psuhoffman Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 i'm proud of you ji, with all of this pathetic winter and models you have not had a major melt down yet This winter is much easier to accept so far because there have been no real threats. It would be much worse if we had the models teasing us with storm chances only to miss out each time. At least in this pattern I can live my life and not waste any time tracking weather. If we start to get "threats" that don't materialize watch the meltdowns begin from many on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheesyPoofs Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 i'm proud of you ji, with all of this pathetic winter and models you have not had a major melt down yet He has -- it was just late at night, and it was deleted within an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 you know its desperate when we're hoping for snow behind a front Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 you know its desperate when we're hoping for snow behind a front And as foolishly optimistic as I am, I don't see it happening. We are getting barely any precip after the temps crash. Haven't given up on Sunday yet. I've got about 15 more minutes to live that dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 And as foolishly optimistic as I am, I don't see it happening. We are getting barely any precip after the temps crash. Haven't given up on Sunday yet. I've got about 15 more minutes to live that dream. think we see some flakes, but that's it I doubt even a dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 think we see some flakes, but that's it I doubt even a dusting I think we see an inch, let's see whose crystal ball is better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I think we see an inch, let's see whose crystal ball is better. That 0.1" of precip mostly falls before temps are cold enough for snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Wasn't it just a few days ago that there was quite a bit of excitement that we might be escaping our bad pattern and that things were looking up? Seems from the comments here and there that the models now don't look so good? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 That 0.1" of precip mostly falls before temps are cold enough for snow. I meant from the Sunday clipper and i asssumed that was what Mitch was talking about as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 someone needs to start a new thread this one is waaaaay long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 i'm proud of you ji, with all of this pathetic winter and models you have not had a major melt down yet you should see his tweet to JB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Wasn't it just a few days ago that there was quite a bit of excitement that we might be escaping our bad pattern and that things were looking up? Seems from the comments here and there that the models now don't look so good? if people were not emotionally involved with seeing snow we would not see the swings we do. i mean after that one run of the gfs showing a big snow next week people were like "this one looks like the real deal". at this point it's hard not to go with a mix of persistence and climo .. we can still hope for the best but we should at least recognize the loudest pattern change screamers have done so already this witner and/or they were attached to this period a month ago and will root it on to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 someone needs to start a new thread this one is waaaaay long Let's have Ji start it for the clipper this way we are guaranteed to get no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 like I said in the thread, it was based on statistical odds and nothing more eventually, it would/will fail; it's still only 1/11 so although most models look horid in the MR and long range, we still have to wait for the season to end I'm almost ready to call time of death. I've moved into acceptance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 someone needs to start a new thread this one is waaaaay long we passed 1,000 posts without destroying the board!~! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 you should see his tweet to JB Nothing beats his thread with a guy blowing his brains out from last week that was quickly deleted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 clipper? what clipper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Clipper wall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I'm almost ready to call time of death. I've moved into acceptance. well, when it comes to snow depravation, misery does love company, so in that respect, I can deal with it I mean, even Ski MRG is probably going to get a mix or change to zr tomorrow with this system...that's some crazy shiat right there and I agree with PSUHoffman; it's better than being so d@mn close and walking away near empty handed like last year, though I understand if others disagree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I'm going to write an article about the clipper so I won't post anything yet about it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I'm going to write an article about the clipper so I won't post anything yet about it here. tease Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 the vort is pretty far south on the 12z gfs whether or not it loses all its moisture crossing the apps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 the vort is pretty far south on the 12z gfs whether or not it loses all its moisture crossing the apps it will come north between now and then, count on it (as I am sure you know) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 you should see his tweet to JB http://twitter.com/#!/jhatem/status/157124147808452609/photo/1 BTW, JB's replacement as the long-range guy, Paul Paskolek, posted this am that he sees colder weather in early Feb and wondered how long it lasts, which surprised me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Midlo Snow Maker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Clipper wall jackpot!! so this will not be right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 I'm going to write an article about the clipper so I won't post anything yet about it here. Using the 12z gfs, should be a short article. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 the vort is pretty far south on the 12z gfs whether or not it loses all its moisture crossing the apps Went from central VA to NC. Not good if right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 the vort is pretty far south on the 12z gfs whether or not it loses all its moisture crossing the apps Yea, track looks fine. It can jog N a bit and we're still fine. Clippers are fickle on models so there probably not much to get excited or upset about. Keep the 500 track around RIC on S and let the chips fall where they may. It's always fun watching them dive out of canada and crossing the midwest. Plenty of time for precip speculation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 it will come north between now and then, count on it (as I am sure you know) usually i'd say yes. clippers are even trickier than other events around here tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Went from central VA to NC. Not good if right yeah, needs to come back north a bit. it's about the same track as the second vort that did nothing during flurrypocolypse tho it starts further west and is better organized initially. i dont like ones that track hard southeast overall.. better to get more west to east movement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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