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NYC/Tri-State Area: Stumbling into January Disco


earthlight

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I think we saw readings as high as the low 70s a few years back in mid January and it was a beautiful sunny day as well. Amazing that even with widespread upper 50s/low 60s, records go as high as the low 70s.

It's quite possible.. Couldn't remember any off the top of my head but either way you slice it, it's a pretty rare treat... Depending on your perspective, I suppose

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I think most people will be happy if we can at least bump up into double digits for the season.

Here are the years since 1995 when NYC had a trace or less of snow in December like this year:

1996-1997...10.0

1997-1998....5.5

1999-2000...16.3

2001-2002....3.5

2006-2007...12.4

its probably important to state whether the years are El Nino, La nina or La Nada...

1996-1997 might be a good match.

1997-1998 was a raging El Nino.

1999-2000 was a stronger La Nina

2001- 2002 was a La Nada

2006-2007 was a mod El Nino

Those 4 arent good examples for this year...as far as past history this is kinda of unprecedented. Going from a mod la nina to flat back into la nina territory...only thing close is 2008-2009 and i dont think this winter resembles that one (obviously there are many other factors coming into to play)....all in all, if i were a betting man, and I am...Central Park will finish this season (sans the october storm) with less than 10" for the season...this is not scientific, its just common logic

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I have to admit that as much as I love snow, its kinda of nice not driving in the snow and ice, not slipping on black ice, not having to spend hours in the cold digging my car out of the snow, or spending hours shoveling in the cold and wind.

Secretly I'm hoping for a major pattern change though, it would really throw off all the warminastas who have had it very good thus far.

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The low of 12 just a few mornings ago is feeling like a distant memory. What's amazing is that we have this warmth with a beautiful sunny day. Generally this time of year, it takes a strong mid latitude cyclone tracking to our west to bring these kind of temps here. We could get this warm but generally with squally weather. Pretty amazing stuff

that should pretty tell you where we are headed for the next 60 days

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The low of 12 just a few mornings ago is feeling like a distant memory. What's amazing is that we have this warmth with a beautiful sunny day. Generally this time of year, it takes a strong mid latitude cyclone tracking to our west to bring these kind of temps here. We could get this warm but generally with squally weather. Pretty amazing stuff

very 01-02ish if you ask me

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Today blows away the "cold" days we had earlier this week in the anomaly department. Seems so much easier to go +20 on warm days in the winter than go -20 on real cold days.

Well to get -20 on read cold days, lows would have to be around 10F, highs around 20-22 at least, which is extremely difficult to do. A good snowstorm could help highs stay that low, but no luck this year.

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How is this awesome? We live in the NYC area, its January 7, not April 27. We get up to 8 months of this type of weather year round, well more like 9 or 10 this year. If you want this constant warmth, then head south to Florida or California because I think this is ridiculous. Get ready for blossoming flowers soon at this rate.

Global warming fanatics will probably reign once more after this record warm winter ends.

You make it sound like NYC is near the North Pole !. NYC is at the same latitude as Madrid, Spain !

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if anyone cares about the possible storm around the 15th, there is an interesting diference between the euro and gfs. The gfs ejects the cutoff low in the southwest faster and it tries to hook up with the northern stream, while the Euro leaves it there to rot until the next trough picks it up. If the gfs is onto the right idea, then something could pop because the northern stream energy is intense on both models. Atleast there's something

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