mattinpa Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Day 10 on the GFS and Canadian looks a bit interesting if there is development along that front. Of course, there was supposed to be a storm with this next front and there isn't, so it's a long shot. At least we have cold/seasonable for much of the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Welcome to 1993-94. You thinking ice storm scenario? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 The Euro breaks down the +AO by day ten. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Let's get the pattern change under 10 days away on the models. Could this be the one that gets a day closer on the models each day ? Once it is under 5 days let's celebrate and soon be shoveling our a$$es off. Let's all talk to the worm: Turn already, what are you waiting for !!!! Cold without snow is like soiled underwear, useless brown and it stinks. Barren dead landscape is just about as depressing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 The Euro breaks down the +AO by day ten. .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 I don't think that rremendous cold January 1994 is going to be here; but we shall see. Given my druthers, would much rather have January 2004.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Long range GFS is frigid. There is also a storm potential near the 10th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jrodd321 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 That is the most beautiful ending run of the gfs weve seen in awhile. Please lock it up and let it come true. That storm at 372 is just the perfect overrunning evnet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 The 0z and 12 gfs runs were beautiful in the mid to long range. Nice gradient pattern showing up. HM was talking about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 31, 2011 Author Share Posted December 31, 2011 The NAM has temps in the single digits over New Jersey already at 00z Wednesday. This run would probably bring some areas below zero with -20 to -22 C 850 temps over the northern suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Some lightning strikes south of Montauk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 The NAM has temps in the single digits over New Jersey already at 00z Wednesday. This run would probably bring some areas below zero with -20 to -22 C 850 temps over the northern suburbs. We would want to see the winds more from the north to get NYC proper to drop more, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Nice agreement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 You look at the Day 10 ECMWF, fast zonal flow at the Arctic latitudes, no ridging across Asia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 You look at the Day 10 ECMWF, fast zonal flow at the Arctic latitudes, no ridging across Asia. That's the map of the last 4 months or so..no change at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 It looks like a negative epo will develop in the mid range while the pna goes negative. A gradient pattern seems likely. Lets hope we are on the cold side of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 long range Euro shows no sign of a pattern change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Gfs and euro are still different. What a shock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 teens & single digits without snow cover is very impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Gfs and euro are still different. What a shock. I'd go with the GFS as it has fared better than the Euro of late - not just because it's colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 I'd go with the GFS as it has fared better than the Euro of late - not just because it's colder. Euro ensemble mean says the op run is on crack. Much colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Euro ensemble mean says the op run is on crack. Much colder. Not the ones that I am looking at.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Not the ones that I am looking at.. After 168 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 "The euro ensembles look pretty nice in the 11-15 day. They continue the theme of very cold air seeping into the CONUS from western and central Canada. The se ridge doesn't look terribly robust on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 I for one am not buying this warmer January crap. I'm on the HM train for January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 18z GFS has the January 8th storm. Looks really interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 Nice agreement The AK low is key. GFS has it retrograding further east allowing a ridge to pop up out west. Euro has the low over AK... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 18z GFS continues with the cold and stormy theme in the mid to long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bass28 Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 For pattern change id take the euro, hands down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 31, 2011 Share Posted December 31, 2011 For pattern change id take the euro, hands down. not me..im taking the snowier colder model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.