mitchnick Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 the vort is pretty far south on the 12z gfs whether or not it loses all its moisture crossing the apps it will come north between now and then, count on it (as I am sure you know) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 you should see his tweet to JB http://twitter.com/#!/jhatem/status/157124147808452609/photo/1 BTW, JB's replacement as the long-range guy, Paul Paskolek, posted this am that he sees colder weather in early Feb and wondered how long it lasts, which surprised me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Clipper wall jackpot!! so this will not be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I'm going to write an article about the clipper so I won't post anything yet about it here. Using the 12z gfs, should be a short article. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 the vort is pretty far south on the 12z gfs whether or not it loses all its moisture crossing the apps Went from central VA to NC. Not good if right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 the vort is pretty far south on the 12z gfs whether or not it loses all its moisture crossing the apps Yea, track looks fine. It can jog N a bit and we're still fine. Clippers are fickle on models so there probably not much to get excited or upset about. Keep the 500 track around RIC on S and let the chips fall where they may. It's always fun watching them dive out of canada and crossing the midwest. Plenty of time for precip speculation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 it will come north between now and then, count on it (as I am sure you know) usually i'd say yes. clippers are even trickier than other events around here tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Went from central VA to NC. Not good if right yeah, needs to come back north a bit. it's about the same track as the second vort that did nothing during flurrypocolypse tho it starts further west and is better organized initially. i dont like ones that track hard southeast overall.. better to get more west to east movement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 11, 2012 Author Share Posted January 11, 2012 Would be fitting to miss the clipper because it went too far south. We'll then miss the next one because it goes too far north. Time to accept fate on this winter, folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Yea, track looks fine. It can jog N a bit and we're still fine. Clippers are fickle on models Models are fickle and will show us what we would like to see and then yank the rug out so there probably not much to get excited or upset about. Keep the 500 track around RIC on S and let the chips fall where they may. It's always fun watching them dive out of canada and crossing the midwest. Plenty of time for precip speculation. I tweaked your post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Would be fitting to miss the clipper because it went too far south. We'll then miss the next one because it goes too far north. Time to accept fate on this winter, folks. This, over and over again. Someone mentioned a post or so back that the vortex moved from central Va to NC in one run. Next run might have it SC or NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Jan 22nd and the 0C line is somewhere over the Hudson Bay.... Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Jan 22nd and the 0C line is somewhere over the Hudson Bay.... Ouch. http://www.americanw...90#entry1266597 scroll up to where Wes posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Jan 22nd and the 0C line is somewhere over the Hudson Bay.... Ouch. Big SNOstorm coming right after tho. Hold your head high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Big SNOstorm coming right after tho. Hold your head high. I see what you did there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 now people are like "oh let's remember the warm winters that had awesome februarys" next it's like "hey we could have a memorable march" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Big SNOstorm coming right after tho. Hold your head high. Can't wait til Feb too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 now people are like "oh let's remember the warm winters that had awesome februarys" next it's like "hey we could have a memorable march" April will get us back to snow climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 now people are like "oh let's remember the warm winters that had awesome februarys" next it's like "hey we could have a memorable march" SNOs prediction will probably fail, but lets at least give BBs prediction a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Jan 22nd and the 0C line is somewhere over the Hudson Bay.... Ouch. Perhaps JB should resurrect that comment from years ago for this weekend...I think he said "it's the clipper, the clipper you should remember because it will be the last snow in the east" I can't remeber the exact quote..think it was from 2007 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Jan 22nd and the 0C line is somewhere over the Hudson Bay.... Ouch. >6°C over what, 75% of the country? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 now people are like "oh let's remember the warm winters that had awesome februarys" next it's like "hey we could will have a memorable miserable march" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 SNOs prediction will probably fail, but lets at least give BBs prediction a chance My lone supporter has predicted a fail. It could be a "titanic" fail, but one must go down with his ship. It can't be any worse than JB or DT. Yes "I'm all in" and hoping I come up aces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 May is going to rock--I know it. yes.. late may in the plains (hopefully) SNOs prediction will probably fail, but lets at least give BBs prediction a chance how could he possibly go wrong with a prediction of one of the snowiest months on record in a winter like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 My lone supporter has predicted a fail. It could be a "titanic" fail, but one must go down with his ship. It can't be any worse than JB or DT. Yes "I'm all in" and hoping I come up aces. Given the last temp outlook for your time period, yes... I'm sorry... I don't see it taking place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Perhaps JB should resurrect that comment from years ago for this weekend...I think he said "it's the clipper, the clipper you should remember because it will be the last snow in the east" I can't remeber the exact quote..think it was from 2007 dec 2010 i think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 yes.. late may in the plains (hopefully) how could he possibly go wrong with a prediction of one of the snowiest months on record in a winter like this? Not quite Skippy...I said overall winter would be a nightmare East of 95. I said January 24th-26th was DCA's chance at a SECS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Feb Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 My lone supporter has predicted a fail. It could be a "titanic" fail, but one must go down with his ship. It can't be any worse than JB or DT. Yes "I'm all in" and hoping I come up aces. That's like Casey Anthony saying she is much less worse then Jeffrey Dahmer or Ted Bundy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SNO Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Given the last temp outlook for your time period, yes... I'm sorry... I don't see it taking place. Models have been horrific...there is still time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jonjon Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Well the next week looks cold and snowy out this way. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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