Manny Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Hey, i heard new paltz had a foot of snow today lol Really?? damn.....LIES! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Really?? damn.....LIES! You were talking how they would clean up the other day no one is cleaning up in this pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Don S is surely a nice guy but he has been wrong before. In February of 2010 he called for the return of blocking in March and more snow to add to the record snows in Philly, Baltimore and DC. We all know how that turned out. As long as we don't see any pro mets saying that I would'nt worry about what he says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bates Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 DT Rubbish. DT's quote intentionally omitted. You're not missing anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 if you are looking for snow, go to England, gfs ensembles show a beautiful east based nao that should flood them with cold air and snow. Congrats Kate Middleton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 First time i dont want a snowstorm to occur, i hope this january 2-3 event is a bust...flying to hawaii on the 3rd and snow would not be helpful. and this board is dead, whats the deal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 At 174 hours,dgex shows temps in the single digits for parts of the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Meteorologist Justin Berk As we all anxiously await the next model run... I just want to point out a few things.First: Yesterday I showed the Canadian with a major storm for the East Coast that the Euro also had, but the GFS did not. It was not my forecast, and I was careful in choosing the words 'potential'. Even on the map I wrote a 'question mark'. I do have a hard time accepting that a map will verify more than a week in advance. That said, I still think we will see a pattern change in January. There are signals around the globe that indicate this pattern has peaked out. Which leads me to my second point: The Super-storm of 1993. That surprised many as it hit with an NAO over +4. POSITIVE! Think back to Hurricane Andrew months before that. This monster hit in an El Nino year, when hurricanes are suppose to be suppressed. My Point: It is good to look at global patterns, but nothing is locked in place. Just because the overall pattern suggests that something can't happen, it doesn't guarantee it. What I have learned in the past 20 years, is that 'anything' can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 First time i dont want a snowstorm to occur, i hope this january 2-3 event is a bust...flying to hawaii on the 3rd and snow would not be helpful. and this board is dead, whats the deal Barack's timeshare? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Road trip next week to the Lakes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 DT COMMENTS ON 12Z GFS 12/28 RUN ** One of the reasons WHY the GFS Model has NOT showed the JAN 4 POSSIBLE east coast storm is that over the past few days the GFS has a much "quieter" overall pattern. In other words while the euro has showed massive east coast trough... TONS of arctic air.... strong winds and the possible east coast storm JAN 4.... the GFS has NOT until this past run. . This also ALLOW for the GFS to start moving to the big east coast idea... Keep in Mid with OCT 28-29 east coast noreaster the euro had the event OCT 21 and OCT 22.. while the GFS had NO such Low until 84 hrs out... Nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Time to give it a rest folks, the Mets stand a better chance at winning the world series this year than we do at getting a decent snowstorm before mid January. As you can see, even with a very favorable +PNA ridge, we would still need to essentially win the lottery in terms of the luck needed to not only get the storm, but also a good track and have it cold enough. It's a bit sad to see how spoiled some of the posters have gotten in this sub-forum. Generally speaking, NYC has received its annual snowfall in one or two storms the last few years, but this is far from the norm. The numbers below are slightly inflated because of that, I would like to see what the averges were from say before 2007-2008. Average annual snowfall Days Place Inches Centimetres 10.5 Bridgehampton, Long Island 26.8 68.1 11.5 Brookhaven, Long Island 31.9 81.0 11.9 New York City, Brooklyn 22.7 57.7 11.1 New York City, Central Park 25.1 63.8 13.7 New York JFK Airport 23.8 60.5 13.1 New York La Guardia Airport 26.9 68.3 10.7 White Plains 27.7 70.