid it is. But I need to see something. Times are hard and I see us wallowing for 2 more weeks at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 I was thinking back to if we were as despondent in 2001, 2004, 2006, 2008 at this point and I am pretty sure we were. I got double digits in 3 of those 4 winters. But the knowledge that we will probably end up with 8"+ doesn't isn't helping. I am as angry and sad as ever. I was angrier on 12/27/10 but there wasn't a sadness. It was just rage. I get annoyed with every model run. I look for something, ANYTHING that is redeeming and there is nothing there. I am even looking at the GFS beyond 180 hours...even beyond 240 hours knowing damn full well how stupid it is. But I need to see something. Times are hard and I see us wallowing for 2 more weeks at least. Tug Hill or bust-- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Snow weenies... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 At least SNE is getting screwed too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Snow weenies... Sometimes you just have to call a spade a spade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kurtstack Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 0z GFS upper energy looks really good on January 5, FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 0z GFS upper energy looks really good on January 5, FWIW. Yea 8 days out everything looks good, it just never comes to fruition. I will believe it when i look out my window and actually see flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 GFS looks boring to me. Cycle of dry and cold followed by some moderation followed by more dry and cold. No snow to speak of and no torch either. Very dry period as depicted per the GFS. zzzzzzzz...... MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJHurricane Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 posted this in Philly thread but I think it applies Well, a legit significant storm threat to track would have been nice, but today's medium range guidance puts me in a philosophical mood....seems like we have seasonably cold to somewhat below normal temps for at least a time next week....as HPC noted in todays extended disco, shortwave details remain a low confidence proposition, and thats not necessarily a bad thing. Sitting here waiting for a great pattern with major sustained favorable blocking is a fools erand IMO. Whats coming up this week is what I am hoping for....that our colder shots, if however brief, are legitimately cold for the time of year, and that in the fast flow something can pop to give us an accumulating snow...I think our best shots at snow are not going to be clear cut 6"+ threats that first pop in the 5-7 day range....i think they will be vague threats that don't solidify til 72 hours out at the ealiest and will be of the 2-4 or 3-6 inch variety...I think we have a better chance at getting stretches of time where the pattern doesn't totally suck like this coming week than we do a significant stretch where the pattern is highly favorable. I get annoyed with every model run. I look for something, ANYTHING that is redeeming and there is nothing there. I am even looking at the GFS beyond 180 hours...even beyond 240 hours knowing damn full well how stupid it is. But I need to see something. Times are hard and I see us wallowing for 2 more weeks at least. Stay thirsty my friends...epic might not be on the menu this season, but I think reasonable expectations have at least a reasonable chance of being rewarded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 0z GFS upper energy looks really good on January 5, FWIW. Not sure what you are seeing there...looks like crud to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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