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January 2012 Storm Threats and Discussion


PhineasC

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i'm proud of you ji, with all of this pathetic winter and models you have not had a major melt down yet :thumbsup:

This winter is much easier to accept so far because there have been no real threats. It would be much worse if we had the models teasing us with storm chances only to miss out each time. At least in this pattern I can live my life and not waste any time tracking weather. If we start to get "threats" that don't materialize watch the meltdowns begin from many on here.

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Wasn't it just a few days ago that there was quite a bit of excitement that we might be escaping our bad pattern and that things were looking up? Seems from the comments here and there that the models now don't look so good?

if people were not emotionally involved with seeing snow we would not see the swings we do. i mean after that one run of the gfs showing a big snow next week people were like "this one looks like the real deal". at this point it's hard not to go with a mix of persistence and climo .. we can still hope for the best but we should at least recognize the loudest pattern change screamers have done so already this witner and/or they were attached to this period a month ago and will root it on to verify.

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like I said in the thread, it was based on statistical odds and nothing more

eventually, it would/will fail; it's still only 1/11 so although most models look horid in the MR and long range, we still have to wait for the season to end

I'm almost ready to call time of death.

I've moved into acceptance.

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I'm almost ready to call time of death.

I've moved into acceptance.

well, when it comes to snow depravation, misery does love company, so in that respect, I can deal with it

I mean, even Ski MRG is probably going to get a mix or change to zr tomorrow with this system...that's some crazy shiat right there

and I agree with PSUHoffman; it's better than being so d@mn close and walking away near empty handed like last year, though I understand if others disagree

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the vort is pretty far south on the 12z gfs whether or not it loses all its moisture crossing the apps

Yea, track looks fine. It can jog N a bit and we're still fine. Clippers are fickle on models so there probably not much to get excited or upset about. Keep the 500 track around RIC on S and let the chips fall where they may.

It's always fun watching them dive out of canada and crossing the midwest. Plenty of time for precip speculation.

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Went from central VA to NC. Not good if right

yeah, needs to come back north a bit. it's about the same track as the second vort that did nothing during flurrypocolypse tho it starts further west and is better organized initially. i dont like ones that track hard southeast overall.. better to get more west to east movement.

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