CoastalWx Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 If nothing else, that clipper might be almost a thin shield of WAA light snows. I don't know if it will have the magnitude like it had yesterday when we talked about it on the 12z GFS, but what the hell...you'll take any flake that the atmosphere gives at this point. Gotta thank you guys for sending the snow up my way the other night. I had a 0.5". My biggest total this winter and second biggest total since the crushing 1" I had on 10/29/11. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 yes, and if you look at the 10 Day forecast at 30mb from the Euro Stat site, it has the vortex sitting right over the Pole again so it seems the Euro forecast of our wam up goes hand in hand with its 30mb forecast over the Pole....dag nabbit http://wekuw.met.fu-berlin.de/~Aktuell/strat-www/wdiag/ec.php?alert=1&level=30&forecast=f240&lng=eng though, there looks to be another warming starting on the other side of the Pole by Day 10 fwiw That's nice and all but we're running out of time. Your -qbs theory blows and were not having winter this year. Have a nice day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 the NAM for Friday is majority rain, looking at the 6-hr precipitation maps gives it the look of an anafront but actually if you look more closely most of the precipitation falls ahead of the front and is out of the area before 850s get below 0. Yup, I noticed that. Friday looks like crap on the NAM But as Wes noted, the 500 map for the clipper looks pretty vigorous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 If nothing else, that clipper might be almost a thin shield of WAA light snows. I don't know if it will have the magnitude like it had yesterday when we talked about it on the 12z GFS, but what the hell...you'll take any flake that the atmosphere gives at this point. Gotta thank you guys for sending the snow up my way the other night. I had a 0.5". My biggest total this winter and second biggest total since the crushing 1" I had on 10/29/11. wow that is just horrible, beats my couple of trace events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 the NAM for Friday is majority rain, looking at the 6-hr precipitation maps gives it the look of an anafront but actually if you look more closely most of the precipitation falls ahead of the front and is out of the area before 850s get below 0. Thanks...thought the the precip looked fleeting when it got cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 That's nice and all but we're running out of time. Your -qbs theory blows and were not having winter this year. Have a nice day Another winter cancel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 That's nice and all but we're running out of time. Your -qbs theory blows and were not having winter this year. Have a nice day i'm proud of you ji, with all of this pathetic winter and models you have not had a major melt down yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 That's nice and all but we're running out of time. Your -qbs theory blows and were not having winter this year. Have a nice day like I said in the thread, it was based on statistical odds and nothing more eventually, it would/will fail; it's still only 1/11 so although most models look horid in the MR and long range, we still have to wait for the season to end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 i'm proud of you ji, with all of this pathetic winter and models you have not had a major melt down yet This winter is much easier to accept so far because there have been no real threats. It would be much worse if we had the models teasing us with storm chances only to miss out each time. At least in this pattern I can live my life and not waste any time tracking weather. If we start to get "threats" that don't materialize watch the meltdowns begin from many on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 i'm proud of you ji, with all of this pathetic winter and models you have not had a major melt down yet He has -- it was just late at night, and it was deleted within an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 you know its desperate when we're hoping for snow behind a front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 you know its desperate when we're hoping for snow behind a front And as foolishly optimistic as I am, I don't see it happening. We are getting barely any precip after the temps crash. Haven't given up on Sunday yet. I've got about 15 more minutes to live that dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 And as foolishly optimistic as I am, I don't see it happening. We are getting barely any precip after the temps crash. Haven't given up on Sunday yet. I've got about 15 more minutes to live that dream. think we see some flakes, but that's it I doubt even a dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 think we see some flakes, but that's it I doubt even a dusting I think we see an inch, let's see whose crystal ball is better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I think we see an inch, let's see whose crystal ball is better. That 0.1" of precip mostly falls before temps are cold enough for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Wasn't it just a few days ago that there was quite a bit of excitement that we might be escaping our bad pattern and that things were looking up? Seems from the comments here and there that the models now don't look so good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 That 0.1" of precip mostly falls before temps are cold enough for snow. I meant from the Sunday clipper and i asssumed that was what Mitch was talking about as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 someone needs to start a new thread this one is waaaaay long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 i'm proud of you ji, with all of this pathetic winter and models you have not had a major melt down yet you should see his tweet to JB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Wasn't it just a few days ago that there was quite a bit of excitement that we might be escaping our bad pattern and that things were looking up? Seems from the comments here and there that the models now don't look so good? if people were not emotionally involved with seeing snow we would not see the swings we do. i mean after that one run of the gfs showing a big snow next week people were like "this one looks like the real deal". at this point it's hard not to go with a mix of persistence and climo .. we can still hope for the best but we should at least recognize the loudest pattern change screamers have done so already this witner and/or they were attached to this period a month ago and will root it on to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 someone needs to start a new thread this one is waaaaay long Let's have Ji start it for the clipper this way we are guaranteed to get no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 like I said in the thread, it was based on statistical odds and nothing more eventually, it would/will fail; it's still only 1/11 so although most models look horid in the MR and long range, we still have to wait for the season to end I'm almost ready to call time of death. I've moved into acceptance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 someone needs to start a new thread this one is waaaaay long we passed 1,000 posts without destroying the board!~! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 you should see his tweet to JB Nothing beats his thread with a guy blowing his brains out from last week that was quickly deleted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 clipper? what clipper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Clipper wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I'm almost ready to call time of death. I've moved into acceptance. well, when it comes to snow depravation, misery does love company, so in that respect, I can deal with it I mean, even Ski MRG is probably going to get a mix or change to zr tomorrow with this system...that's some crazy shiat right there and I agree with PSUHoffman; it's better than being so d@mn close and walking away near empty handed like last year, though I understand if others disagree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I'm going to write an article about the clipper so I won't post anything yet about it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I'm going to write an article about the clipper so I won't post anything yet about it here. tease Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 the vort is pretty far south on the 12z gfs whether or not it loses all its moisture crossing the apps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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