Tropopause_Fold Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 The Euro backed off a little on the cold. It was pretty extreme on 00z so it's not really a surprise. yeah its closer to the GFS now...it had like -20 to -22C 850s off the s coast on the 00z run...that was a bit much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 LOL...heat dome over the nation's midsection...lookout. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Looks like we'll get 2 fropa's. The first one ~6z Monday will knock us back down to seasonably cool levels and then about 24hrs later the front ushering in the well below normal temps moves through. There's hints of a 3rd one on the Euro that stays north of the US border that keeps the uber brutal arctic air up there. thank god i'm moving S of the border next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 LOL...heat dome over the nation's midsection...lookout. That's the torch I think we might get between Jan 7-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 LOL...heat dome over the nation's midsection...lookout. looks like a tsunami of heat heading for the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 looks like a tsunami of heat heading for the east coast. Nice, Ginxy can cross this off his bucket list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 29, 2011 Author Share Posted December 29, 2011 looks like a tsunami of heat heading for the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 looks like a tsunami of heat heading for the east coast. Eastern Canada hp wants to mute it somewhat in our region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 So that's at least half of January gone. I have to admit, I'm starting to take perverse pleasure in seeing just how awful this winter can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Nice, Ginxy can cross this off his bucket list. Sweet, although Tsunami cancel as that gets muted SE, today's run is better than last nights for LR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Great upcoming week for LES. And upslope... 1" or greater recorded 5 of the last 7 days up here and a potentially large event looms early next week for the usual suspects. Only 3 hours on the interstate from Boston... <ducking and running> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 thank god i'm moving S of the border next week. Where are you moving to dude? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Where are you moving to dude? http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/31334-moving-to-new-england/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 And upslope... 1" or greater recorded 5 of the last 7 days up here and a potentially large event looms early next week for the usual suspects. Only 3 hours on the interstate from Boston... <ducking and running> Co workers heading up next week on my advice and your endless self promotion LOL, just kidding but I did send them your way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 how could you ever want to leave canada!! Jay Peak is in the background if you can guess which one it is.. http://www.panoramio.com/photo/3398936 http://www.americanw...to-new-england/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowNH Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Wow, I didn't even realize that the WOTY voting was going on! Thanks for voting for me in the last round! I just read the meltdown and dictionary posts again.. man I was hammered It's a bit harder to get WOTY being 5/dayed lol.. I should get more points for that. I mean how is it fair that Kevin gets to post 50 weenie posts a day when I get to post only 5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 how could you ever want to leave canada!! Jay Peak is in the background if you can guess which one it is.. http://www.panoramio.com/photo/3398936 well i'm not going THAT far! i'm actually probably moving closer to the climate of the eastern townships by living in N VT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Using http://www.meteo.psu...2z/hgtcomp.html ...ever since the monster phantom storm from 2 days ago, the D10-8 Euro mean has been slowly churning the ice-pick into the sides of winter weather enthusiasts, by incrementally dismantling the western ridge upon each successive run/mean. Overnight the GEFs mean at both CDC/CPC insist for +PNA to succeed. Now, the Euro mean even hints at a -PNA! Look at the height anomalies growing NE of Hawaii. Every 12 hours, the new run has been getting more and more -PNA like in the means from the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 99% of the forum: "cold without snow blows" Pete: "What are you doom and gloomers talking about? It's snowing RIGHT NOW" Working out in the cold like today is good for your health. I'll take cold and dry over hot and humid anytime. The frequent bouts of -sn are enough to inoculate me against the scurge of pessimism. Yeah a coating on otherwise bare ground at 2k in the Berkshires near New Years is rockin'. I'll take the veneer coat of white over nothing at all every time. I'm enjoying every little scrap Old Man Winter throws out, cold, light snow, whatever. It's Winter and that's better than summer. Sure beats whining and crying and believing it will never snow again. Ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 30, 2011 Author Share Posted December 30, 2011 18z GFS sort of pulls a 12z GGEM with the late blooming Miller B at ~180h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 30, 2011 Share Posted December 30, 2011 18z GFS sort of pulls a 12z GGEM with the late blooming Miller B at ~180h it's worth watching...nothing may come of it but it's a "better" set-up than what we've been dealing with of late. certainly no shortage of cold. even gfs 2m temps are 10s to low 20s during the day on wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 30, 2011 Share Posted December 30, 2011 it's worth watching...nothing may come of it but it's a "better" set-up than what we've been dealing with of late. certainly no shortage of cold. even gfs 2m temps are 10s to low 20s during the day on wed. 1 big time cutter and a couple of close calls on the GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 30, 2011 Share Posted December 30, 2011 lol. A winter storm isn't even an option anymore. The set-up on the Euro, and sort of even on the GFS a few days ago had the lead s/w continuing eastward toward 50/50, so we have brief pseudo-blocking. Now, model guidance have shifted back to a straight +NAO regime with the lead s/w breaking northward over North Atlantic ridging Sooo ... IF this were to come west somehow, it would be a cutter. Pretty much off-shore or rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 30, 2011 Share Posted December 30, 2011 12z euro is teasing a little Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted December 30, 2011 Share Posted December 30, 2011 12z euro is teasing a little Yeah, the trough has a much better alignment in the plains. The model seems to have resurrected the monster...about half way. Enough to keep me interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 30, 2011 Share Posted December 30, 2011 Hm, interesting - should that 84 hour NAM solution verify, that's gonna be kinda tight off the upper MA/NE coasts when extrapolating... Details in the NAM beyond ...oh say, 10 minutes in that model are sometimes fleeting to say the least. That said, the 81 hour plots a vorticity maximum over ORD, with the wind barbs oriented SE at 500mb. At 84 hours, the v-max has intensified by a category or two, but is SSE of ORD by some 100 naut miles or so, implying gaining westerly longitude with respect to the L/W axis. In other words, the trough is digging SW relative to the axis of the L/W. Another thing that is interesting there is that the western N/A ridge has not moved E as this L/W matures - that intrinsically means the entire wave length across N/A is being stretched by the model. This seems true in all models, regardless of their native popularity or proven accuracies et al. I know it comes across as trying to engineer an interesting solution but objectively, really, that could be corrected back west. I believe the Euro did bump the axis west by a few longitudes. ah, probably doesn't mean much.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 30, 2011 Share Posted December 30, 2011 520dm means not a lot of room for height falls. You want 552 to 540dm in advance of a big snowstorm. Edit. Maybe some flurries on the cvape but who cares? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 30, 2011 Share Posted December 30, 2011 12z euro is teasing a little They are all a little teasing for something to possibly happen tomorrow night. It almost appears as if they try to get a Miller B going(it does happen, just a little too late for us). As the system cuts to our NW a new center of low pressure begins to take shape just to the south of the Cape......a little too late for anything too exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Decent shot at some t-storms tomorrow with the cold pool aloft. Something to look forward to on Dec 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Decent shot at some t-storms tomorrow with the cold pool aloft. Something to look forward to on Dec 31 The best nye storms were 1997. Severe to rival anything in summer for an hour rocking the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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