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 DT Seriously he has lost it. The reason why the GFS has no storm is it has the right idea and the euro was off its rocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Time to give it a rest folks, the Mets stand a better chance at winning the world series this year than we do at getting a decent snowstorm before mid January. As you can see, even with a very favorable +PNA ridge, we would still need to essentially win the lottery in terms of the luck needed to not only get the storm, but also a good track and have it cold enough. It's a bit sad to see how spoiled some of the posters have gotten in this sub-forum. Generally speaking, NYC has received its annual snowfall in one or two storms the last few years, but this is far from the norm. The numbers below are slightly inflated because of that, I would like to see what the averges were from say before 2007-2008. Average annual snowfall Days Place Inches Centimetres 10.5 Bridgehampton, Long Island 26.8 68.1 11.5 Brookhaven, Long Island 31.9 81.0 11.9 New York City, Brooklyn 22.7 57.7 11.1 New York City, Central Park 25.1 63.8 13.7 New York JFK Airport 23.8 60.5 13.1 New York La Guardia Airport 26.9 68.3 10.7 White Plains 27.7 70.4 IMO that's too negative a post. The Euro and Canadian showed how it can happen. Maybe the percentages aren't high, but those models didn't cook up something impossible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Vote snowNH in weenie of the year here: http://www.americanw...egional-finals/ If you don't know why he deserves it see these posts: http://www.americanw...ost__p__1225433 thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Vote snowNH in weenie of the year here: http://www.americanw...egional-finals/ If you don't know why he deserves it see these posts: http://www.americanw...ost__p__1225433 thanks lol, Metfan has been a bigger weenie for a lot longer. Pass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 If P001 were to verify, the catskills would get 10 feet of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 lol, Metfan has been a bigger weenie for a lot longer. Pass You can vote for metfan and snowNH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 You can vote for metfan and snowNH! Your post was unclear, sounded like you were campaigning for overall weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Your post was unclear, sounded like you were campaigning for overall weenie. Well yeah, but he's down 71-48 right now so he probably won't even make it to the finals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 IMO that's too negative a post. The Euro and Canadian showed how it can happen. Maybe the percentages aren't high, but those models didn't cook up something impossible. It's simple, we can't seem to get out of our own way this season. As Eartlight mentioned yesterday, even after that great Euro run, we still ended up with a + NAO. We need a complete wholesale pattern shift. The only way thats going to happen is if the Pacific improves (MJO), and those types of things take time to change. That's not to say we can't get a storm even in this horrific global regime, but its incredibly difficult. Just remember how fortunate we were to get Boxing Day. The pattern was such that it was only a matter of when and not if. We missed OTS a few days before it, and we almost missed OTS with Boxing day, but when you have such great blocking, the trough just keeps reloading. This year is the complete opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Ughh.. LE events always drive me nuts.. 30 miles to my NW and its a steady snow. Never fails! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 my crystal ball still signals a ripping 5wks of winter starting around Jan20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Got a new dog last night, 2 year old chihuahu russel terrier mix from SC...he was not a fan of the cold at first. http://m.petfinder.com/s/showPage.do?siteId=75192&pageId=7023976&formSubmit=true&animalReq=dog&locationReq=11507&breedReq=Jack+Russell+&ageReq=Any&petSizeReq=S&petId=21438098&offsetString=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Looking at the pattern after the cold blast that comes thru I think this describes things very well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Just counted 7 or 8 flurries (got too excited and may have miscounted)....its a winter wonderland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Just counted 7 or 8 flurries (got too excited and may have miscounted)....its a winter wonderland. that's hot, pm me more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 29, 2011 Share Posted December 29, 2011 Piers Corbyn is calling for a massive snowstorm in the northeast from January 11-14. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=obLq_klpM1w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted December 30, 2011 Share Posted December 30, 2011 Piers Corbyn is calling for a massive snowstorm in the northeast from January 11-14. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=obLq_klpM1w Gimme a break--This guy is calling for 20 inches on Feb 2nd, that guy on Feb 20th...Jesus Christ...enough already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 30, 2011 Share Posted December 30, 2011 Ruggie The MJO is going into a more favorible cycle as we head into 2nd part of winter and I expect a rubberband snap of the NAO and AO. These combined should really help for a great winter comeback, from mid January into Feb and March. February could be epic with cold and a couple big snow events. So starting next week, our true pattern to colder more winter like conditions begins. Our First Arctic airmass of the season settles in for a few days next week. For next Tuesday and Wednesday We'll see highs near 30 and lows in the teens, BRrrrr. In addition, A minor snow event cant be ruled out for later next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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