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Early Jan cold and/or snow threat


Cheeznado

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Imo we need the trough to be set up a little further to the west. Since it is so far to the east, by the time the trough goes negative it is off the coast. Hopefully things will change but right now this is looking like a fish storm to me. Another concern is 2m temps are really shooting up by the time the moisture arrives. Not trying to be a Debbie downer here, this is just my opinion.

GFS almost always has the storm to far east initially, if there is a storm I bet it will be futher west.. GFS will correct itself west. Imo
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GFS almost always has the storm to far east initially, if there is a storm I bet it will be futher west.. GFS will correct itself west. Imo

It's possible (we know how the gfs is) but there are others things that are going to have to change in order to get the slp further west. I'm no expert but imo we either need the trough to be further west or the s/w to dig like crazy to make the turn. After that we'll have to deal w/ surface temps. Of course I'll continue to watch it but so far I don't like what I'm seeing.

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It's possible (we know how the gfs is) but there are others things that are going to have to change in order to get the slp further west. I'm no expert but imo we either need the trough to be further west or the s/w to dig like crazy to make the turn. After that we'll have to deal w/ surface temps. Of course I'll continue to watch it but so far I don't like what I'm seeing.

Well atleast we have something to talk about, lol. That's a step in the right direction! From what we've seen this winter....
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I think someone near the coast may have something to follow, and if that vort is strong enough (midweek) it might squeeze out a few pockets of measurable snow on its trek southeast, Wouldn't be anything big, but 1-3 type stuff wouldn't be out of the question I wouldn't think. JMO Mountains will also have a couple of bouts of upslope likely too.

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However, another potent short wave is progged to dive southeastward across the area on Thursday. We will show showers with this feature for now. However, it is not out of the question that we will be dealing with non-liquid precipitation with this system. Stay tuned.

This is from NWS in Tallahassee....Was also posted on another forum....Interesting to say the least...

Im I sensing the possibility of Southern Slider? the exact scenario to bring snow to the SC coast

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12z ens mean has it, 0z @ 192 for comparison

12z @ 192, likely several members with a good look for coastal sections, maybe another 6z p001 or two

I know its cliche to '89 the thing, but these are the exact scenarios to get these sneaky little systems to produce for us down here. after disappointment in the last 2 winters with colder setups, I welcome just the possibilities for now. :thumbsup:

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I know its cliche to '89 the thing, but these are the exact scenarios to get these sneaky little systems to produce for us down here. after disappointment in the last 2 winters with colder setups, I welcome just the possibilities for now. :thumbsup:

Bring it!! I'm ready for snow before I move to Florida...was here during the 1989 storm. One more for the road I say!

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0C @ 850mb, about 5000' up.

12z Euro looks to be a "what coastal" type of run, pos tilted trough coming through around 168. 18z GFS will likely be an epic run, watch... New JMA shows a hit so we know somethings is up. :lmao:

Uh oh! The JMA is a hit? I might have to start changing my tune then. We all know the JMA picks up on the big ones first.

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