ag3 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 H5 looks messy and disjointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Another vort dropping down day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 H5 looks messy and disjointed. The GFS went way west with this. It looks like another low might form after this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 The GFS went way west with this. It looks like another low might form after this one. The day 6 storm has no northern stream interaction and is very sloppy at h5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Storm is still there, but since it's disorganized, the PHL and NYC areas just get light rain or mix. Definitely one to still follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 The GFS went way west with this. It looks like another low might form after this one. It looked interesting for a while, didn't it? Oh well, many more runs to go on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 The day 6 storm has no northern stream interaction and is very sloppy at h5. Still have time to trend better for us even though this run was a step back from the last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 No super interesting storms on the GFS, but no real torches either after the rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JCsnow17 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Gfs says "what se ridge?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 No super interesting storms on the GFS, but no real torches either after the rain. Nice run overall. Cold with some storm opportunities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Or these? Oh and the 0z operational agrees, thats ugly warm:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Compare and contrast with January 2011 to now... GFS is not interesting; it's a cold rain event.. We gotta hope for some semblance of a negative NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Compare and contrast with January 2011 to now... GFS is not interesting; it's a cold rain event.. We gotta hope for some semblance of a negative NAO. Prob. a cold rain in the city on this run, but N&W could have light snow. I agree that a -NAO would help a lot; until then there will be these lower chance events. But at least we have things to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 The problem again with the 144 hr event is the cold air from the west is so darn slow moving in, we've seen that a few times this season where the cold air is 24-36 hours too late and even if the cold air is in place you need the storm to arrive shortly after or the trough axis sets up too far offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bates Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Nice run overall. Cold with some storm opportunities. Not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Not. It's not the best run, but certainly not close to the worst I've seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bates Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 It's not the best run, but certainly not close to the worst I've seen. Can't disagree. However, it shows transient shots of cold, nothing extreme, mild spells, and no significant snows (or perhaps even less). For the period of January 8 to 24 that's pretty lame by any standard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Can't disagree. However, it shows transient shots of cold, nothing extreme, mild spells, and no significant snows (or perhaps even less). For the period of January 8 to 24 that's pretty lame by any standard. The biggest positive from the run is that any mild spells are brief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted January 8, 2012 Author Share Posted January 8, 2012 Euro is cold and dry after the rain event. Boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 00Z Euro is an exact copy of 1994 from 1/25-2/15 more or less, minus the overrunning events, the massive high complex cutting across the N Plains and headed towards SE Canada at 216 hours would be our chance for overrunning if something can eject out of the S Plains. This is again where being in a 2nd year Nina is a problem little STJ activity to help like we had in 1994 coming off a more or less 4-5 year El Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Very dense fog here in Atlanta at airport. I'm still wearing my.shorts and I don't plan to change into pants for the flight to ny. I'm ready for spring! I'm nit even in the snow mode. I don't feel.like it is even winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Euro has been wrong 4 times in the mid range about snow this year and now it shows 1"-2", at 48 hours. Along with the ukie, another fail coming for the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 The euro ensembles like the 60 hour event like the OP. That means something, especially this close. It means another euro failure. This time inside of 54 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Euro has been wrong 4 times in the mid range about snow this year and now it shows 1"-2", at 48 hours. Along with the ukie, another fail coming for the euro. See my post in the main thread. Its ensembles are in agreement, this close in, wouldn't be so dismissive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 DT is calling for a historic pattern flip. http://www.wxrisk.com/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 DT is calling for a historic pattern flip. http://www.wxrisk.com/ Tough not to get excited after reading his write up, although I think we've all learned to temper our enthusiasm so far this year. Hopefully the real deal is coming.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 It was in the upper 70's in the Bahamas honestly bring on Spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 It was in the upper 70's in the Bahamas honestly bring on Spring If we get a day with his in the upper 60's in June would you want to bring on fall? We havent even had a taste of winter yet! As unlikely as it has looked at times, theres still room for a nice 4-6 week stretch of wintry weather. Even last years herioc snowfall was only centered around a 4-6 week stretch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Honestly were a few days away from January already being half over. The days are already getting noticeably longer. The prime of snow season has about another 6 weeks or so left before climo starts working against us. There is nothing fun bout dry and cold weather. Let's just cut our losses and move on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 Honestly were a few days away from January already being half over. The days are already getting noticeably longer. The prime of snow season has about another 6 weeks or so left before climo starts working against us. There is nothing fun bout dry and cold weather. Let's just cut our losses and move on. Good. Stop posting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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