TUweathermanDD Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 I am going to continue to bump my own posts in case it actually works out. So wait you still endorsing the weekend event? It seems to be coming around for us. Take that METS! I hope everyone knows that I'm only joking. Happy Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Take it for what its worth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Jackpot, Westminster. And, CAPE, I am not one who has been on every day complaining about lack of snow. It is what it is, as it were. No need to project stuff on me that isn't there. I lived in Memphis from 1998 to summer of 2009. I know from winters with little to no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Take it for what its worth classic snow accum profile with everything decent west of I95, the start of the peidmont vs. the coastal plain to the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Take it for what its worth Dang...that's one sharp cutoff South of C-ville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Per the GFS last few runs, looks like the cold air might catch up with the precip as the low is departing late Thursday...have to watch future runs but could end as snow, especially west of I-95. As for the possible minor front running event, I would be interested in what the 12z Gfs shows and see if there is any other collaboration, but If anything occurs it would be light and with very marginal temps, probably not looking at any accumulations. My guess is that it will stay south and be weaker than the 6z GFS is showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Druff Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Jackpot, Westminster. And, CAPE, I am not one who has been on every day complaining about lack of snow. It is what it is, as it were. No need to project stuff on me that isn't there. I lived in Memphis from 1998 to summer of 2009. I know from winters with little to no snow. Where in Memphis did you live? My aunt lives in Cordova and my grandparents in Germantown for a while before their deaths... my wife and I lived over in Little Rock and Conway for ~5 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Where in Memphis did you live? My aunt lives in Cordova and my grandparents in Germantown for a while before their deaths... my wife and I lived over in Little Rock and Conway for ~5 years. Kevin: I was in East Memphis, just into the city, near the Germantown line. I grew up in SW and Central Ohio in the 70s and 80s, and while I never saw storms there like we saw here in Baltimore in 09/10, I did get used to snow. 6" - 8" inch storms were certainly gettable when I was a kid. As a result, Memphis winters were a shock. They were forever just on the warm side of any chance of snow, it would be 34 and raining and 30 miles north 32 and snowing, perpetually. That was just the climate there. If I saw one genuine 1" - 2" snowfall a winter, that was lucky. Memphis got more ice. Memphis couldn't buy snow even when Little Rock was cashing in. At any rate, moving back to a snow chance area like the MA has been awfully fun. But my memories of crap winters in Memphis have made this one at least easier to take, at least for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Take it for what its worth Blizzard (compared to winter so far). I'm down with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Dang...that's one sharp cutoff South of C-ville LOL! Linear too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 LOL! Linear too! Since this will probably be an elevation storm, I'm not surprised that the fall line is depicted as the cutoff between who gets a few inches and who doesn't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 As long as I get to see snow fall, I'm happy. Looks like I'm on the EDIT: 1" edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 12z NAM at 78hr - again, take it for what its worth... but it has the precip much further south than the 06z GFS did for the same timeframe (18z) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 As long as I get to see snow fall, I'm happy. Looks like I'm on the 2" edge. Not in Adelphi. Isn't 2 inches the blue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Per the GFS last few runs, looks like the cold air might catch up with the precip as the low is departing late Thursday...have to watch future runs but could end as snow, especially west of I-95. As for the possible minor front running event, I would be interested in what the 12z Gfs shows and see if there is any other collaboration, but If anything occurs it would be light and with very marginal temps, probably not looking at any accumulations. My guess is that it will stay south and be weaker than the 6z GFS is showing. Yeah, hard to believe the 06z is right. Once again it's different than what any if not most models are showing. It can happen, we'll have to keep following it, but I'm leaning towards a non-event mainly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Not in Adelphi. Isn't 2 inches the blue? You are correct, I've gone colorblind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 still pretty hard to get too excited about this early week thingy. the euro came north with precip but it's too mild and precip still south of dc area at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 What a desperate group we are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 What a desperate group we are. Yup. Hard not to be. Hell, most of us would just like something, anything, to track. I miss at least having something to look at and think about in terms of threats. It has been boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Yup. Hard not to be. Hell, most of us would just like something, anything, to track. I miss at least having something to look at and think about in terms of threats. It has been boring. Are you ready to punt any slop Monday? I ask because I wonder how many (besides me) are looking at the 12z gfs and wondering if that's coming north a little. Although it wouldn't be huge, it might be something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Are you ready to punt any slop Monday? I ask because I wonder how many (besides me) are looking at the 12z gfs and wondering if that's coming north a little. Although it wouldn't be huge, it might be something. it looks south of 6z to me? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 it looks south of 6z to me? 12z doesnt show anything N of the VA/NC border and that is being generous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 12z doesnt show anything N of the VA/NC border and that is being generous Yup! Not a lot of precip associated with it too. It is off the coast by HR78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 12z doesnt show anything N of the VA/NC border and that is being generous looks like either way we'd have trouble. the high is not strong and the storm is not strong. if the storm is stronger it will be warmer. i guess there's a happy middle ground that gives something but that seems like a long shot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 looks like either way we'd have trouble. the high is not strong and the storm is not strong. if the storm is stronger it will be warmer. i guess there's a happy middle ground that gives something but that seems like a long shot. If it's not gonna snow, I'll take warmer temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 looks like either way we'd have trouble. the high is not strong and the storm is not strong. if the storm is stronger it will be warmer. i guess there's a happy middle ground that gives something but that seems like a long shot. Maybe we can get enough warming to get severe for next week's rain event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Well that was fun - I blame HM for mentioning it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 If it's not gonna snow, I'll take warmer temps. Yeah this one, while it still needs watching, is a very low threat. The main time frame has been and will continue to be 1/10-15. This was the period I highlighted back in the autumn. New GFS run gets interesting Jan 12-14 and is a threat for a coastal storm. A series of clippers / cold shots on this run with no sign of a torch. Next threat window is of course...Jan 20-25, lol. As I said last week, torch fail... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 Well that was fun - I blame HM for mentioning it Haha! The s/w makes "landfall" at 00z. Perhaps land sampling will offer a different scenario....nah. Lol It is all about the trough split (some backs SW due to inertia and some comes eastward). If a healthier s/w comes eastward, more moisture will come northward. Just keep an eye on it, even though it's likely no big deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted January 6, 2012 Share Posted January 6, 2012 I'll take Hrs 348-360, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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